Grizzlies vs Spurs Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble as the Memphis Grizzlies claw their way into the AT&T Center, hoping to leave their mark against the San Antonio Spurs in a blazing first-round playoff showdown tonight at 9 PM EST! With the Grizzlies just a whisker away from the top in the Western Conference and the Spurs trying to spur a comeback from the middle of the pack, the stakes are sky-high. The odds makers are expecting fireworks with a hefty over/under of 238.5, and the Grizzlies favored to edge out by 3.5 points. Fresh off a tough loss to Houston, Memphis is hungry for redemption, while San Antonio is riding the high from their recent thrashing of the Lakers. As the court heats up in San Antonio, will the Grizzlies bear the victory, or will the Spurs prove to be the ultimate party poopers in this wild western duel?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 15, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-165	+140	239.0	-3.5/3.5
Recent	-135	+105	238.5	-3.0/3.0
Difference	+30	-35	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

26W-31L

57.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

22W-35L

42.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/09/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	16	32	29	25	00	102	Under
04/09/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	24	12	26	00	87	Under
03/22/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	18	25	28	28	00	99	Under
03/22/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	14	24	29	00	97	Under
01/02/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	23	17	28	30	00	98	Under
01/02/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	27	33	26	00	106	Under
11/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	25	36	33	00	120	Under
11/18/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	33	26	14	00	108	Under
03/17/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	20	35	28	170	126	Over
03/17/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	34	24	16	110	120	Over
01/11/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	37	25	35	32	00	129	Over
01/11/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	44	36	23	00	135	Over
01/09/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	36	31	21	00	113	Under
01/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	37	25	24	00	121	Under
11/09/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	28	23	23	120	124	Over
11/09/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	27	35	18	100	122	Over
03/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	34	28	19	00	112	Under
03/30/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	25	34	25	00	111	Under
02/28/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	34	24	27	20	00	105	Under
02/28/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	26	28	22	00	118	Under
01/26/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	27	33	24	00	118	Under
01/26/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	33	28	24	00	110	Under
12/31/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	35	18	26	00	105	Under
12/31/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	31	27	28	00	118	Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89
12/26	@ TOR	155-126W	63	36	17	109

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/13	vs LAL	126-102W	41	30	10	90
01/08	vs MIL	105-121L	46	24	9	95
01/06	vs CHI	110-114L	49	31	17	95
01/04	@ DEN	111-122L	58	28	12	104
01/03	vs DEN	113-110W	56	31	13	99
12/31	@ LAC	122-86W	58	37	9	98
12/29	vs MIN	110-112L	41	25	9	87
12/27	vs BRO	96-87W	43	26	13	77
12/25	vs NYK	114-117L	45	33	15	83
12/21	@ POR	114-94W	49	33	12	93

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	36.0	39.4	35.4	100%	34.7
Zach Edey C	23.0	14.2	21.8	70%	19.8
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	40.0	47.5	41.8	100%	42.1
Ja Morant PG	42.0	35.0	40.5	100%	40.8
Jaylen Wells SF	20.0	22.2	20.6	100%	20.9

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	22.0	23.9	19.7	100%	20.1
Stephon Castle SG	27.0	20.1	21.8	63%	26.3
Chris Paul PG	31.0	33.6	31.1	100%	31.4
Devin Vassell SF	32.0	35.0	30.0	67%	32.6
Victor Wembanyama C	62.0	55.4	54.3	100%	54.5

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

John Konchar (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.7
Cam Spencer (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.8

Spurs Notable Injuries

Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): Avg: 11.8pts, 6.7reb, 3.1ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 4.4
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.4pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 6.3 minutes. Last game: 12/31/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zach Edey	MEM	Pts	7.5	9.5	+2.0	20%	60%	67%	67%	SAS	+3.7	#29
Desmond Bane	MEM	Pts	17.5	19.1	+1.6	80%	90%	73%	73%	SAS	+1.6	#24
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Reb	11.5	12.6	+1.1	60%	40%	40%	40%	MEM	-0.5	#8
Julian Champagnie	SAS	Reb	2.5	3.2	+0.7	80%	50%	67%	67%	MEM	-0.6	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#8	#13	#18	3.4%
PF	#26	#21	#26	#28	9.4%
PG	#3	#22	#3	#9	-3.4%
SF	#11	#14	#23	#18	2.3%
SG	#27	#5	#19	#20	4.2%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#13	#21	#21	5.4%
PF	#10	#28	#7	#20	0.5%
PG	#1	#18	#16	#3	-9.7%
SF	#8	#22	#4	#9	-5.6%
SG	#24	#28	#26	#29	9.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

124.1

113.2

Rebounds per Game

48.1

46.8

Assists per Game

29.6

29.5

Steals per Game

9.8

7.9

Blocks per Game

5.9

7.0

Shots per Game

93.6

91.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

54.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

33.3

Turnovers per Game

16.6

12.8

Fouls per Game

21.9

16.8

Recent Trends

David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Luke Kennard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.3% to 19.1, 28.2 min average previous 3 games.
Ja Morant (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.2% to 32.1, 22.1 min average previous 3 games.
Scotty Pippen Jr. (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.3% to 13.5, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.6, 34.9 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.