Heat vs Pacers Game Breakdown

Get ready for some sizzling action as the Miami Heat blaze their way into Gainbridge Fieldhouse, looking to fan the flames against the Indiana Pacers in a first-round NBA Playoff game that promises more fireworks than the early blowouts we’ve witnessed. With the clock set for an 08:00 PM EST showdown, both teams are hungry to climb the Eastern conference ladder, and with betting lines buzzing and fans buzzing, tonight’s clash could very well tip the scales. While the Heat are still feeling the burn from a nail-biting loss to Detroit, the Pacers are shaking off the dust from their stumble against Orlando. As the scoreboard lights up tonight, watch the Heat try to melt the Pacers’ resolve in what’s expected to be a full-throttle furnace of competition!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 15, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+150	-175	227.5	4.0/-4.0
Recent	+135	-160	229.0	4.5/-4.5
Difference	-15	+15	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

25W-20L

42.6% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

28W-14L

57.4% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/07/24	Miami Heat MIA	24	22	32	37	00	115	Over
04/07/24	Indiana Pacers IND	38	25	28	26	00	117	Over
12/02/23	Indiana Pacers IND	25	40	41	38	00	144	Over
12/02/23	Miami Heat MIA	31	34	33	31	00	129	Over
11/30/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	35	27	32	00	132	Over
11/30/23	Miami Heat MIA	33	31	33	45	00	142	Over
02/08/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	33	20	28	00	111	Under
02/08/23	Miami Heat MIA	39	21	29	27	00	116	Under
12/23/22	Indiana Pacers IND	31	25	28	27	00	111	Under
12/23/22	Miami Heat MIA	28	30	24	26	00	108	Under
12/12/22	Miami Heat MIA	26	21	20	20	00	87	Under
12/12/22	Indiana Pacers IND	19	23	22	18	00	82	Under
11/04/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	21	27	22	00	99	Under
11/04/22	Indiana Pacers IND	28	34	18	21	00	101	Under
12/21/21	Indiana Pacers IND	21	24	24	27	00	96	Under
12/21/21	Miami Heat MIA	33	35	30	27	00	125	Under
12/03/21	Miami Heat MIA	32	30	30	21	00	113	Under
12/03/21	Indiana Pacers IND	25	30	26	23	00	104	Under
10/23/21	Miami Heat MIA	24	22	17	23	50	91	Under
10/23/21	Indiana Pacers IND	28	28	8	22	160	102	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/12	vs DET	121-123L	43	25	10	101
11/10	vs MIN	95-94W	43	18	22	77
11/08	vs DEN	122-135L	33	33	11	94
11/06	vs PHX	112-115L	43	27	10	92
10/30	@ NYK	107-116L	39	27	10	81
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
11/13	vs ORL	90-94L	41	22	16	84
11/10	@ NYK	132-121W	32	27	6	88
11/08	vs CHA	83-103L	37	24	12	83
11/06	@ ORL	118-111W	36	21	11	76
11/01	vs NOP	118-125L	39	35	14	89
10/30	@ BOS	135-132W	57	33	18	104
10/28	vs ORL	115-119L	44	25	12	88
10/27	@ PHI	114-118L	37	28	19	84
10/25	vs NYK	98-123L	33	28	15	83
10/23	vs DET	115-109W	39	32	15	83

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	51.0	37.1	37.0	100%	37.4
Tyler Herro PG	43.0	51.1	35.5	90%	36.6
Haywood Highsmith SF	21.0	22.6	16.4	13%	18.6
Kevin Love PF	15.0	7.5	15.4	7%	13.5
Terry Rozier SG	34.0	26.4	30.6	100%	30.9

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	44.0	36.0	39.2	100%	39.5
Bennedict Mathurin SF	36.0	39.9	26.6	40%	38.2
Ben Sheppard SG	15.0	13.6	11.4	17%	9.8
Pascal Siakam PF	37.0	34.5	37.3	100%	37.6
Myles Turner C	40.0	31.1	31.7	100%	32.0

Heat Notable Injuries

Jimmy Butler (SF): Avg: 20.0pts, 5.2reb, 4.9ast, 33.3 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 5.3
Alec Burks (PG/SG): Avg: 10.6pts, 2.4reb, 1.3ast, 18.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 2.7
Thomas Bryant (C): Avg: 5.2pts, 3.3reb, 0.6ast, 11.0 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 2.2

Pacers Notable Injuries

Aaron Nesmith (SF/PF): Avg: 11.8pts, 4.0reb, 1.6ast, 28.3 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 3.2
Andrew Nembhard (PG/SG): Avg: 10.0pts, 2.3reb, 4.4ast, 26.4 minutes. Last game: 11/06/24. Impact: 4.1
Isaiah Jackson (C): Avg: 6.1pts, 4.0reb, 0.8ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 11/01/24. Impact: 2.6
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.4reb, 0.7ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 11/08/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	18.5	23.2	+4.7	40%	40%	53%	53%	IND	+0.9	#23
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	16.5	20.3	+3.8	40%	30%	47%	47%	MIA	-2.5	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#9	#16	#3	-9.5%
PF	#13	#25	#7	#12	-2.1%
PG	#9	#19	#24	#14	-0.6%
SF	#29	#4	#3	#23	4.3%
SG	#2	#18	#16	#4	-5.8%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#6	#21	#1	#6	-9.0%
PF	#23	#17	#22	#17	0.8%
PG	#19	#9	#1	#4	-8.0%
SF	#13	#2	#27	#11	-1.1%
SG	#26	#20	#2	#15	-0.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.0

118.0

Rebounds per Game

42.0

42.1

Assists per Game

25.6

29.3

Steals per Game

8.4

7.6

Blocks per Game

4.0

5.5

Shots per Game

85.9

91.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.1

12.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.4

57.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

35.6

Turnovers per Game

11.0

11.6

Fouls per Game

16.4

21.2

Recent Trends

Alec Burks (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.2% to 16.6, 25.1 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Duncan Robinson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.1% to 24.5, 15.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jarace Walker (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.9% to 22.6, 15.1 min average previous 3 games.