Heat vs 76ers Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and ring the Liberty Bell as tonight’s NBA Playoff showdown at the Wells Fargo Center is anything but a typical first-round snoozer! The Miami Heat, perfectly balanced at .500, are storming into Philly to face the underdog 76ers, who are looking to add a notch to their recent victory belt. With a tipoff at 08:30 PM EST and the stakes sky-high, the betting lines are buzzing, hinting at a nail-biter with just a 1.5 point spread favoring the Heat. Both teams are fresh off the court, with Miami hungry to bounce back from a recent stumble and the Sixers aiming to keep their winning momentum. So, as the Heat bring the fire and the Sixers ring in their Liberty spirit, expect a clash that’s more than just a game—it’s a fiery fight for survival where only the bravest will turn up the heat and ring true!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 05, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-120	+100	215.5	-1.5/1.5
Recent	-115	-105	216.0	-1.0/1.0
Difference	+5	-205	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

32W-30L

53.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

33W-29L

46.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/18/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	33	23	16	17	89	Under
11/18/24	Miami Heat MIA	25	28	35	18	106	Under
04/04/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	39	24	24	22	109	Under
04/04/24	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	17	105	Under
03/18/24	Miami Heat MIA	23	26	16	26	91	Under
03/18/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	20	28	19	98	Under
02/14/24	Miami Heat MIA	33	27	23	26	109	Under
02/14/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	33	29	20	22	104	Under
12/25/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	27	37	27	113	Over
12/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	37	23	33	119	Over
04/06/23	Miami Heat MIA	41	26	29	33	129	Over
04/06/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	15	32	23	101	Over
03/01/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	34	37	25	23	119	Under
03/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	38	15	24	19	96	Under
02/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	28	30	26	17	101	Under
02/27/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	28	30	19	99	Under
03/21/22	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	22	28	106	Over
03/21/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	26	31	23	33	113	Over
03/05/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	14	26	28	14	82	Under
03/05/22	Miami Heat MIA	22	32	19	26	99	Under
01/15/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	20	23	32	34	109	Under
01/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	21	23	25	98	Under
12/15/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	29	23	20	101	Under
12/15/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	18	31	21	26	96	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

76ers Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/04	vs CHI	124-133L	44	29	13	90
02/01	vs SAS	105-103W	52	30	13	89
01/29	@ CLE	106-126L	35	27	12	83
01/27	@ ORL	125-119W	43	34	16	92
01/23	vs MIL	96-125L	50	26	10	92
01/21	@ POR	107-116L	45	26	8	93
01/19	@ SAS	128-107W	49	35	11	95
01/17	@ DEN	113-133L	41	30	8	91
01/15	vs LAL	108-117L	37	25	19	73
01/13	vs LAC	98-109L	49	22	15	85

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/04	@ DAL	118-116W	34	37	12	86
02/02	@ BOS	110-118L	46	20	10	82
01/31	@ DEN	134-137L	27	29	11	90
01/29	@ SAC	117-104W	35	30	9	82
01/28	@ LAL	118-104W	43	20	9	91
01/24	@ CLE	132-129W	43	23	18	87
01/21	vs DEN	109-144L	25	34	10	96
01/19	vs MIL	109-123L	38	26	7	86
01/18	vs IND	102-115L	32	21	9	89
01/15	@ NYK	119-125L	35	27	12	92

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo PF	43.0	45.8	38.5	100%	38.9
Tyler Herro PG	42.0	43.0	41.2	100%	41.6
Haywood Highsmith SF	17.0	14.9	15.7	90%	17.4
Duncan Robinson SG	19.0	20.1	19.9	77%	21.8
Kel’el Ware C	34.0	31.2	19.4	21%	33.3

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Ricky Council IV SF	24.0	24.1	14.6	13%	30.6
Justin Edwards PF	23.0	23.1	16.2	26%	23.1
Tyrese Maxey PG	50.0	55.1	46.0	100%	46.3
Kelly Oubre Jr. SG	37.0	36.6	30.5	93%	31.7
Guerschon Yabusele C	29.0	33.1	24.9	73%	25.7

Heat Notable Injuries

Jimmy Butler (SF): Avg: 19.4pts, 5.1reb, 4.8ast, 32.7 minutes. Last game: 01/21/25. Impact: 4.5
Kevin Love (C): Avg: 7.8pts, 5.5reb, 1.8ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 1.9
Keshad Johnson (SF/PF): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.7
Josh Christopher (PG): Avg: 0.9pts, 0.4reb, 0.6ast, 3.7 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 1.0

76ers Notable Injuries

Joel Embiid (C): Avg: 32.6pts, 10.4reb, 5.4ast, 33.8 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 8.2
Paul George (SG/SF): Avg: 21.0pts, 5.5reb, 3.9ast, 33.6 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 6.4
Quentin Grimes (SG): Avg: 8.5pts, 2.8reb, 1.7ast, 21.5 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 3.1
Jeff Dowtin (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.4reb, 1.8ast, 11.7 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 1.6
Pete Nance (C): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 01/29/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kel’el Ware	MIA	Pts	13.5	15.4	+1.9	60%	60%	40%	40%	PHI	-1.8	#8
Duncan Robinson	MIA	Pts	8.5	10.2	+1.7	60%	50%	47%	47%	PHI	-1.0	#10
Tyler Herro	MIA	Reb	5.5	5.6	+0.1	40%	40%	47%	47%	PHI	0.0	#13
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Reb	10.5	10.6	+0.1	40%	50%	40%	40%	PHI	-0.4	#11
Tyrese Maxey	PHI	Ast	6.5	6.9	+0.4	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIA	+0.9	#26
Haywood Highsmith	MIA	3Pt	0.5	1.3	+0.8	80%	60%	67%	67%	PHI	+0.7	#28

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#29	#4	#5	-8.1%
PF	#12	#21	#28	#16	0.9%
PG	#7	#17	#26	#16	-0.2%
SF	#20	#26	#15	#22	4.8%
SG	#21	#3	#12	#15	-0.4%

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#4	#25	#7	-5.9%
PF	#9	#11	#30	#11	-1.9%
PG	#29	#12	#25	#25	4.0%
SF	#30	#19	#4	#19	2.8%
SG	#10	#13	#28	#14	-1.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.5

112.2

Rebounds per Game

43.8

38.0

Assists per Game

26.8

24.0

Steals per Game

7.0

9.0

Blocks per Game

4.0

4.1

Shots per Game

86.4

85.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.6

13.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.7

53.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

35.3

37.6

Turnovers per Game

12.8

12.2

Fouls per Game

15.2

19.7

Recent Trends

Tyrese Maxey (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Joel Embiid (C) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 29.0 pts, 11.0 reb, 10.0 ast against DAL
Adem Bona (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.9% to 10.6, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Alec Burks (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.6% to 17.4, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.2% to 29.3, 19.5 min average previous 3 games.
Justin Edwards (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.2% to 38.1, 26.2 min average previous 3 games.
Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.5% to 23.3, 15.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 30.3% to 17.3, 24.8 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Richardson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.4% to 21.2, 16.2 min average previous 3 games.
Duncan Robinson (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.8% to 22.6, 36.3 min average previous 3 games.
Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.2% to 31.8, 23.3 min average previous 3 games.
Dru Smith (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 30.0, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
Quentin Grimes (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.5% to 18.1, 29.4 min average previous 3 games.