Heat and Mavericks Face-Off: A Sizzling Showdown of NBA Titans!

thefield
Miami Heat

Heat

35W-26L

Miami Heat

March 07, 2024

08:30PM EST

Odds: 228.5 o/u

Mavericks

34W-28L

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks

Hold onto your jerseys, folks, because we’re in for a sizzling showdown tonight! The Miami Heat, boasting a solid 35W-26L record, are packing their bags and jetting off to the American Airlines Center to lock horns with the 34W-28L Dallas Mavericks. Now, that’s a match-up hotter than a Texas BBQ in July! The tipoff is set for 08:30PM EST, so make sure you’ve got your popcorn popped and your beer on ice. Our friends in the East, the Heat, are just a hair’s breadth away from the top, trailing by only 1.0 games in the conference. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, the pride of the West, are lagging a bit with a 3.0 game deficit. The betting gurus have set the over/under at a whopping 228.5, with the Heat line at 4.0, and the Mavericks line at -4.0. The Mavs may be smarting from their recent 120-137 loss against IND, but don’t count them out just yet. The Heat, on the other hand, are riding the wave of their 118-110 victory over DET. So, buckle up, basketball fans, because this game is going to be a wild ride!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 07, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

MIA ML DAL ML Over/Under Line
Open +160 -185 229.0 4.0/-4.0
Recent +140 -165 228.5 4.5/-4.5
Difference -20 +20 -0.5

Team Performance

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
8W-2L
AWAY
17W-13L

41.7% Win Probability

dal Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
HOME
17W-15L

58.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
04/01/23 Dallas Mavericks DAL 31 33 32 26 122 Over
Miami Heat MIA 44 32 26 27 129
01/20/23 Miami Heat MIA 19 32 16 23 90 Under
Dallas Mavericks DAL 31 29 32 23 115
02/15/22 Dallas Mavericks DAL 23 28 30 26 107 Under
Miami Heat MIA 28 31 19 21 99
11/02/21 Miami Heat MIA 24 46 29 26 125 Over
Dallas Mavericks DAL 30 32 26 22 110

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Tyler Herro (PG/SG): Avg: 20.8pts, 5.3reb, 4.4ast, 33.6 minutes. Last game: 02/23/24. Impact: 5.5
  • Kevin Love (C): Avg: 9.0pts, 6.2reb, 2.2ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 3.3
  • Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.3pts, 0.4reb, 0.4ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 0.4
  • Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 0.0

Mavericks Notable Injuries

  • Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 7.8pts, 1.8reb, 1.6ast, 14.6 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.5
  • Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 3.6reb, 1.5ast, 14.5 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9
  • Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
  • AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #6 #16 #15 #4 -13.5%
PF #15 #11 #27 #14 -0.4%
PG #3 #12 #3 #1 -23.2%
SF #22 #12 #9 #17 -0.1%
SG #1 #9 #9 #1 -10.9%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #30 #7 #22 #27 11.0%
PF #17 #28 #12 #18 1.7%
PG #14 #14 #29 #18 2.0%
SF #8 #21 #14 #14 -2.6%
SG #24 #26 #21 #25 5.4%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
113.5
120.8
Rebounds per Game
42.4
45.1
Assists per Game
27.2
24.8
Steals per Game
8.3
7.2
Blocks per Game
4.1
5.8
Shots per Game
86.4
91.2
3-Pointers Made per Game
12.6
14.3
2-Pt Percentage per Game
55.2
58.8
3-Pt Percentage per Game
38.1
37.9
Turnovers per Game
11.7
11.5
Fouls per Game
16.2
16.6

Recent Trends

  • Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
  • Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 39.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 11.0 ast against IND
  • Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.0% to 12.8, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.4% to 15.8, 24.9 min average previous 3 games.
  • Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.4% to 12.0, 28.3 min average previous 3 games.
  • Dru Smith (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.6% to 10.9, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Heat have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 2-game winning streak. The Mavericks have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 3-game losing streak.

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