Heat vs Magic Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and conjure some magic tonight as the NBA playoffs continue to sizzle! The Miami Heat are all set to storm the court at the Kia Center, taking on the Orlando Magic in what promises to be a nail-biter of a matchup. With both teams looking to bounce back from recent setbacks against OKL, tonight’s clash at 8 PM EST could be the spark that lights up the first round of the playoffs. The stakes are high, the lines are drawn, and fans are on the edge of their seats as these Eastern conference contenders battle it out. So, will the Heat scorch their way to victory, or will the Magic pull another rabbit out of their hat? Tune in to find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 21, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Kia Center, Orlando

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	ORL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+135	-160	209.0	3.0/-3.0
Recent	+120	-140	206.0	2.5/-2.5
Difference	-15	+20	-3.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

26W-23L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

36W-14L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
10/23/24	Orlando Magic ORL	32	26	39	19	00	116	Over
10/23/24	Miami Heat MIA	32	22	18	25	00	97	Over
02/06/24	Orlando Magic ORL	19	30	26	20	00	95	Over
02/06/24	Miami Heat MIA	26	30	40	25	00	121	Over
01/21/24	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	23	18	00	87	Under
01/21/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	26	33	24	00	105	Under
01/12/24	Orlando Magic ORL	22	33	18	23	00	96	Under
01/12/24	Miami Heat MIA	30	26	19	24	00	99	Under
12/20/23	Miami Heat MIA	25	43	21	26	00	115	Over
12/20/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	22	34	00	106	Over
04/09/23	Orlando Magic ORL	24	26	35	25	00	110	Over
04/09/23	Miami Heat MIA	23	29	32	39	00	123	Over
03/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	24	31	23	30	60	114	Over
03/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	34	24	23	27	180	126	Over
02/11/23	Miami Heat MIA	19	27	26	25	100	107	Over
02/11/23	Orlando Magic ORL	29	25	25	18	60	103	Over
01/27/23	Orlando Magic ORL	31	28	20	26	00	105	Over
01/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	24	23	37	00	110	Over
04/10/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	28	29	23	00	111	Over
04/10/22	Orlando Magic ORL	31	37	33	24	00	125	Over
12/26/21	Orlando Magic ORL	24	15	21	23	00	83	Under
12/26/21	Miami Heat MIA	22	20	30	21	00	93	Under
12/17/21	Miami Heat MIA	31	35	27	22	00	115	Over
12/17/21	Orlando Magic ORL	22	35	26	22	00	105	Over
10/25/21	Orlando Magic ORL	15	29	26	20	00	90	Under
10/25/21	Miami Heat MIA	27	30	24	26	00	107	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

Magic Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/20	@ OKL	97-104L	41	20	18	83
12/12	@ TOR	114-104W	52	21	15	83
12/08	@ CLE	122-113W	47	27	11	86
12/07	@ PHX	121-111W	41	30	11	86
12/04	@ LAL	134-93W	52	42	15	90
12/02	vs BOS	89-108L	44	24	10	87
12/01	vs TOR	116-119L	45	25	14	88
11/29	@ TOR	121-111W	33	32	8	94
11/26	@ MIL	103-106L	38	26	8	77
11/24	@ DAL	123-118W	57	27	9	107

Magic Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/19	@ OKL	99-105L	40	25	18	78
12/15	@ NYK	91-100L	39	24	15	86
12/10	vs MIL	109-114L	46	19	13	93
12/08	@ PHX	115-110W	44	17	13	88
12/06	vs PHI	94-102L	38	21	19	78
12/04	vs PHI	106-102W	42	21	13	84
12/03	vs NYK	106-121L	38	20	15	87
12/01	vs BRO	100-92W	52	23	22	74
11/29	vs BRO	123-100W	40	29	17	83
11/25	vs CHA	95-84W	39	21	8	94

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	50.0	43.8	38.0	100%	38.4
Tyler Herro PG	45.0	47.0	38.9	100%	38.3
Haywood Highsmith PF	16.0	15.9	16.7	50%	16.6
Duncan Robinson SG	26.0	25.6	15.5	50%	17.9

Orlando Magic	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Goga Bitadze C	34.0	33.5	19.2	63%	28.2
Anthony Black PG	26.0	21.1	19.1	3%	18.0
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	21.0	16.1	17.5	100%	17.8
Wendell Carter Jr. PF	28.0	23.2	23.6	93%	24.9

Heat Notable Injuries

Jimmy Butler (SF/PF): Avg: 20.0pts, 5.2reb, 4.8ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 5.3

Magic Notable Injuries

Franz Wagner (PF): Avg: 20.6pts, 5.5reb, 4.3ast, 32.9 minutes. Last game: 12/06/24. Impact: 8.4
Trevelin Queen (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.2reb, 1.1ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.6
Caleb Houstan (SF/PF): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.2reb, 0.4ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.5
Cory Joseph (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 1.1reb, 1.3ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	17.5	22.3	+4.8	40%	30%	40%	40%	ORL	-2.0	#4
Duncan Robinson	MIA	Pts	10.5	14.1	+3.6	60%	40%	47%	47%	ORL	-2.4	#2
Tristan da Silva	ORL	Reb	3.5	4.9	+1.4	20%	30%	40%	40%	MIA	0.0	#19
Tyler Herro	MIA	Reb	5.5	6.0	+0.5	60%	40%	33%	33%	ORL	+0.2	#20
Jaime Jaquez Jr.	MIA	Ast	2.5	3.3	+0.8	0%	30%	47%	47%	ORL	-0.7	#4
Haywood Highsmith	MIA	Ast	0.5	1.1	+0.6	40%	50%	60%	60%	ORL	-0.7	#4
Wendell Carter Jr.	ORL	3Pt	0.5	1.1	+0.6	20%	30%	33%	33%	MIA	+0.4	#26

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#12	#22	#10	-4.5%
PF	#13	#29	#28	#25	4.3%
PG	#14	#15	#26	#18	1.4%
SF	#23	#19	#17	#18	2.3%
SG	#4	#19	#8	#5	-7.8%

Magic Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#13	#3	#1	-18.2%
PF	#4	#5	#4	#5	-8.9%
PG	#22	#3	#6	#6	-6.7%
SF	#5	#9	#4	#4	-11.8%
SG	#2	#20	#7	#3	-10.0%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.1

106.6

Rebounds per Game

43.1

42.3

Assists per Game

26.6

23.8

Steals per Game

9.0

9.3

Blocks per Game

3.4

6.9

Shots per Game

87.9

85.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

11.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

51.7

56.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.7

31.1

Turnovers per Game

11.8

14.4

Fouls per Game

16.8

21.2

Recent Trends

Paolo Banchero (PF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Cole Anthony (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.7% to 12.1, 18.5 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Tristan da Silva (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 75.1% to 28.5, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.
Pelle Larsson (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.3% to 16.5, 25.4 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.5% to 29.8, 20.7 min average previous 3 games.