Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 15th 2024

thefield
Miami Heat

Heat

35W-30L

Miami Heat

March 15, 2024

07:00PM EST

Odds: 216.0 o/u

Pistons

13W-52L

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons

Alright, hoop heads, buckle up for this one! The sizzling Miami Heat, boasting a respectable 35W-30L record, are jetting off to the Motor City to throw down with the Detroit Pistons, who are, well, let’s just say they’re still finding their groove at 13W-52L. The action’s set to explode at the Little Caesars Arena come 07:00PM EST – a match-up that’s got the Eastern conference standings in a bit of a hot mess. The Heat are just 2.5 games shy of conference domination, while the Pistons are lagging a tad behind, 29.0 games back to be precise. The bookies have crunched the numbers and the over/under is sitting pretty at 216.0. Miami’s looking hot to trot at -6.5, with Detroit holding the underdog line at 6.5. The Pistons are riding high after their recent 113-104 triumph over Toronto, while the Heat are looking to bounce back from their 88-100 stumble against Denver. So, whether you’re a Heat fan or a Pistons supporter, this game is set to be a real scorcher. Let’s just hope the Pistons don’t get too heated!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 15, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

MIA ML DET ML Over/Under Line
Open -300 +250 214.5 -6.5/6.5
Recent -200 +150 216.0 -8.0/8.0
Difference +100 -100 +1.5

Team Performance

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
17W-15L

66.7% Win Probability

det Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
HOME
7W-26L

33.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
03/05/24 Detroit Pistons DET 26 34 28 22 110 Over
Miami Heat MIA 36 25 32 25 118
10/25/23 Detroit Pistons DET 29 18 28 27 102 Under
Miami Heat MIA 26 32 25 20 103
04/04/23 Miami Heat MIA 31 28 21 38 118 Over
Detroit Pistons DET 27 25 27 26 105
03/19/23 Miami Heat MIA 26 26 22 38 112 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 29 18 34 19 100
12/06/22 Detroit Pistons DET 20 27 31 38 116 Under
Miami Heat MIA 25 25 23 23 96
03/15/22 Detroit Pistons DET 22 29 22 25 98 Under
Miami Heat MIA 29 28 11 37 105
12/23/21 Detroit Pistons DET 29 32 26 25 112 Over
Miami Heat MIA 29 26 33 27 115
12/19/21 Miami Heat MIA 23 25 19 23 90 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 20 26 33 21 100
11/23/21 Miami Heat MIA 20 26 21 33 100 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 25 28 23 16 92

Heat Vs Over/Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/13 @ DEN 88-100L 42 18 8 81
03/10 @ WAS 108-110L 51 20 13 96
03/08 vs OKL 100-107L 43 24 10 83
03/07 vs DAL 108-114L 37 30 10 82
03/05 @ DET 118-110W 42 27 9 85
03/02 @ UTA 126-120W 34 33 6 90
02/29 vs DEN 97-103L 45 21 14 84
02/27 vs POR 106-96W 34 29 18 70
02/26 vs SAC 121-110W 39 27 11 87
02/23 vs NOP 106-95W 46 20 14 82

Pistons Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/13 @ TOR 113-104W 58 27 21 88
03/11 @ CHA 114-97W 51 26 12 87
03/09 @ DAL 124-142L 56 27 19 101
03/07 @ BRO 118-112W 50 24 22 83
03/05 vs MIA 110-118L 42 26 10 90
03/03 vs ORL 91-113L 28 25 12 87
03/01 @ CLE 100-110L 42 24 8 89
02/27 vs CHI 105-95W 47 22 18 76
02/26 vs NYK 111-113L 42 25 17 79
02/24 @ ORL 109-112L 36 29 12 88

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.8reb, 2.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 02/29/24. Impact: 1.5

Pistons Notable Injuries

  • Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
  • Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #2 #13 #16 #1 -23.8%
PF #8 #23 #18 #19 -1.0%
PG #12 #18 #5 #5 -10.8%
SF #20 #8 #10 #16 -1.2%
SG #12 #9 #16 #13 -2.5%

Pistons Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #18 #20 #23 #24 9.2%
PF #6 #2 #16 #9 -4.7%
PG #14 #25 #11 #22 4.8%
SF #5 #12 #20 #6 -9.6%
SG #27 #2 #18 #24 5.0%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
107.9
109.2
Rebounds per Game
41.5
45.1
Assists per Game
25.1
25.7
Steals per Game
7.8
7.9
Blocks per Game
4.5
5.2
Shots per Game
84.5
88.1
3-Pointers Made per Game
11.5
11.7
2-Pt Percentage per Game
52.8
52.6
3-Pt Percentage per Game
38.0
33.5
Turnovers per Game
11.5
15.4
Fouls per Game
16.3
20.8

Recent Trends

  • Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.0% to 23.5, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.2% to 21.4, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.2% to 24.2, 34.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 20.0, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.6% to 22.4, 14.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Heat have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Pistons have a 2-game winning streak at home.

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