Heat and Mavericks Face-Off: A Sizzling Showdown of NBA Titans!
Heat
35W-26L
March 07, 2024
08:30PM EST
Odds: 228.5 o/u
Mavericks
34W-28L
Hold onto your jerseys, folks, because we’re in for a sizzling showdown tonight! The Miami Heat, boasting a solid 35W-26L record, are packing their bags and jetting off to the American Airlines Center to lock horns with the 34W-28L Dallas Mavericks. Now, that’s a match-up hotter than a Texas BBQ in July! The tipoff is set for 08:30PM EST, so make sure you’ve got your popcorn popped and your beer on ice. Our friends in the East, the Heat, are just a hair’s breadth away from the top, trailing by only 1.0 games in the conference. Meanwhile, the Mavericks, the pride of the West, are lagging a bit with a 3.0 game deficit. The betting gurus have set the over/under at a whopping 228.5, with the Heat line at 4.0, and the Mavericks line at -4.0. The Mavs may be smarting from their recent 120-137 loss against IND, but don’t count them out just yet. The Heat, on the other hand, are riding the wave of their 118-110 victory over DET. So, buckle up, basketball fans, because this game is going to be a wild ride!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 07, 2024 08:30PM EST
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | DAL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +160 | -185 | 229.0 | 4.0/-4.0 |
Recent | +140 | -165 | 228.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Difference | -20 | +20 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
41.7% Win Probability
58.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/01/23 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 31 | 33 | 32 | 26 | 122 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 44 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 129 | ||||
01/20/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 19 | 32 | 16 | 23 | 90 | Under | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 31 | 29 | 32 | 23 | 115 | ||||
02/15/22 | Dallas Mavericks DAL | 23 | 28 | 30 | 26 | 107 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 31 | 19 | 21 | 99 | ||||
11/02/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 24 | 46 | 29 | 26 | 125 | Over | ||
Dallas Mavericks DAL | 30 | 32 | 26 | 22 | 110 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.4 | 37.4 | 41.1 | 100% | 40.5 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
46.8 | 48.9 | 39.4 | 100% | 38.1 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
18.1 | 16.7 | 14.3 | 67% | 18.8 |
29.0 | 29.8 | 22.2 | 27% | 32.2 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
33.5 | 31.1 | 34.4 | 93% | 35.4 |
Dallas Mavericks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Luka Doncic
SG
|
69.6 | 71.8 | 67.5 | 100% | 67.7 |
Josh Green
SF
|
18.0 | 14.2 | 19.8 | 90% | 21.2 |
Kyrie Irving
PG
|
45.2 | 39.1 | 43.9 | 100% | 44.3 |
17.5 | 17.5 | 23.3 | 93% | 23.1 | |
25.5 | 30.8 | 25.3 | 43% | 24.9 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Tyler Herro (PG/SG): Avg: 20.8pts, 5.3reb, 4.4ast, 33.6 minutes. Last game: 02/23/24. Impact: 5.5
- Kevin Love (C): Avg: 9.0pts, 6.2reb, 2.2ast, 17.4 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 3.3
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.3pts, 0.4reb, 0.4ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 0.4
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 02/26/24. Impact: 0.0
Mavericks Notable Injuries
- Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 7.8pts, 1.8reb, 1.6ast, 14.6 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 1.5
- Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 3.6reb, 1.5ast, 14.5 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.9
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper (SF/PF): Avg: 2.6pts, 1.8reb, 0.6ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.7
- Markieff Morris (PF/C): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
- AJ Lawson (SG/SF): Avg: 3.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.4ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 03/05/24. Impact: 0.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Luka Doncic | DAL | Pts | 32.5 | 36.3 | +3.8 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIA | -2.9 | #1 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 22.5 | 25.9 | +3.4 | 20% | 10% | 13% | 13% | DAL | -1.8 | #8 |
Kyrie Irving | DAL | Reb | 4.5 | 5.2 | +0.7 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MIA | -0.6 | #9 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #6 | #16 | #15 | #4 | -13.5% |
PF | #15 | #11 | #27 | #14 | -0.4% |
PG | #3 | #12 | #3 | #1 | -23.2% |
SF | #22 | #12 | #9 | #17 | -0.1% |
SG | #1 | #9 | #9 | #1 | -10.9% |
Mavericks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #30 | #7 | #22 | #27 | 11.0% |
PF | #17 | #28 | #12 | #18 | 1.7% |
PG | #14 | #14 | #29 | #18 | 2.0% |
SF | #8 | #21 | #14 | #14 | -2.6% |
SG | #24 | #26 | #21 | #25 | 5.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Luka Doncic (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
- Luka Doncic (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 39.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 11.0 ast against IND
- Dante Exum (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.0% to 12.8, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.4% to 15.8, 24.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.4% to 12.0, 28.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Dru Smith (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.6% to 10.9, 21.7 min average previous 3 games. The Heat have a 1-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 2-game winning streak. The Mavericks have a 2-game losing streak at home. Overall, they are on a 3-game losing streak.
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