Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 17th 2024

thefield
Miami Heat

Heat

36W-30L

Miami Heat

March 17, 2024

03:00PM EST

Odds: 214.5 o/u

Pistons

13W-53L

Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons

Get ready for a scorcher as the sizzling Miami Heat, just a few steps away from the top of the Eastern conference, roll into the Motor City to take on the Pistons, who’ve been stuck in the garage for most of the season. The Heat, fresh off a victory against these very Pistons, are looking to keep the flames alive at Little Caesars Arena today, with the tipoff set for the prime time of 03:00PM EST. The Pistons, on the other hand, are trying to spark something, anything, after their recent defeat against… well, you guessed it, the Heat. The betting lines are drawn, favoring the Heat with a -7.5, but the Pistons are not to be underestimated at home. The over/under is 214.5, so we’re all set for a game that promises to be as hot as a Miami beach and as tough as Detroit steel. So, buckle up, folks, because it’s going to be a heated affair with the Pistons firing on all cylinders!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 17, 2024 03:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

MIA ML DET ML Over/Under Line
Open -290 +240 215.0 -7.5/7.5
Recent -270 +220 214.5 -6.5/6.5
Difference +20 -20 -0.5

Team Performance

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
18W-15L

73.0% Win Probability

det Team Logo
LAST 10
4W-6L
HOME
7W-27L

27.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
03/15/24 Miami Heat MIA 27 29 28 24 108 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 28 26 18 23 95
03/05/24 Detroit Pistons DET 26 34 28 22 110 Over
Miami Heat MIA 36 25 32 25 118
10/25/23 Detroit Pistons DET 29 18 28 27 102 Under
Miami Heat MIA 26 32 25 20 103
04/04/23 Miami Heat MIA 31 28 21 38 118 Over
Detroit Pistons DET 27 25 27 26 105
03/19/23 Miami Heat MIA 26 26 22 38 112 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 29 18 34 19 100
12/06/22 Detroit Pistons DET 20 27 31 38 116 Under
Miami Heat MIA 25 25 23 23 96
03/15/22 Detroit Pistons DET 22 29 22 25 98 Under
Miami Heat MIA 29 28 11 37 105
12/23/21 Detroit Pistons DET 29 32 26 25 112 Over
Miami Heat MIA 29 26 33 27 115
12/19/21 Miami Heat MIA 23 25 19 23 90 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 20 26 33 21 100
11/23/21 Miami Heat MIA 20 26 21 33 100 Under
Detroit Pistons DET 25 28 23 16 92

Heat Vs Over/Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/15 vs DET 108-95W 44 23 8 93
03/13 @ DEN 88-100L 42 18 8 81
03/10 @ WAS 108-110L 51 20 13 96
03/08 vs OKL 100-107L 43 24 10 83
03/07 vs DAL 108-114L 37 30 10 82
03/05 @ DET 118-110W 42 27 9 85
03/02 @ UTA 126-120W 34 33 6 90
02/29 vs DEN 97-103L 45 21 14 84
02/27 vs POR 106-96W 34 29 18 70
02/26 vs SAC 121-110W 39 27 11 87

Pistons Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/15 @ MIA 95-110L 48 27 17 85
03/13 @ TOR 113-104W 58 27 21 88
03/11 @ CHA 114-97W 51 26 12 87
03/09 @ DAL 124-142L 56 27 19 101
03/07 @ BRO 118-112W 50 24 22 83
03/05 vs MIA 110-118L 42 26 10 90
03/03 vs ORL 91-113L 28 25 12 87
03/01 @ CLE 100-110L 42 24 8 89
02/27 vs CHI 105-95W 47 22 18 76
02/26 vs NYK 111-113L 42 25 17 79

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Nikola Jovic (PF/C): Avg: 5.9pts, 4.0reb, 1.8ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 2.4
  • Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.2ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.5

Pistons Notable Injuries

  • Ausar Thompson (SF/PF): Avg: 8.9pts, 6.4reb, 1.9ast, 25.0 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 4.3
  • Quentin Grimes (SG/SF): Avg: 7.1pts, 2.0reb, 1.3ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 03/13/24. Impact: 2.5
  • Tosan Evbuomwan (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.3reb, 0.9ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #3 #24 #16 #2 -17.0%
PF #12 #22 #12 #17 -0.6%
PG #11 #15 #2 #5 -12.1%
SF #27 #10 #9 #24 9.1%
SG #8 #9 #19 #12 -5.2%

Pistons Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #24 #14 #17 #25 8.4%
PF #8 #3 #23 #11 -3.3%
PG #14 #23 #14 #18 3.2%
SF #2 #7 #14 #2 -26.1%
SG #27 #5 #12 #24 4.9%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
107.8
108.8
Rebounds per Game
41.5
45.1
Assists per Game
24.7
25.8
Steals per Game
8.2
7.2
Blocks per Game
5.0
4.9
Shots per Game
84.8
86.8
3-Pointers Made per Game
11.1
11.7
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.3
53.6
3-Pt Percentage per Game
36.9
33.4
Turnovers per Game
11.0
15.2
Fouls per Game
16.2
19.5

Recent Trends

  • Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.5% to 22.9, 34.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 24.2, 37.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Nikola Jovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.8% to 12.1, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
  • Patty Mills (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.2% to 14.3, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
  • Marcus Sasser (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 70.1% to 21.8, 12.8 min average previous 3 games.

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