Grizzlies vs Spurs Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 22nd 2024

Hold onto your hats, folks, because tonight we’ve got the Memphis Grizzlies, who’ve been wrestling their way through the season with a 23-47 record, barreling into the AT&T Center to face off against the San Antonio Spurs, who, let’s be real, have seen better days with a 15-54 record. The clock will strike 8:00 PM EST and the battle of the Western conference underdogs will commence, with the Grizzlies clawing from 19.5 games back and the Spurs trying to spur some magic from a 27-game deficit. The bookies are betting on a total score of 217.0 points, so we’re expecting some fireworks. The Grizzlies are favored by 6.0 points, but don’t count the Spurs out – they’re known to prick when cornered. Our Grizzlies are still licking their wounds from a 116-137 mauling by the Warriors, while the Spurs are smarting from a 107-113 defeat at the hands of the Mavericks. So, whether you’re a fan of grizzly bear wrestling or cowboy boot spurring, tonight’s game promises to be a bear of a match with a lot of points to spur the excitement!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 22, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	MEM ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+210	-250	218.0	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+200	-240	217.0	6.0/-6.0
Difference	-10	+10	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

14W-19L

33.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

8W-24L

66.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/02/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	23	17	28	30		98	Under
01/02/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	20	27	33	26		106	Under
11/18/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	25	36	33		120	Over
11/18/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	33	26	14		108	Over
03/17/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	20	35	28	17	126	Over
03/17/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	35	34	24	16	11	120	Over
01/11/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	37	25	35	32		129	Over
01/11/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	44	36	23		135	Over
01/09/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	36	31	21		113	Over
01/09/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	37	25	24		121	Over
11/09/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	38	28	23	23	12	124	Over
11/09/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	27	35	18	10	122	Over
03/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	34	28	19		112	Over
03/30/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	25	34	25		111	Over
02/28/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	34	24	27	20		105	Over
02/28/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	42	26	28	22		118	Over
01/26/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	27	33	24		118	Over
01/26/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	25	33	28	24		110	Over
12/31/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	35	18	26		105	Over
12/31/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	32	31	27	28		118	Over

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/20	vs GSW	116-137L	45	29	10	96
03/18	vs SAC	111-121L	49	22	12	98
03/16	@ OKL	112-118L	36	34	14	82
03/13	@ CHA	98-110L	46	24	21	85
03/12	@ WAS	109-86W	53	27	17	89
03/10	vs OKL	93-124L	39	21	16	79
03/08	@ ATL	92-99L	38	21	13	74
03/06	vs PHI	115-109W	54	21	15	92
03/04	vs BRO	106-102W	50	26	18	82
03/02	@ POR	100-107L	45	21	22	83

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/19	@ DAL	107-113L	48	31	15	89
03/17	@ BRO	122-115W	50	30	17	99
03/15	@ DEN	106-117L	44	23	16	82
03/12	@ HOU	101-103L	42	30	13	84
03/11	@ GSW	102-112L	50	27	15	93
03/09	vs GSW	126-115W	49	34	12	86
03/07	vs SAC	129-131L	37	39	12	91
03/05	vs HOU	101-114L	50	24	18	87
03/03	@ IND	117-105W	45	33	14	85
02/29	@ OKL	132-118W	45	39	11	93

Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Santi Aldama PF	31.9	33.1	25.6	80%	26.8
Gregory Jackson SF	34.4	35.2	24.9	20%	38.0
Jaren Jackson Jr. C	43.0	38.4	40.2	93%	40.9
John Konchar SG	25.6	25.9	18.3	63%	22.8
Scotty Pippen Jr. PG	29.2	29.9	17.8	29%	28.9

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Julian Champagnie SG	14.2	12.8	14.8	100%	14.9
Tre Jones PG	30.8	32.9	28.4	100%	27.6
Jeremy Sochan PF	32.4	31.0	27.4	100%	27.0
Devin Vassell SF	37.9	28.6	35.9	100%	34.9
Victor Wembanyama C	55.1	45.9	49.8	100%	48.4

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

Desmond Bane (PG/SG): Avg: 23.5pts, 4.3reb, 5.3ast, 34.4 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 6.0
Vince Williams Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 10.3pts, 5.6reb, 3.5ast, 27.9 minutes. Last game: 03/08/24. Impact: 5.5
Luke Kennard (SG): Avg: 11.1pts, 2.8reb, 3.3ast, 25.2 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.9
Lamar Stevens (PF/C): Avg: 6.1pts, 2.9reb, 0.5ast, 12.6 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 3.3
Maozinha Pereira (SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 03/20/24. Impact: 0.3

Spurs Notable Injuries

Dominick Barlow (PF/C): Avg: 4.8pts, 3.6reb, 1.2ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/19/24. Impact: 2.3
Devonte’ Graham (PG/SG): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.0reb, 1.5ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Tre Jones	SAS	Pts	9.5	11.6	+2.1	60%	40%	47%	47%	MEM	+1.6	#24
John Konchar	MEM	Pts	5.5	6.5	+1.0	60%	50%	47%	47%	SAS	+1.0	#21
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Reb	5.5	6.1	+0.6	40%	40%	33%	33%	SAS	-0.2	#14
Julian Champagnie	SAS	Reb	2.5	2.6	+0.1	20%	30%	40%	40%	MEM	-0.3	#12
Jeremy Sochan	SAS	Ast	2.5	4.0	+1.5	80%	60%	53%	53%	MEM	+0.6	#21
Keldon Johnson	SAS	Ast	1.5	2.4	+0.9	40%	70%	67%	67%	MEM	+0.6	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#13	#11	#16	#14	-1.7%
PF	#17	#8	#17	#19	2.2%
PG	#2	#15	#25	#10	-6.3%
SF	#9	#12	#21	#17	-0.0%
SG	#24	#24	#27	#27	7.5%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#29	#14	#27	#28	11.0%
PF	#12	#10	#1	#5	-9.6%
PG	#25	#10	#18	#28	12.5%
SF	#7	#18	#26	#19	1.9%
SG	#21	#21	#19	#23	4.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

101.9

114.1

Rebounds per Game

44.0

45.4

Assists per Game

23.3

31.6

Steals per Game

8.5

6.8

Blocks per Game

6.3

7.5

Shots per Game

85.7

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.1

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

47.1

52.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

33.9

39.2

Turnovers per Game

15.6

14.8

Fouls per Game

17.9

16.3

Recent Trends

Dominick Barlow (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.1% to 10.9, 16.8 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Clarke (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.8% to 12.2, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Zach Collins (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.2% to 14.7, 23.0 min average previous 3 games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.1% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
DeJon Jarreau (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.1% to 14.0, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jeremy Sochan (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.1% to 33.5, 25.6 min average previous 3 games.