Heat vs 76ers Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024
Heat
0W-0L
April 17, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 207.5 o/u
76ers
0W-0L
Get ready to turn up the heat and ring the Liberty Bell because tonight’s NBA play-in showdown is set to sizzle! The Miami Heat are storming into the City of Brotherly Love to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers at the Wells Fargo Center. With both teams locked in at 0W-0L, the stakes are sky-high as they battle it out at 7:00 PM EST for a coveted spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. The betting lines are buzzing with the Heat at +4.5 and an over/under of 207.5, promising a clash full of thrills and spills. Fresh off their respective wins, both squads are bringing their A-game, with the 76ers last seen dispatching Orlando and the Heat extinguishing Toronto. As the tip-off approaches, brace yourself for an epic duel where only one can fan the flames of victory while the other might just get their bell rung!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 17, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | PHI ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +120 | -160 | 208.0 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Recent | +125 | -165 | 207.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Difference | +5 | -5 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
44.4% Win Probability
55.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/04/24 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 39 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 109 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 26 | 33 | 17 | 105.0 | ||||
03/18/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 23 | 26 | 16 | 26 | 91 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 31 | 20 | 28 | 19 | 98.0 | ||||
02/14/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 109 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 33 | 29 | 20 | 22 | 104.0 | ||||
12/25/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 27 | 37 | 27 | 113 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 26 | 37 | 23 | 33 | 119.0 | ||||
04/06/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 41 | 26 | 29 | 33 | 129 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 31 | 15 | 32 | 23 | 101.0 | ||||
03/01/23 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 34 | 37 | 25 | 23 | 119 | Over | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 38 | 15 | 24 | 19 | 96.0 | ||||
02/27/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 28 | 30 | 26 | 17 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 22 | 28 | 30 | 19 | 99.0 | ||||
03/21/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 32 | 24 | 22 | 28 | 106 | Over | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 26 | 31 | 23 | 33 | 113.0 | ||||
03/05/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 14 | 26 | 28 | 14 | 82 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 22 | 32 | 19 | 26 | 99.0 | ||||
01/15/22 | Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 20 | 23 | 32 | 34 | 109 | Under | ||
Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 21 | 23 | 25 | 98.0 | ||||
12/15/21 | Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 29 | 23 | 20 | 101 | Under | ||
Philadelphia 76ers PHI | 18 | 31 | 21 | 26 | 96.0 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
76ers Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ TOR | 125-103W | 37 | 37 | 4 | 86 |
04/10 | @ DAL | 92-111L | 46 | 22 | 15 | 81 |
04/09 | vs ATL | 117-111W | 46 | 29 | 18 | 88 |
04/07 | vs IND | 115-117L | 39 | 21 | 7 | 84 |
04/05 | vs HOU | 119-96W | 48 | 27 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ PHI | 105-109L | 51 | 24 | 15 | 94 |
04/02 | @ NYK | 109-99W | 39 | 24 | 17 | 74 |
03/31 | vs WAS | 119-107W | 42 | 22 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | @ POR | 142-82W | 44 | 41 | 8 | 93 |
03/26 | @ GSW | 92-113L | 39 | 24 | 8 | 92 |
76ers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ ORL | 125-113W | 44 | 22 | 11 | 88 |
04/09 | @ DET | 120-102W | 51 | 29 | 7 | 98 |
04/07 | vs SAS | 133-126W | 46 | 31 | 10 | 114 |
04/06 | vs MEM | 116-96W | 41 | 27 | 19 | 79 |
04/04 | vs MIA | 109-105W | 41 | 28 | 11 | 92 |
04/02 | @ OKL | 109-105W | 42 | 27 | 16 | 78 |
03/31 | vs TOR | 135-120W | 39 | 28 | 15 | 83 |
03/29 | vs CLE | 114-116L | 42 | 28 | 9 | 94 |
03/27 | @ LAC | 107-108L | 51 | 17 | 12 | 82 |
03/25 | vs SAC | 96-108L | 47 | 18 | 15 | 82 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
40.5 | 33.2 | 37.8 | 100% | 38.2 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
43.8 | 37.9 | 38.2 | 100% | 36.8 |
Tyler Herro
PG
|
33.0 | 35.0 | 34.4 | 90% | 35.3 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
16.6 | 26.0 | 16.7 | 90% | 18.9 |
Caleb Martin
SG
|
21.9 | 21.4 | 20.7 | 33% | 20.7 |
Philadelphia 76ers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
59.8 | 53.8 | 61.4 | 100% | 61.8 | |
33.2 | 37.8 | 31.9 | 100% | 30.7 | |
Kyle Lowry
SG
|
17.3 | 19.5 | 19.3 | 83% | 20.3 |
Tyrese Maxey
PG
|
44.4 | 47.5 | 40.5 | 100% | 38.8 |
29.9 | 36.5 | 31.5 | 83% | 31.6 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Terry Rozier (PG/SG): Avg: 19.6pts, 3.9reb, 5.5ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 5.2
- Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 2.0
- Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
- Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.9ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
- Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
- Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.1
76ers Notable Injuries
- De’Anthony Melton (SG): Avg: 10.8pts, 3.6reb, 3.0ast, 26.5 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.9
- Mo Bamba (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 4.1reb, 0.7ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.8
- Jeff Dowtin (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.6reb, 2.4ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.8
- KJ Martin (PF/C): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.1reb, 0.8ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.1
- Terquavion Smith (PG): Avg: 3.4pts, 0.2reb, 0.8ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Kelly Oubre Jr. | PHI | Pts | 13.5 | 16.3 | +2.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | 80% | MIA | +15.0 | #30 |
Tobias Harris | PHI | Pts | 14.5 | 16.9 | +2.4 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | MIA | +15.0 | #30 |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Reb | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 30% | 20% | 20% | PHI | -3.0 | #4 |
Nicolas Batum | PHI | Reb | 3.5 | 3.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | MIA | +0.2 | #17 |
Haywood Highsmith | MIA | Ast | 0.5 | 1.0 | +0.5 | 100% | 90% | 87% | 87% | PHI | +1.9 | #25 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #7 | #9 | #3 | -14.2% |
PF | #1 | #10 | #2 | #1 | -15.4% |
PG | #21 | #15 | #25 | #16 | 3.1% |
SF | #30 | #17 | #1 | #28 | 21.5% |
SG | #11 | #19 | #22 | #12 | -3.4% |
76ers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #22 | #23 | #28 | #23 | 6.7% |
PF | #20 | #23 | #25 | #23 | 4.4% |
PG | #12 | #3 | #19 | #5 | -41.3% |
SF | #3 | #4 | #25 | #2 | -43.8% |
SG | #1 | #12 | #3 | #2 | -12.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Joel Embiid (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Robert Covington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 10.8, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 24.2, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.6% to 30.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
- KJ Martin (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.9% to 22.3, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
- De’Anthony Melton (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.1% to 10.0, 15.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games. The 76ers have a 2-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 7-game winning streak.
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