Heat vs Nets Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and dive into the net tonight as the Miami Heat blaze into the Barclays Center, ready to battle the Brooklyn Nets in what promises to be a scorching showdown. With the Heat just simmering on the edge of the Eastern conference and the Nets tangled in their own playoff dreams, tonight’s 08:30 PM EST tip-off is set to be anything but ordinary. After a series of first-round blowouts, we’re all itching for a game that keeps us on the edge of our seats! The Heat are coming in hot off a triumphant victory against Philly, while the Nets are looking to rebound from a stumble against Washington. With the stakes sky-high and the odds buzzing, tonight’s clash is poised to set the court on fire. So, whether you’re a fan of the sizzle or the swish, tonight’s game is sure to keep the flames of competition burning bright!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 07, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: Barclays Center, Brooklyn

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	BRO ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-260	+215	210.5	-6.5/6.5
Recent	-170	+145	211.5	-5.5/5.5
Difference	+90	-70	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

33W-30L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

24W-36L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/25/25	Miami Heat MIA	24	29	29	24	00	106	Under
01/25/25	Brooklyn Nets BRO	17	32	19	29	00	97	Under
12/23/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	29	21	17	00	95	Under
12/23/24	Miami Heat MIA	39	19	25	27	00	110	Under
01/15/24	Miami Heat MIA	16	15	37	20	80	96	Under
01/15/24	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	23	24	19	70	95	Under
11/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	22	31	23	21	00	97	Under
11/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	37	27	22	00	112	Under
11/16/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	25	31	32	00	115	Over
11/16/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	30	35	27	00	122	Over
11/01/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	29	17	29	34	00	109	Over
11/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	27	22	00	105	Over
03/25/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	28	37	39	25	00	129	Over
03/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	36	33	18	13	00	100	Over
02/15/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	31	24	25	00	105	Over
02/15/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	26	31	33	00	116	Over
01/08/23	Brooklyn Nets BRO	31	35	13	23	00	102	Under
01/08/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	34	18	19	00	101	Under
03/26/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	27	40	29	14	00	110	Under
03/26/22	Miami Heat MIA	25	21	22	27	00	95	Under
03/03/22	Miami Heat MIA	23	37	28	25	00	113	Over
03/03/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	35	32	17	23	00	107	Over
02/12/22	Brooklyn Nets BRO	26	32	18	35	00	111	Over
02/12/22	Miami Heat MIA	26	38	27	24	00	115	Over
10/27/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	20	32	25	00	106	Under
10/27/21	Brooklyn Nets BRO	22	29	23	19	00	93	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Nets Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	vs PHI	108-101W	54	25	22	83
02/04	vs CHI	124-133L	44	29	13	90
02/01	vs SAS	105-103W	52	30	13	89
01/29	@ CLE	106-126L	35	27	12	83
01/27	@ ORL	125-119W	43	34	16	92
01/23	vs MIL	96-125L	50	26	10	92
01/21	@ POR	107-116L	45	26	8	93
01/19	@ SAS	128-107W	49	35	11	95
01/17	@ DEN	113-133L	41	30	8	91
01/15	vs LAL	108-117L	37	25	19	73

Nets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	@ WAS	102-119L	37	26	10	83
02/04	@ HOU	99-97W	39	26	13	82
02/01	vs HOU	110-98W	46	24	10	87
01/29	vs CHA	104-83W	40	27	8	80
01/27	@ SAC	96-110L	39	19	14	82
01/22	@ PHX	84-108L	52	16	16	91
01/21	@ NYK	95-99L	47	21	16	86
01/19	vs OKL	101-127L	41	25	13	87
01/17	vs LAL	101-102L	45	28	17	82
01/15	vs LAC	67-126L	39	15	20	83

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo PF	42.0	46.7	38.4	100%	38.8
Tyler Herro PG	42.0	45.5	41.6	100%	42.0
Haywood Highsmith SF	14.0	13.7	15.7	90%	17.4
Duncan Robinson SG	18.0	15.6	19.6	77%	21.4
Kel’el Ware C	30.0	26.6	19.3	23%	30.9

Brooklyn Nets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Nic Claxton C	31.0	26.4	26.0	93%	26.5
Cameron Johnson PF	28.0	27.0	32.3	100%	32.8
Keon Johnson SG	28.0	33.6	23.6	87%	24.6
D’Angelo Russell PG	29.0	24.8	27.0	37%	27.5
Ziaire Williams SF	27.0	21.6	20.5	63%	24.2

Heat Notable Injuries

Andrew Wiggins (SF): Avg: 14.8pts, 4.6reb, 1.9ast, 28.2 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 5.7
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.3reb, 3.5ast, 19.5 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 2.6
Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.6ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 1.0

Nets Notable Injuries

Tyrese Martin (SG): Avg: 7.5pts, 3.8reb, 1.8ast, 20.9 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 3.0
Noah Clowney (PF/C): Avg: 7.7pts, 3.8reb, 0.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 3.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Ziaire Williams	BRO	Pts	9.5	12.6	+3.1	40%	50%	60%	60%	MIA	-0.3	#14
Nic Claxton	BRO	Pts	9.5	11.3	+1.8	60%	50%	60%	60%	MIA	-0.9	#11
Nikola Jovic	MIA	Reb	4.5	6.1	+1.6	60%	30%	47%	47%	BRO	-0.4	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#28	#3	#10	-3.8%
PF	#11	#24	#29	#18	1.0%
PG	#8	#16	#27	#16	-0.1%
SF	#14	#26	#10	#19	1.8%
SG	#22	#3	#9	#16	-0.2%

Nets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#15	#20	#20	1.9%
PF	#9	#26	#13	#12	-3.0%
PG	#4	#12	#20	#2	-7.2%
SF	#23	#7	#19	#20	3.7%
SG	#12	#2	#21	#10	-1.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.5

101.5

Rebounds per Game

44.2

43.2

Assists per Game

26.6

24.1

Steals per Game

6.9

7.6

Blocks per Game

4.0

4.3

Shots per Game

86.3

86.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.6

11.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.6

51.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.1

31.7

Turnovers per Game

13.4

14.5

Fouls per Game

14.9

18.7

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.6% to 17.4, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Duncan Robinson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 43.4% to 19.4, 34.3 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Trendon Watford (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.1% to 17.4, 12.5 min average previous 3 games.