Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 17th 2024

Get ready for a scorcher as the sizzling Miami Heat, just a few steps away from the top of the Eastern conference, roll into the Motor City to take on the Pistons, who’ve been stuck in the garage for most of the season. The Heat, fresh off a victory against these very Pistons, are looking to keep the flames alive at Little Caesars Arena today, with the tipoff set for the prime time of 03:00PM EST. The Pistons, on the other hand, are trying to spark something, anything, after their recent defeat against… well, you guessed it, the Heat. The betting lines are drawn, favoring the Heat with a -7.5, but the Pistons are not to be underestimated at home. The over/under is 214.5, so we’re all set for a game that promises to be as hot as a Miami beach and as tough as Detroit steel. So, buckle up, folks, because it’s going to be a heated affair with the Pistons firing on all cylinders!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 17, 2024 03:00PM EST

Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

18W-15L

73.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

7W-27L

27.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
03/15/24	Miami Heat MIA	27	29	28	24		108	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	28	26	18	23		95
03/05/24	Detroit Pistons DET	26	34	28	22		110	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	36	25	32	25		118
10/25/23	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	28	27		102	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	26	32	25	20		103
04/04/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	21	38		118	Over
	Detroit Pistons DET	27	25	27	26		105
03/19/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	26	22	38		112	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	34	19		100
12/06/22	Detroit Pistons DET	20	27	31	38		116	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	25	25	23	23		96
03/15/22	Detroit Pistons DET	22	29	22	25		98	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	29	28	11	37		105
12/23/21	Detroit Pistons DET	29	32	26	25		112	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	27		115
12/19/21	Miami Heat MIA	23	25	19	23		90	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	20	26	33	21		100
11/23/21	Miami Heat MIA	20	26	21	33		100	Under
	Detroit Pistons DET	25	28	23	16		92

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

• Nikola Jovic (PF/C): Avg: 5.9pts, 4.0reb, 1.8ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 2.4
• Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.2ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.5

Pistons Notable Injuries

• Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
• Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
• Tosan Evbuomwan (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.3reb, 0.9ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.5% to 22.9, 34.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 24.2, 37.1 min average previous 3 games.
• Nikola Jovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.8% to 12.1, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
• Patty Mills (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.2% to 14.3, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
• Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 70.1% to 21.8, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.