Heat vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and lasso some Mavericks tonight! In what promises to be a nail-biter at the American Airlines Center, the Miami Heat are set to clash with the Dallas Mavericks in a fiery first-round playoff game. Both teams are hungry for a win, with Miami looking to bounce back from a recent stumble and Dallas riding the momentum of a victory. With the tipoff scheduled for 9:30 PM EST and the stakes sky-high, the betting lines are buzzing, and fans are on the edge of their seats. As the Heat aim to scorch the court and the Mavericks look to corral their rivals, tonight’s game is all set to be a showdown hotter than a Texas summer!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 13, 2025 09:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-125	+105	222.0	-2.0/2.0
Recent	-120	+100	221.5	-1.5/1.5
Difference	+5	-5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

33W-32L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

38W-26L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/24/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	23	33	30	40	118	Over
11/24/24	Miami Heat MIA	33	23	33	25	90	123	Over
04/10/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	33	36	19	23	00	111	Under
04/10/24	Miami Heat MIA	24	23	27	18	00	92	Under
03/07/24	Miami Heat MIA	36	22	25	25	00	108	Over
03/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	28	26	37	23	00	114	Over
04/01/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	33	32	26	00	122	Over
04/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	44	32	26	27	00	129	Over
01/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	32	16	23	00	90	Under
01/20/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	31	29	32	23	00	115	Under
02/15/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	28	30	26	00	107	Under
02/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	28	31	19	21	00	99	Under
11/02/21	Miami Heat MIA	24	46	29	26	00	125	Over
11/02/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	32	26	22	00	110	Over

Heat Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	vs OKL	101-115L	45	24	16	79
02/10	@ BOS	85-103L	51	21	4	92
02/07	vs BRO	86-102L	39	23	14	90
02/05	vs PHI	108-101W	54	25	22	83
02/04	vs CHI	124-133L	44	29	13	90
02/01	vs SAS	105-103W	52	30	13	89
01/29	@ CLE	106-126L	35	27	12	83
01/27	@ ORL	125-119W	43	34	16	92
01/23	vs MIL	96-125L	50	26	10	92
01/21	@ POR	107-116L	45	26	8	93

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/12	@ GSW	111-107W	39	20	14	87
02/10	@ SAC	128-129L	33	31	11	95
02/08	@ HOU	116-105W	43	22	5	83
02/06	vs BOS	127-120W	35	32	8	88
02/04	vs PHI	116-118L	44	24	12	85
02/02	vs CLE	101-144L	45	22	9	103
01/31	vs DET	102-117L	46	20	16	87
01/29	vs NOP	137-136W	51	30	18	96
01/27	@ WAS	130-108W	51	39	11	92
01/23	vs OKL	121-115W	43	25	20	74

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo PF	44.0	41.6	38.5	100%	39.0
Tyler Herro PG	42.0	36.8	41.2	100%	41.6
Davion Mitchell SG	20.0	19.3	15.2	47%	18.1
Kel’el Ware C	27.0	25.9	21.3	33%	29.3
Andrew Wiggins SF	33.0	33.8	31.6	100%	32.0

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Max Christie SG	28.0	31.5	21.5	73%	20.2
Kessler Edwards PF	21.0	13.5	6.2	17%	17.0
Kyrie Irving PG	52.0	47.3	41.4	100%	41.8
O. Prosper C	25.0	13.1	11.1	10%	19.8
Klay Thompson SF	27.0	28.6	25.4	100%	25.8

Heat Notable Injuries

Kevin Love (C): Avg: 7.7pts, 5.5reb, 1.8ast, 14.8 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.7
Kyle Anderson (PF): Avg: 5.7pts, 3.3reb, 3.5ast, 19.4 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 2.4
Pelle Larsson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.6reb, 0.9ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 02/12/25. Impact: 1.1
Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.6ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 1.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Anthony Davis (PF/C): Avg: 25.1pts, 12.6reb, 3.4ast, 35.2 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 8.3
PJ Washington (SF/PF): Avg: 13.3pts, 6.5reb, 2.0ast, 31.8 minutes. Last game: 02/08/25. Impact: 6.5
Daniel Gafford (C): Avg: 11.1pts, 7.0reb, 1.4ast, 23.2 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 5.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kyrie Irving	DAL	Pts	25.5	29.8	+4.3	60%	50%	47%	47%	MIA	-1.5	#6
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	17.5	19.5	+2.0	100%	80%	53%	53%	DAL	0.0	#18
Andrew Wiggins	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.6	+1.1	40%	50%	53%	53%	DAL	+0.2	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#27	#1	#9	-4.1%
PF	#14	#19	#24	#20	0.4%
PG	#6	#20	#28	#19	1.3%
SF	#16	#26	#10	#21	3.1%
SG	#18	#5	#2	#8	-1.9%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#24	#18	#21	3.5%
PF	#18	#6	#26	#18	-0.1%
PG	#29	#18	#13	#29	8.0%
SF	#6	#8	#23	#8	-4.9%
SG	#13	#21	#8	#9	-1.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

107.2

112.9

Rebounds per Game

44.0

42.9

Assists per Game

26.3

25.0

Steals per Game

6.9

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.0

6.6

Shots per Game

86.5

87.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.3

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.5

53.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.1

37.0

Turnovers per Game

13.1

13.4

Fouls per Game

15.2

17.7

Recent Trends

Kyle Anderson (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.2% to 12.3, 18.2 min average previous 3 games.
Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.8% to 24.1, 14.6 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.