Grizzlies vs Suns Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the desert tonight as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into the Footprint Center, looking to put the heat on the Phoenix Suns in a scorching first-round NBA Playoff matchup. With the clock set for a 10 PM EST showdown, the stage is set for an electrifying contest. Both teams are hungry to bounce back from recent setbacks and climb up the Western conference ladder, promising a game filled with high stakes and even higher expectations. The betting lines are buzzing, and fans are on the edge of their seats, anticipating a battle that could set the tone for the rest of the playoffs. As the Suns try to rise from the ashes of their last defeat, and the Grizzlies aim to bear down on their competition, tonight’s game is all set to see which team can truly turn up the heat and leave the other out in the cold.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 31, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	PHX ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+200	-240	235.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+135	-160	236.5	4.5/-4.5
Difference	-65	+80	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-28L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

32W-22L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/07/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	32	28	35	121	Under
01/07/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	31	34	18	115	Under
12/02/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	24	21	37	109	Under
12/02/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	27	23	34	32	116	Under
11/24/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	33	19	29	110	Under
11/24/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	27	22	24	16	89	Under
01/22/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	18	19	35	38	110	Under
01/22/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	32	30	25	25	112	Under
01/16/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	29	23	18	106	Over
01/16/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	29	39	39	29	136	Over
12/27/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	42	32	28	125	Under
12/27/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	22	27	31	28	108	Under
12/23/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	39	20	38	28	125	Under
12/23/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	20	18	31	31	100	Under
04/01/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	27	33	31	114	Under
04/01/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	20	30	38	122	Under
12/27/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	35	29	25	114	Under
12/27/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	24	24	27	38	113	Under
11/12/21	Phoenix Suns PHX	36	26	30	27	119	Under
11/12/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	20	21	30	94	Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109
12/21	vs ATL	128-112W	40	35	18	97
12/19	@ GSW	144-93W	60	38	16	98
12/15	vs LAL	110-116L	50	25	20	97
12/13	@ BRO	135-119W	49	33	13	99
12/08	vs WAS	140-112W	46	34	16	96
12/07	vs BOS	127-121W	52	25	13	94
12/05	@ SAC	115-110W	49	27	22	80

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	vs GSW	105-109L	46	21	13	92
12/27	@ DAL	89-98L	42	23	13	83
12/25	@ DEN	110-100W	42	31	7	88
12/21	@ DET	125-133L	35	30	19	78
12/19	@ IND	111-120L	44	28	16	82
12/15	@ POR	116-109W	46	23	11	89
12/13	vs UTA	134-126W	37	36	7	89
12/08	vs ORL	110-115L	39	24	19	83
12/07	vs MIA	111-121L	41	29	14	82
12/05	vs NOP	124-126L	46	32	17	85

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	39.0	39.4	33.6	100%	33.0
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	47.0	38.9	38.5	100%	38.8
John Konchar PF	26.0	16.4	15.7	37%	23.4
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	34.0	28.4	25.0	40%	33.1
Jaylen Wells SF	23.0	19.3	18.9	83%	19.9

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SF	35.0	35.5	32.9	100%	33.2
Devin Booker SG	40.0	41.5	41.8	100%	42.1
Kevin Durant PF	47.0	51.2	43.6	100%	44.0
Tyus Jones PG	26.0	23.1	27.0	100%	27.4
Mason Plumlee C	26.0	15.1	15.1	27%	24.5

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Ja Morant (PG): Avg: 22.2pts, 4.6reb, 7.8ast, 29.6 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 6.7
Santi Aldama (PF): Avg: 11.7pts, 6.3reb, 2.5ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/26/24. Impact: 4.8
Zach Edey (C): Avg: 11.0pts, 7.3reb, 1.1ast, 21.2 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 4.8
Marcus Smart (PG/SG): Avg: 11.6pts, 2.5reb, 4.1ast, 26.1 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 3.2
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): Avg: 9.2pts, 4.1reb, 2.3ast, 22.1 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 2.7
Brandon Clarke (PF/C): Avg: 8.3pts, 5.5reb, 1.1ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 3.5
Colin Castleton OUT (C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 0.5

Suns Notable Injuries

Jusuf Nurkic (C): Avg: 10.5pts, 10.7reb, 3.5ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 4.6
Royce O’Neale (SF/PF): Avg: 8.5pts, 5.1reb, 2.6ast, 25.3 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 4.2
Damion Lee (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 7.7 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 1.3
Jalen Bridges (SF): Avg: 0.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	24.5	26.5	+2.0	20%	30%	27%	27%	PHX	+3.6	#29
Mason Plumlee	PHX	Pts	6.5	8.2	+1.7	0%	10%	13%	13%	MEM	+2.9	#28
Kevin Durant	PHX	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	60%	50%	53%	53%	MEM	+1.1	#29
Bradley Beal	PHX	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	60%	60%	53%	53%	MEM	-0.7	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#5	#3	#12	-1.3%
PF	#23	#27	#25	#29	9.9%
PG	#4	#27	#14	#20	1.8%
SF	#20	#15	#29	#24	5.4%
SG	#20	#7	#5	#11	-4.6%

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#10	#8	#9	-2.7%
PF	#29	#23	#29	#30	12.7%
PG	#8	#19	#3	#7	-7.0%
SF	#5	#11	#12	#4	-10.6%
SG	#11	#11	#19	#15	-1.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

125.9

112.3

Rebounds per Game

49.0

42.5

Assists per Game

30.8

27.0

Steals per Game

9.6

8.1

Blocks per Game

6.9

4.5

Shots per Game

94.4

86.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

14.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.4

54.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.6

37.7

Turnovers per Game

16.6

12.8

Fouls per Game

21.3

18.0

Recent Trends

Kevin Durant (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Ryan Dunn (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 68.1% to 22.9, 13.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jay Huff (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.7% to 11.9, 18.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.0% to 14.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
Ja Morant (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.8% to 22.1, 32.4 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.3% to 18.8, 12.4 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.