Heat vs Nets Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at Barclays Center tonight as the Miami Heat, just a whisper away from climbing higher in the Eastern conference, bring the heat to the Brooklyn Nets, who are looking to net a much-needed victory. It’s a playoff atmosphere with both teams eager to bounce back from tough losses, setting the stage at 07:00 PM EST for what promises to be a thrilling clash. With the betting lines drawn and the over/under hovering at 209.0, fans are gearing up for a game that could potentially defy expectations and deliver some serious on-court drama. As these teams face off, it’s clear that only one can turn up the temperature while the other might just get caught in the net!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 25, 2025 07:00PM EST

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	BRO ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-370	+285	209.5	-8.5/8.5
Recent	-380	+290	209.0	-9.0/9.0
Difference	-10	+5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

31W-29L

79.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

1W-9L

HOME

23W-34L

20.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
12/23/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	29	21	17	00	95	Under
12/23/24	Miami Heat MIA	39	19	25	27	00	110	Under
01/15/24	Miami Heat MIA	16	15	37	20	80	96	Under
01/15/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	23	24	19	70	95	Under
11/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	22	31	23	21	00	97	Push
11/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	37	27	22	00	112	Push
11/16/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	25	31	32	00	115	Over
11/16/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	30	35	27	00	122	Over
11/01/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	29	17	29	34	00	109	Over
11/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	27	22	00	105	Over
03/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	37	39	25	00	129	Over
03/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	36	33	18	13	00	100	Over
02/15/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	31	24	25	00	105	Over
02/15/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	26	31	33	00	116	Over
01/08/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	31	35	13	23	00	102	Under
01/08/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	34	18	19	00	101	Under
03/26/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	40	29	14	00	110	Under
03/26/22	Miami Heat MIA	25	21	22	27	00	95	Under
03/03/22	Miami Heat MIA	23	37	28	25	00	113	Over
03/03/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	35	32	17	23	00	107	Over
02/12/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	32	18	35	00	111	Over
02/12/22	Miami Heat MIA	26	38	27	24	00	115	Over
10/27/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	20	32	25	00	106	Under
10/27/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	29	23	19	00	93	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Nets Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	vs MIL	96-125L	50	26	10	92
01/21	@ POR	107-116L	45	26	8	93
01/19	@ SAS	128-107W	49	35	11	95
01/17	@ DEN	113-133L	41	30	8	91
01/15	vs LAL	108-117L	37	25	19	73
01/13	vs LAC	98-109L	49	22	15	85
01/11	vs POR	119-98W	43	31	10	92
01/09	vs UTA	97-92W	49	26	14	91
01/07	vs GSW	114-98W	48	32	9	91
01/06	vs SAC	118-123L	53	25	13	102

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/22	@ PHX	84-108L	52	16	16	91
01/21	@ NYK	95-99L	47	21	16	86
01/19	vs OKL	101-127L	41	25	13	87
01/17	vs LAL	101-102L	45	28	17	82
01/15	vs LAC	67-126L	39	15	20	83
01/14	vs POR	132-114W	44	36	11	90
01/12	vs UTA	111-112L	54	26	8	92
01/10	vs DEN	105-124L	39	26	17	90
01/08	@ DET	98-113L	38	24	15	86
01/06	@ IND	99-113L	51	23	14	98

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo PF	39.0	29.0	37.7	100%	38.2
Tyler Herro PG	43.0	43.2	41.3	100%	41.6
Pelle Larsson SF	9.0	6.8	8.2	4%	9.8
Duncan Robinson SG	22.0	25.2	20.9	67%	22.3
Kel’el Ware C	36.0	35.2	17.9	8%	41.6

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Nic Claxton C	38.0	23.6	25.4	90%	26.2
Noah Clowney PF	27.0	17.6	18.1	50%	20.9
D’Angelo Russell SG	32.0	33.8	27.1	33%	28.1
Ben Simmons PG	29.0	27.1	23.3	77%	24.2
Ziaire Williams SF	22.0	24.2	20.2	53%	23.8

Heat Notable Injuries

Jimmy Butler (SF): Avg: 19.4pts, 5.1reb, 4.8ast, 32.7 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 4.5
Kevin Love (C): Avg: 7.9pts, 5.6reb, 1.8ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 2.2
Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.7ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2

Nets Notable Injuries

Cameron Johnson (SF/PF): Avg: 15.4pts, 4.3reb, 2.5ast, 29.2 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 5.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Nic Claxton	BRO	Pts	10.5	13.8	+3.3	20%	30%	47%	47%	MIA	-0.8	#10
Tyler Herro	MIA	Pts	21.5	24.3	+2.8	60%	60%	60%	60%	BRO	-0.4	#17
Noah Clowney	BRO	Reb	4.5	6.3	+1.8	60%	70%	60%	60%	MIA	+0.6	#23
Terry Rozier	MIA	Reb	2.5	2.9	+0.4	60%	70%	73%	73%	BRO	+0.1	#21
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Ast	3.5	3.9	+0.4	60%	50%	47%	47%	BRO	-0.6	#4

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#22	#3	#6	-8.9%
PF	#10	#23	#30	#19	1.7%
PG	#14	#18	#25	#20	1.5%
SF	#22	#30	#23	#27	7.4%
SG	#15	#6	#13	#9	-3.6%

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#11	#9	#20	#16	0.9%
PF	#12	#11	#4	#10	-4.1%
PG	#10	#21	#23	#15	-1.0%
SF	#27	#5	#17	#22	4.8%
SG	#17	#2	#20	#18	-0.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.2

101.3

Rebounds per Game

43.6

42.5

Assists per Game

26.9

23.8

Steals per Game

7.5

7.7

Blocks per Game

3.7

4.0

Shots per Game

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.8

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.5

50.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.9

32.5

Turnovers per Game

12.4

15.0

Fouls per Game

15.3

19.4

Recent Trends

Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.2% to 29.3, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 56.6% to 11.4, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
D’Angelo Russell (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.0% to 27.4, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Kel’el Ware (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 63.7% to 35.9, 21.9 min average previous 3 games.
Trendon Watford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 12.5, 20.4 min average previous 3 games.