Heat vs Pacers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 7th 2024
Heat
43W-34L
April 07, 2024
05:00PM EST
Odds: 227.0 o/u
Pacers
44W-34L
Heads up, hoop heads! The clash of the titans is about to go down at the Gainbridge Fieldhouse! The Miami Heat, boasting a respectable 43-34 record, are set to bring the heat to the 44-34 Indiana Pacers in a game that promises to be as hot as a summer in South Beach. With the Heat trailing by a mere 2 games in the Eastern Conference and the Pacers hot on their heels 3.5 games back, this 5 PM EST showdown is bound to have fans on the edge of their seats. Betting lines are buzzing with an over/under of 227 and the Heat sizzling at a line of 1.0, while the Pacers counter with a line of -1.0. Fresh off a scorching 126-112 victory against OKL, the Pacers are looking to keep the momentum going. But don’t count the Heat out just yet, they’re still smoldering from their 119-96 triumph over HOU. So, buckle up folks, because when the Heat and Pacers collide, you can expect the court to catch fire!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 07, 2024 05:00PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | IND ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -105 | -115 | 227.5 | 1.0/-1.0 |
Recent | +100 | -120 | 227.0 | 1.5/-1.5 |
Difference | +205 | -5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
50.0% Win Probability
50.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/02/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 40 | 41 | 38 | 144 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 31 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 129 | ||||
11/30/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 38 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 132 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 31 | 33 | 45 | 142 | ||||
02/08/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 33 | 20 | 28 | 111 | Push | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 39 | 21 | 29 | 27 | 116 | ||||
12/23/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 25 | 28 | 27 | 111 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 30 | 24 | 26 | 108 | ||||
12/12/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 87 | Under | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 19 | 23 | 22 | 18 | 82 | ||||
11/04/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 99 | Under | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 28 | 34 | 18 | 21 | 101 | ||||
12/21/21 | Indiana Pacers IND | 21 | 24 | 24 | 27 | 96 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 35 | 30 | 27 | 125 | ||||
12/03/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 30 | 30 | 21 | 113 | Under | ||
Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 30 | 26 | 23 | 104 | ||||
10/23/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 24 | 22 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 91 | Under | |
Indiana Pacers IND | 28 | 28 | 8 | 22 | 16 | 102 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | vs HOU | 119-96W | 48 | 27 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ PHI | 105-109L | 51 | 24 | 15 | 94 |
04/02 | @ NYK | 109-99W | 39 | 24 | 17 | 74 |
03/31 | vs WAS | 119-107W | 42 | 22 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | @ POR | 142-82W | 44 | 41 | 8 | 93 |
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
03/24 | @ CLE | 121-84W | 44 | 29 | 9 | 83 |
03/22 | @ NOP | 88-111L | 34 | 22 | 4 | 87 |
03/20 | vs CLE | 107-104W | 37 | 19 | 7 | 83 |
03/18 | vs PHI | 91-98L | 49 | 23 | 15 | 89 |
Pacers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/05 | @ OKL | 126-112W | 39 | 30 | 13 | 88 |
04/03 | vs BRO | 111-115L | 45 | 27 | 9 | 103 |
04/01 | @ BRO | 133-111W | 47 | 35 | 9 | 103 |
03/29 | @ LAL | 109-90W | 46 | 27 | 8 | 91 |
03/27 | vs CHI | 99-125L | 40 | 25 | 13 | 85 |
03/25 | vs LAC | 133-116W | 34 | 28 | 8 | 86 |
03/24 | vs LAL | 145-150L | 40 | 39 | 11 | 107 |
03/22 | vs GSW | 123-111W | 50 | 32 | 11 | 103 |
03/20 | vs DET | 122-103W | 40 | 38 | 12 | 88 |
03/18 | @ CLE | 103-108L | 45 | 28 | 11 | 91 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
44.3 | 41.7 | 38.8 | 100% | 39.2 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
38.8 | 30.9 | 37.2 | 100% | 35.8 |
Tyler Herro
SG
|
30.4 | 34.6 | 34.4 | 93% | 35.1 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
14.5 | 21.8 | 15.4 | 90% | 17.3 |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
33.3 | 38.6 | 30.9 | 93% | 31.7 |
Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
45.6 | 42.0 | 38.8 | 100% | 38.5 | |
18.9 | 19.3 | 18.7 | 93% | 19.6 | |
22.6 | 20.6 | 24.5 | 100% | 23.4 | |
43.9 | 36.0 | 38.5 | 100% | 38.9 | |
30.6 | 26.9 | 30.0 | 100% | 30.0 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 2.5ast, 15.3 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 2.1
- Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.4reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 3.0
- Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 2.1
- Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 11.1 minutes. Last game: 04/05/24. Impact: 0.9
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.3reb, 1.0ast, 8.2 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.7
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.8pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.5 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.6
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 0.2
Pacers Notable Injuries
- James Johnson (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.9ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.9
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 0.3
- Isaiah Wong (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 04/01/24. Impact: 0.3
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 17.5 | 20.2 | +2.7 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | IND | +0.6 | #18 |
Pascal Siakam | IND | Pts | 21.5 | 23.9 | +2.4 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIA | +10.2 | #30 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Reb | 4.5 | 5.4 | +0.9 | 40% | 30% | 33% | 33% | IND | -4.6 | #2 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #13 | #10 | #3 | -10.6% |
PF | #1 | #14 | #1 | #2 | -14.4% |
PG | #22 | #13 | #25 | #17 | 3.8% |
SF | #30 | #15 | #8 | #25 | 15.1% |
SG | #9 | #19 | #22 | #11 | -4.1% |
Pacers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #18 | #30 | #5 | #25 | 5.6% |
PF | #22 | #2 | #9 | #13 | -3.5% |
PG | #13 | #19 | #10 | #10 | -14.3% |
SF | #21 | #2 | #12 | #8 | -12.2% |
SG | #13 | #29 | #6 | #14 | -2.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Caleb Martin (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 32.3% to 28.0, 21.1 min average previous 3 games.
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