Heat vs Hornets Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and buzz into action as the Miami Heat, desperate to even the score in their playoff saga, swoop into the Spectrum Center to battle the Charlotte Hornets tonight at 07:00 PM EST. With the Heat simmering just a tad behind in the Eastern conference and the Hornets buzzing slightly ahead, this match-up is set to be a sizzler compared to the first-round blowouts we’ve seen. Both teams are stinging from recent losses and will be looking to aggressively reclaim their winning ways. Miami’s hoping to bring the fire, while Charlotte is all set to protect the hive—so expect a high-flying clash that’s more than just a game; it’s a fight for survival in the playoff jungle. Don’t miss this showdown where the Heat will try to cook up a storm, while the Hornets aim to make it a sticky situation!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: October 26, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Spectrum Center, Charlotte

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	CHA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-195	+165	222.5	-4.5/4.5
Recent	-180	+155	225.0	-6.0/6.0
Difference	+15	-10	+2.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

23W-17L

64.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

10W-29L

35.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/14/24	Charlotte Hornets CHA	16	15	30	26	00	87	Under
01/14/24	Miami Heat MIA	26	26	25	27	00	104	Under
12/13/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	23	22	25	34	00	104	Under
12/13/23	Miami Heat MIA	22	34	35	24	00	115	Under
12/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	29	30	30	27	00	116	Over
12/11/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	24	26	27	37	00	114	Over
11/14/23	Miami Heat MIA	24	33	30	24	00	111	Under
11/14/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	32	16	32	25	00	105	Under
02/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	16	35	21	31	00	103	Under
02/25/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	29	25	28	26	00	108	Under
01/29/23	Miami Heat MIA	28	34	24	31	00	117	Over
01/29/23	Charlotte Hornets CHA	26	32	33	31	00	122	Over
11/12/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	33	26	25	31	00	115	Over
11/12/22	Miami Heat MIA	34	23	45	30	00	132	Over
11/10/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	27	23	23	31	80	112	Over
11/10/22	Miami Heat MIA	32	26	27	19	130	117	Over
04/05/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	32	28	37	18	00	115	Over
04/05/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	41	32	42	00	144	Over
02/17/22	Miami Heat MIA	37	10	17	23	1014	111	Under
02/17/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	30	24	17	16	1010	107	Under
02/05/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	15	35	23	00	104	Under
02/05/22	Charlotte Hornets CHA	23	28	8	27	00	86	Under
10/29/21	Charlotte Hornets CHA	22	24	29	24	00	99	Under
10/29/21	Miami Heat MIA	33	31	20	30	00	114	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Hornets Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94
04/02	@ NYK	109-99W	39	24	17	74
03/31	vs WAS	119-107W	42	22	13	81
03/29	@ POR	142-82W	44	41	8	93

Hornets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/25	vs ATL	120-125L	53	22	17	96
10/23	vs HOU	110-105W	56	20	16	85
04/12	vs BOS	98-131L	33	20	19	76
04/10	vs ATL	115-114W	33	25	13	79
04/09	@ DAL	104-130L	39	24	11	89
04/07	@ OKL	118-121L	36	29	18	83
04/05	@ ORL	124-115W	36	29	18	72
04/03	@ POR	86-89L	36	22	9	78
04/01	@ BOS	104-118L	40	28	6	91
03/31	@ LAC	118-130L	31	32	9	88

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	42.0	36.6	36.7	100%	37.1
Jimmy Butler SF	40.0	35.2	37.8	100%	36.4
Tyler Herro SG	39.0	30.9	32.8	90%	33.6
Nikola Jovic PF	20.0	25.8	19.7	100%	20.2
Terry Rozier PG	31.0	31.6	31.3	100%	30.8

Charlotte Hornets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
LaMelo Ball PG	55.0	46.4	47.1	93%	47.3
Miles Bridges SF	35.0	27.2	36.2	100%	36.6
Seth Curry SG	22.0	18.4	10.8	10%	15.4
Cody Martin PF	19.0	19.1	20.9	77%	22.2
Nick Richards C	25.0	20.3	23.2	90%	24.4

Heat Notable Injuries

Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.7reb, 1.7ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 1.7
Pelle Larsson (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.7
Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1

Hornets Notable Injuries

Brandon Miller (SG/SF): Avg: 17.3pts, 4.3reb, 2.3ast, 32.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 4.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
LaMelo Ball	CHA	Pts	23.5	27.8	+4.3	40%	50%	67%	67%	MIA	-2.1	#2
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Pts	17.5	21.5	+4.0	40%	40%	33%	33%	CHA	-0.0	#13
Tyler Herro	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.4	+0.9	40%	50%	60%	60%	CHA	+0.6	#26
Tre Mann	CHA	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	40%	50%	47%	47%	MIA	-0.7	#8
Cody Martin	CHA	Ast	2.5	3.1	+0.6	40%	50%	60%	60%	MIA	+0.1	#20

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#8	#10	#1	-15.8%
PF	#14	#23	#11	#15	-0.1%
PG	#4	#10	#6	#1	-20.3%
SF	#24	#24	#7	#19	2.4%
SG	#2	#16	#20	#5	-6.2%

Hornets Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#27	#9	#23	4.8%
PF	#19	#25	#26	#22	3.0%
PG	#21	#25	#30	#26	7.0%
SF	#13	#21	#19	#18	0.8%
SG	#9	#26	#21	#19	0.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.3

104.3

Rebounds per Game

43.4

39.9

Assists per Game

26.1

24.1

Steals per Game

7.5

7.2

Blocks per Game

3.5

4.0

Shots per Game

86.2

85.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

12.4

12.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.3

53.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.2

34.9

Turnovers per Game

10.8

13.1

Fouls per Game

16.1

16.9

Recent Trends

LaMelo Ball (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 67.1% to 25.1, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Vasilije Micic (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.9% to 17.2, 26.4 min average previous 3 games.
Brandon Miller (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.4% to 19.3, 36.6 min average previous 3 games.