Heat vs 76ers Game Breakdown & Projections – Mon, Mar 18th 2024
Heat
37W-30L
March 18, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 208.5 o/u
76ers
37W-30L
Hold on to your basketball shorts, folks, because we’ve got a scorcher of a game tonight! The Miami Heat, sizzling with a 37W-30L record, are taking their talents to Philly, ready to bring the heat to the Wells Fargo Center. On the other side of the court, the Philadelphia 76ers, with an identical 37W-30L record, are looking to ring the Liberty Bell with a victory. The Heat are breathing down the necks of the Eastern conference leaders, just 2.5 games back, while the 76ers are playing catch up, 16.0 games back. With the over/under set at 208.5, and the lines favoring the Heat at 3.0 and the 76ers at -3.0, it’s anyone’s game. Both teams are coming in hot, with the 76ers fresh off a 109-98 victory against Charlotte and the Heat still feeling the burn from their 104-101 win over Detroit. So, will the Heat turn Philly into a sauna, or will the 76ers show them the cold shoulder? Let’s just say, it’s going to be a game of fire and ice!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 18, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | PHI ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +130 | -150 | 212.5 | 3.0/-3.0 |
Recent | +105 | -135 | 208.5 | 2.5/-2.5 |
Difference | -25 | +15 | -4.0 | – |
Team Performance
48.8% Win Probability
51.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02/14/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 109 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 33 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 104 | ||||
12/25/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 27 | 37 | 27 | 113 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 119 | ||||
04/06/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 41 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 129 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 31 | 15 | 32 | 23 | 101 | ||||
03/01/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 34 | 37 | 25 | 23 | 119 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 38 | 15 | 24 | 19 | 96 | ||||
02/27/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 99 | ||||
03/21/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 106 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 26 | 31 | 23 | 33 | 113 | ||||
03/05/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 14 | 26 | 28 | 14 | 82 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 32 | 19 | 26 | 99 | ||||
01/15/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 20 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 109 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 98 | ||||
12/15/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 18 | 31 | 21 | 26 | 96 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
76ers Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/17 | vs DET | 104-101W | 47 | 24 | 9 | 89 |
03/15 | vs DET | 108-95W | 44 | 23 | 8 | 93 |
03/13 | @ DEN | 88-100L | 42 | 18 | 8 | 81 |
03/10 | @ WAS | 108-110L | 51 | 20 | 13 | 96 |
03/08 | vs OKL | 100-107L | 43 | 24 | 10 | 83 |
03/07 | vs DAL | 108-114L | 37 | 30 | 10 | 82 |
03/05 | @ DET | 118-110W | 42 | 27 | 9 | 85 |
03/02 | @ UTA | 126-120W | 34 | 33 | 6 | 90 |
02/29 | vs DEN | 97-103L | 45 | 21 | 14 | 84 |
02/27 | vs POR | 106-96W | 34 | 29 | 18 | 70 |
76ers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/16 | @ CHA | 109-98W | 41 | 25 | 15 | 81 |
03/14 | vs MIL | 105-114L | 30 | 20 | 11 | 79 |
03/12 | vs NYK | 79-106L | 31 | 17 | 8 | 81 |
03/10 | vs NYK | 79-73W | 47 | 20 | 13 | 80 |
03/08 | @ NOP | 95-108L | 42 | 21 | 10 | 88 |
03/06 | @ MEM | 109-115L | 47 | 25 | 11 | 102 |
03/05 | vs BRO | 107-112L | 38 | 25 | 12 | 82 |
03/03 | vs DAL | 120-116W | 42 | 26 | 8 | 88 |
03/01 | @ CHA | 121-114W | 48 | 38 | 7 | 96 |
02/27 | vs BOS | 99-117L | 28 | 20 | 9 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
43.0 | 34.2 | 38.7 | 100% | 38.1 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
40.9 | 25.8 | 37.1 | 100% | 35.8 |
26.2 | 24.4 | 22.2 | 47% | 29.2 | |
Terry Rozier
PG
|
33.7 | 26.1 | 32.5 | 93% | 33.5 |
Philadelphia 76ers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mo Bamba
C
|
15.2 | 12.4 | 13.1 | 27% | 13.1 |
35.3 | 27.9 | 32.5 | 100% | 31.3 | |
Kyle Lowry
SG
|
23.6 | 19.9 | 19.4 | 83% | 20.3 |
Tyrese Maxey
PG
|
46.1 | 39.0 | 41.1 | 100% | 39.5 |
31.6 | 28.4 | 26.0 | 77% | 24.9 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Nikola Jovic (PF/C): Avg: 5.9pts, 4.0reb, 1.8ast, 17.1 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 2.4
- Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 4.9pts, 1.9reb, 0.2ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 03/15/24. Impact: 1.5
76ers Notable Injuries
- Jeff Dowtin (PG/SG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.0reb, 2.0ast, 14.3 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.5
- Ricky Council IV (SG/SF): Avg: 5.7pts, 1.8reb, 0.3ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 03/12/24. Impact: 1.5
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Tobias Harris | PHI | Pts | 16.5 | 18.1 | +1.6 | 20% | 40% | 33% | 33% | MIA | +3.9 | #27 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 21.5 | 22.4 | +0.9 | 0% | 40% | 47% | 47% | PHI | +1.9 | #24 |
Tyrese Maxey | PHI | Reb | 3.5 | 3.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% | MIA | -0.4 | #8 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Ast | 3.5 | 4.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 20% | 40% | 40% | PHI | -1.0 | #5 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #2 | #24 | #13 | #2 | -18.8% |
PF | #10 | #21 | #11 | #15 | -1.9% |
PG | #11 | #15 | #2 | #5 | -11.8% |
SF | #27 | #10 | #9 | #24 | 9.3% |
SG | #8 | #8 | #20 | #12 | -4.0% |
76ers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #3 | #3 | #5 | #4 | -13.5% |
PF | #20 | #29 | #17 | #26 | 8.3% |
PG | #7 | #2 | #21 | #7 | -9.3% |
SF | #24 | #30 | #8 | #26 | 10.9% |
SG | #10 | #22 | #3 | #7 | -6.7% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Bam Adebayo (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.1% to 33.6, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Mo Bamba (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.5% to 22.7, 14.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Jimmy Butler (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 24.2, 37.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Robert Covington (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 10.8, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Nikola Jovic (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.8% to 12.1, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Cameron Payne (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 36.7% to 17.0, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 56.0% to 33.0, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Terry Rozier (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.3% to 34.6, 25.8 min average previous 3 games. The Heat have a 2-game winning streak on the road.
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