Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Mar 15th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, buckle up for this one! The sizzling Miami Heat, boasting a respectable 35W-30L record, are jetting off to the Motor City to throw down with the Detroit Pistons, who are, well, let’s just say they’re still finding their groove at 13W-52L. The action’s set to explode at the Little Caesars Arena come 07:00PM EST – a match-up that’s got the Eastern conference standings in a bit of a hot mess. The Heat are just 2.5 games shy of conference domination, while the Pistons are lagging a tad behind, 29.0 games back to be precise. The bookies have crunched the numbers and the over/under is sitting pretty at 216.0. Miami’s looking hot to trot at -6.5, with Detroit holding the underdog line at 6.5. The Pistons are riding high after their recent 113-104 triumph over Toronto, while the Heat are looking to bounce back from their 88-100 stumble against Denver. So, whether you’re a Heat fan or a Pistons supporter, this game is set to be a real scorcher. Let’s just hope the Pistons don’t get too heated!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 15, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

17W-15L

66.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

7W-26L

33.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
03/05/24	Detroit Pistons DET	26	34	28	22		110	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	36	25	32	25		118
10/25/23	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	28	27		102	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	26	32	25	20		103
04/04/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	21	38		118	Over
	Detroit Pistons DET	27	25	27	26		105
03/19/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	26	22	38		112	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	34	19		100
12/06/22	Detroit Pistons DET	20	27	31	38		116	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	25	25	23	23		96
03/15/22	Detroit Pistons DET	22	29	22	25		98	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	29	28	11	37		105
12/23/21	Detroit Pistons DET	29	32	26	25		112	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	27		115
12/19/21	Miami Heat MIA	23	25	19	23		90	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	20	26	33	21		100
11/23/21	Miami Heat MIA	20	26	21	33		100	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	25	28	23	16		92

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

• Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.8reb, 2.5ast, 14.2 minutes. Last game: 02/29/24. Impact: 1.5

Pistons Notable Injuries

• Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
• Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.0% to 23.5, 35.6 min average previous 3 games.
• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.2% to 21.4, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
• Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.2% to 24.2, 34.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 20.0, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
• James Wiseman (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.6% to 22.4, 14.5 min average previous 3 games.
The Heat have a 2-game losing streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 4-game losing streak. The Pistons have a 2-game winning streak at home.