Heat vs Pistons Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and rev up those engines, folks! Tonight, the soaring Miami Heat are set to clash with the revving Detroit Pistons at the bustling Little Caesars Arena, marking an electrifying start to the 2024 NBA Playoffs. With the Heat sizzling close to the top of the Eastern conference and the Pistons looking to shift gears and catch up, this matchup promises to be more than just your average playoff game. As the clock ticks down to an 08:00 PM EST tipoff, the stakes are high with the betting lines buzzing and fans eagerly anticipating a game where every dribble counts. Both teams are coming off distinctly different evenings, setting the stage for a showdown that could either stoke the flames of victory or extinguish hopes with a sputter. So, let’s see if the Heat can keep the fire burning or if the Pistons can kick it into high gear and steal the spotlight!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 16, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	DET ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-200	+170	218.0	-5.0/5.0
Recent	-180	+155	219.5	-4.5/4.5
Difference	+20	-15	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

26W-23L

64.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

10W-40L

35.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/12/24	Miami Heat MIA	21	30	31	29	100	121	Over
11/12/24	Detroit Pistons DET	32	25	34	20	120	123	Over
10/28/24	Detroit Pistons DET	30	23	26	19	00	98	Under
10/28/24	Miami Heat MIA	28	36	14	28	00	106	Under
03/17/24	Miami Heat MIA	21	39	19	25	00	104	Under
03/17/24	Detroit Pistons DET	23	27	26	25	00	101	Under
03/15/24	Miami Heat MIA	27	29	28	24	00	108	Under
03/15/24	Detroit Pistons DET	28	26	18	23	00	95	Under
03/05/24	Detroit Pistons DET	26	34	28	22	00	110	Over
03/05/24	Miami Heat MIA	36	25	32	25	00	118	Over
10/25/23	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	28	27	00	102	Under
10/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	32	25	20	00	103	Under
04/04/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	21	38	00	118	Over
04/04/23	Detroit Pistons DET	27	25	27	26	00	105	Over
03/19/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	26	22	38	00	112	Under
03/19/23	Detroit Pistons DET	29	18	34	19	00	100	Under
12/06/22	Detroit Pistons DET	20	27	31	38	00	116	Under
12/06/22	Miami Heat MIA	25	25	23	23	00	96	Under
03/15/22	Detroit Pistons DET	22	29	22	25	00	98	Under
03/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	28	11	37	00	105	Under
12/23/21	Detroit Pistons DET	29	32	26	25	00	112	Over
12/23/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	27	00	115	Over
12/19/21	Miami Heat MIA	23	25	19	23	00	90	Under
12/19/21	Detroit Pistons DET	20	26	33	21	00	100	Under
11/23/21	Miami Heat MIA	20	26	21	33	00	100	Under
11/23/21	Detroit Pistons DET	25	28	23	16	00	92	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Pistons Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/12	@ TOR	114-104W	52	21	15	83
12/08	@ CLE	122-113W	47	27	11	86
12/07	@ PHX	121-111W	41	30	11	86
12/04	@ LAL	134-93W	52	42	15	90
12/02	vs BOS	89-108L	44	24	10	87
12/01	vs TOR	116-119L	45	25	14	88
11/29	@ TOR	121-111W	33	32	8	94
11/26	@ MIL	103-106L	38	26	8	77
11/24	@ DAL	123-118W	57	27	9	107
11/18	@ PHI	106-89W	53	26	13	87

Pistons Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/12	vs BOS	99-123L	43	27	8	98
12/07	vs NYK	120-111W	43	28	18	83
12/04	vs BOS	120-130L	34	27	18	84
12/03	@ MIL	107-128L	41	22	18	87
11/30	@ PHI	96-111L	42	22	16	91
11/29	vs IND	130-106W	44	35	18	83
11/25	@ TOR	102-100W	38	27	14	76
11/23	vs ORL	100-111L	34	16	17	75
11/21	vs CHA	121-123L	56	30	19	99
11/18	@ CHI	112-122L	48	27	9	98

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	46.0	44.0	38.4	100%	38.9
Jimmy Butler SF	36.0	33.8	33.5	100%	34.0
Tyler Herro PG	38.0	41.6	38.0	93%	39.0
Haywood Highsmith PF	18.0	18.9	17.3	47%	17.0
Duncan Robinson SG	25.0	22.8	15.0	50%	17.0

Detroit Pistons	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Cade Cunningham PG	55.0	51.6	46.7	100%	47.0
Jalen Duren C	32.0	21.2	26.2	100%	26.5
Simone Fontecchio PF	10.0	12.8	16.7	13%	30.1
Tim Hardaway Jr. SF	18.0	12.3	12.9	70%	15.3
Jaden Ivey SG	31.0	23.0	30.6	100%	31.1

Heat Notable Injuries

Nikola Jovic (PF/C): Avg: 8.0pts, 4.2reb, 1.8ast, 19.6 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 2.8
Alec Burks (PG/SG): Avg: 10.2pts, 2.3reb, 1.3ast, 18.1 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 2.2
Pelle Larsson (SF): Avg: 5.3pts, 2.1reb, 1.5ast, 16.0 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 2.2
Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.2reb, 0.6ast, 10.9 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 1.9
Keshad Johnson (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 0.4

Pistons Notable Injuries

Ronald Holland II (SF): Avg: 5.8pts, 3.0reb, 0.8ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 2.2
Wendell Moore Jr. (PG/SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 12/12/24. Impact: 1.8

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Cade Cunningham	DET	Pts	23.5	28.1	+4.6	60%	60%	47%	47%	MIA	+0.2	#18
Duncan Robinson	MIA	Pts	10.5	13.6	+3.1	40%	40%	47%	47%	DET	-3.3	#1
Jalen Duren	DET	Reb	9.5	10.7	+1.2	20%	40%	40%	40%	MIA	-1.2	#4
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Reb	10.5	11.3	+0.8	60%	60%	53%	53%	DET	+0.6	#24
Terry Rozier	MIA	Ast	2.5	3.3	+0.8	20%	30%	47%	47%	DET	-0.3	#11

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#7	#4	#17	#4	-8.4%
PF	#17	#26	#13	#14	-0.6%
PG	#18	#13	#27	#20	2.7%
SF	#28	#19	#14	#21	4.4%
SG	#2	#20	#13	#4	-8.1%

Pistons Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#16	#13	#24	6.3%
PF	#19	#24	#21	#24	3.8%
PG	#27	#4	#11	#22	3.4%
SF	#29	#22	#20	#29	10.2%
SG	#1	#9	#7	#2	-9.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.5

107.0

Rebounds per Game

42.9

43.3

Assists per Game

26.9

24.4

Steals per Game

8.4

6.9

Blocks per Game

3.3

4.9

Shots per Game

87.1

86.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.7

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.5

52.6

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.9

35.2

Turnovers per Game

11.2

14.9

Fouls per Game

16.2

19.4

Recent Trends

Josh Christopher (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Nikola Jovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 40.3% to 12.6, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
Pelle Larsson (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.3% to 16.5, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.9% to 29.5, 19.1 min average previous 3 games.