Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 15th 2024
Heat
35W-30L
March 15, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 216.0 o/u
Pistons
13W-52L
Alright, hoop heads, buckle up for this one! The sizzling Miami Heat, boasting a respectable 35W-30L record, are jetting off to the Motor City to throw down with the Detroit Pistons, who are, well, let’s just say they’re still finding their groove at 13W-52L. The action’s set to explode at the Little Caesars Arena come 07:00PM EST – a match-up that’s got the Eastern conference standings in a bit of a hot mess. The Heat are just 2.5 games shy of conference domination, while the Pistons are lagging a tad behind, 29.0 games back to be precise. The bookies have crunched the numbers and the over/under is sitting pretty at 216.0. Miami’s looking hot to trot at -6.5, with Detroit holding the underdog line at 6.5. The Pistons are riding high after their recent 113-104 triumph over Toronto, while the Heat are looking to bounce back from their 88-100 stumble against Denver. So, whether you’re a Heat fan or a Pistons supporter, this game is set to be a real scorcher. Let’s just hope the Pistons don’t get too heated!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 15, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -300 | +250 | 214.5 | -6.5/6.5 |
Recent | -200 | +150 | 216.0 | -8.0/8.0 |
Difference | +100 | -100 | +1.5 | – |
Team Performance
66.7% Win Probability
33.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/05/24 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 34 | 28 | 22 | 110 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 36 | 25 | 32 | 25 | 118 | ||||
10/25/23 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 102 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 32 | 25 | 20 | 103 | ||||
04/04/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 28 | 21 | 38 | 118 | Over | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 27 | 25 | 27 | 26 | 105 | ||||
03/19/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 26 | 22 | 38 | 112 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 18 | 34 | 19 | 100 | ||||
12/06/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 20 | 27 | 31 | 38 | 116 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 96 | ||||
03/15/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 22 | 29 | 22 | 25 | 98 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 28 | 11 | 37 | 105 | ||||
12/23/21 | Detroit Pistons DET | 29 | 32 | 26 | 25 | 112 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 26 | 33 | 27 | 115 | ||||
12/19/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 25 | 19 | 23 | 90 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 20 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 100 | ||||
11/23/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 20 | 26 | 21 | 33 | 100 | Under | ||
Detroit Pistons DET | 25 | 28 | 23 | 16 | 92 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13 | @ DEN | 88-100L | 42 | 18 | 8 | 81 |
03/10 | @ WAS | 108-110L | 51 | 20 | 13 | 96 |
03/08 | vs OKL | 100-107L | 43 | 24 | 10 | 83 |
03/07 | vs DAL | 108-114L | 37 | 30 | 10 | 82 |
03/05 | @ DET | 118-110W | 42 | 27 | 9 | 85 |
03/02 | @ UTA | 126-120W | 34 | 33 | 6 | 90 |
02/29 | vs DEN | 97-103L | 45 | 21 | 14 | 84 |
02/27 | vs POR | 106-96W | 34 | 29 | 18 | 70 |
02/26 | vs SAC | 121-110W | 39 | 27 | 11 | 87 |
02/23 | vs NOP | 106-95W | 46 | 20 | 14 | 82 |
Pistons Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/13 | @ TOR | 113-104W | 58 | 27 | 21 | 88 |
03/11 | @ CHA | 114-97W | 51 | 26 | 12 | 87 |
03/09 | @ DAL | 124-142L | 56 | 27 | 19 | 101 |
03/07 | @ BRO | 118-112W | 50 | 24 | 22 | 83 |
03/05 | vs MIA | 110-118L | 42 | 26 | 10 | 90 |
03/03 | vs ORL | 91-113L | 28 | 25 | 12 | 87 |
03/01 | @ CLE | 100-110L | 42 | 24 | 8 | 89 |
02/27 | vs CHI | 105-95W | 47 | 22 | 18 | 76 |
02/26 | vs NYK | 111-113L | 42 | 25 | 17 | 79 |
02/24 | @ ORL | 109-112L | 36 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45.2 | 29.6 | 38.7 | 100% | 38.1 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
46.8 | 30.1 | 37.4 | 100% | 36.1 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
17.4 | 13.8 | 14.3 | 73% | 17.2 |
26.5 | 21.0 | 20.9 | 40% | 27.4 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
37.0 | 29.1 | 33.6 | 93% | 34.6 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
42.5 | 46.4 | 41.9 | 93% | 42.6 | |
35.8 | 36.8 | 34.7 | 93% | 35.2 | |
27.6 | 28.8 | 21.3 | 73% | 20.0 | |
Jaden Ivey
SG
|
29.7 | 33.0 | 30.6 | 93% | 31.0 |
24.1 | 21.7 | 23.2 | 93% | 22.7 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.8reb, 2.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 02/29/24. Impact: 1.5
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
- Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 21.5 | 25.6 | +4.1 | 20% | 40% | 53% | 53% | DET | -2.5 | #5 |
Terry Rozier | MIA | Pts | 17.5 | 19.4 | +1.9 | 20% | 30% | 33% | 33% | DET | +2.6 | #27 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Reb | 11.5 | 12.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIA | -0.4 | #13 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Reb | 10.5 | 10.9 | +0.4 | 20% | 10% | 27% | 27% | DET | +0.7 | #20 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #2 | #13 | #16 | #1 | -23.8% |
PF | #8 | #23 | #18 | #19 | -1.0% |
PG | #12 | #18 | #5 | #5 | -10.8% |
SF | #20 | #8 | #10 | #16 | -1.2% |
SG | #12 | #9 | #16 | #13 | -2.5% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #20 | #23 | #24 | 9.2% |
PF | #6 | #2 | #16 | #9 | -4.7% |
PG | #14 | #25 | #11 | #22 | 4.8% |
SF | #5 | #12 | #20 | #6 | -9.6% |
SG | #27 | #2 | #18 | #24 | 5.0% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.0% to 23.5, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.2% to 21.4, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.2% to 24.2, 34.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 20.0, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
- James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.6% to 22.4, 14.5 min average previous 3 games. The Heat have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Pistons have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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