Grizzlies vs Spurs Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble at the AT&T Center tonight as the high-flying Memphis Grizzlies swoop into San Antonio, looking to claw past the Spurs in a sizzling first-round NBA Playoff showdown. With the clock ticking down to a 10:30 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are sky-high. The Grizzlies are hungry to tighten their grip on the Western Conference, sitting just a whisker behind the top dogs, while the Spurs, trailing further back, aim to sharpen their game and pull off an upset. After a series of playoff blowouts, tonight’s matchup, set against a backdrop of a roaring crowd and a hefty 239-point over/under, promises edge-of-your-seat action. Will the Grizzlies leave the Spurs in the dust, or will San Antonio spin a web too tangled for Memphis to escape?

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 17, 2025 10:30PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-130	+110	239.5	-2.0/2.0
Recent	-135	+115	239.0	-2.0/2.0
Difference	-5	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

27W-31L

57.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

22W-36L

42.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/15/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	28	23	43	35	00	129	Over
01/15/25	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	33	25	27	00	115	Over
04/09/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	16	32	29	25	00	102	Under
04/09/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	24	12	26	00	87	Under
03/22/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	18	25	28	28	00	99	Under
03/22/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	30	14	24	29	00	97	Under
01/02/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	23	17	28	30	00	98	Under
01/02/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	27	33	26	00	106	Under
11/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	25	36	33	00	120	Under
11/18/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	33	26	14	00	108	Under
03/17/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	20	35	28	170	126	Over
03/17/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	34	24	16	110	120	Over
01/11/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	37	25	35	32	00	129	Over
01/11/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	44	36	23	00	135	Over
01/09/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	36	31	21	00	113	Under
01/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	37	25	24	00	121	Under
11/09/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	28	23	23	120	124	Over
11/09/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	27	35	18	100	122	Over
03/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	34	28	19	00	112	Under
03/30/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	25	34	25	00	111	Under
02/28/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	34	24	27	20	00	105	Under
02/28/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	26	28	22	00	118	Under
01/26/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	27	33	24	00	118	Under
01/26/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	33	28	24	00	110	Under
12/31/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	35	18	26	00	105	Under
12/31/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	31	27	28	00	118	Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	vs SAS	129-115W	52	28	8	103
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97
12/27	vs NOP	132-124W	42	30	16	89

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/15	@ MEM	115-129L	44	22	11	89
01/13	vs LAL	126-102W	41	30	10	90
01/08	vs MIL	105-121L	46	24	9	95
01/06	vs CHI	110-114L	49	31	17	95
01/04	@ DEN	111-122L	58	28	12	104
01/03	vs DEN	113-110W	56	31	13	99
12/31	@ LAC	122-86W	58	37	9	98
12/29	vs MIN	110-112L	41	25	9	87
12/27	vs BRO	96-87W	43	26	13	77
12/25	vs NYK	114-117L	45	33	15	83

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	35.0	37.0	34.6	100%	34.0
Zach Edey C	21.0	14.3	21.4	71%	19.4
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	39.0	46.0	41.7	100%	42.1
Ja Morant PG	40.0	38.5	40.5	100%	40.8
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	18.6	19.9	100%	20.2

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	22.0	24.4	19.9	100%	20.3
Stephon Castle SG	26.0	23.9	22.8	67%	26.8
Chris Paul PG	32.0	31.0	30.2	100%	30.5
Devin Vassell SF	33.0	34.4	30.7	67%	33.5
Victor Wembanyama C	61.0	52.1	54.0	100%	54.2

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

John Konchar (SF/PF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 2.7
Cam Spencer (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.9ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 0.8

Spurs Notable Injuries

Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): Avg: 11.8pts, 6.7reb, 3.1ast, 29.5 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 4.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Harrison Barnes	SAS	Pts	11.5	12.9	+1.4	60%	40%	40%	40%	MEM	-1.0	#11
Zach Edey	MEM	Pts	7.5	8.7	+1.2	20%	50%	60%	60%	SAS	+4.3	#29
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Reb	11.5	12.4	+0.9	60%	50%	40%	40%	MEM	-0.2	#12
Julian Champagnie	SAS	Ast	0.5	1.3	+0.8	60%	70%	67%	67%	MEM	+0.1	#19

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#28	#12	#10	#26	6.7%
PF	#27	#19	#26	#28	9.7%
PG	#4	#22	#3	#8	-4.5%
SF	#11	#14	#26	#20	2.9%
SG	#27	#5	#19	#22	4.6%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#9	#18	#20	5.2%
PF	#12	#27	#7	#19	0.4%
PG	#2	#14	#20	#2	-7.8%
SF	#10	#27	#1	#11	-5.2%
SG	#22	#29	#23	#29	9.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

125.1

114.1

Rebounds per Game

48.4

46.8

Assists per Game

29.5

29.6

Steals per Game

9.7

7.7

Blocks per Game

5.7

7.0

Shots per Game

94.1

91.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

13.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.4

54.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.6

33.8

Turnovers per Game

16.5

12.8

Fouls per Game

22.1

16.8

Recent Trends

Stephon Castle (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 57.2% to 31.0, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Jake LaRavia (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 44.2% to 14.7, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
Scotty Pippen Jr. (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.4% to 15.4, 22.8 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremy Sochan (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 22.6, 34.9 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.