Heat vs 76ers Game Breakdown & Projections – Wed, Apr 17th 2024

Get ready to turn up the heat and ring the Liberty Bell because tonight’s NBA play-in showdown is set to sizzle! The Miami Heat are storming into the City of Brotherly Love to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers at the Wells Fargo Center. With both teams locked in at 0W-0L, the stakes are sky-high as they battle it out at 7:00 PM EST for a coveted spot in the Eastern Conference playoffs. The betting lines are buzzing with the Heat at +4.5 and an over/under of 207.5, promising a clash full of thrills and spills. Fresh off their respective wins, both squads are bringing their A-game, with the 76ers last seen dispatching Orlando and the Heat extinguishing Toronto. As the tip-off approaches, brace yourself for an epic duel where only one can fan the flames of victory while the other might just get their bell rung!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 17, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PHI ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+120	-160	208.0	4.5/-4.5
Recent	+125	-165	207.5	5.5/-5.5
Difference	+5	-5	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

23W-17L

44.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

24W-16L

55.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/04/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	39	24	24	22	109	Over
04/04/24	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	33	17	105.0	Over
03/18/24	Miami Heat MIA	23	26	16	26	91	Under
03/18/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	20	28	19	98.0	Under
02/14/24	Miami Heat MIA	33	27	23	26	109	Over
02/14/24	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	33	29	20	22	104.0	Over
12/25/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	27	37	27	113	Over
12/25/23	Miami Heat MIA	26	37	23	33	119.0	Over
04/06/23	Miami Heat MIA	41	26	29	33	129	Over
04/06/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	31	15	32	23	101.0	Over
03/01/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	34	37	25	23	119	Over
03/01/23	Miami Heat MIA	38	15	24	19	96.0	Over
02/27/23	Miami Heat MIA	28	30	26	17	101	Under
02/27/23	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	22	28	30	19	99.0	Under
03/21/22	Miami Heat MIA	32	24	22	28	106	Over
03/21/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	26	31	23	33	113.0	Over
03/05/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	14	26	28	14	82	Under
03/05/22	Miami Heat MIA	22	32	19	26	99.0	Under
01/15/22	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	20	23	32	34	109	Under
01/15/22	Miami Heat MIA	29	21	23	25	98.0	Under
12/15/21	Miami Heat MIA	29	29	23	20	101	Under
12/15/21	Philadelphia 76ers PHI	18	31	21	26	96.0	Under

Heat Vs Over/Under

76ers Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94
04/02	@ NYK	109-99W	39	24	17	74
03/31	vs WAS	119-107W	42	22	13	81
03/29	@ POR	142-82W	44	41	8	93
03/26	@ GSW	92-113L	39	24	8	92

76ers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ORL	125-113W	44	22	11	88
04/09	@ DET	120-102W	51	29	7	98
04/07	vs SAS	133-126W	46	31	10	114
04/06	vs MEM	116-96W	41	27	19	79
04/04	vs MIA	109-105W	41	28	11	92
04/02	@ OKL	109-105W	42	27	16	78
03/31	vs TOR	135-120W	39	28	15	83
03/29	vs CLE	114-116L	42	28	9	94
03/27	@ LAC	107-108L	51	17	12	82
03/25	vs SAC	96-108L	47	18	15	82

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	40.5	33.2	37.8	100%	38.2
Jimmy Butler SF	43.8	37.9	38.2	100%	36.8
Tyler Herro PG	33.0	35.0	34.4	90%	35.3
Nikola Jovic PF	16.6	26.0	16.7	90%	18.9
Caleb Martin SG	21.9	21.4	20.7	33%	20.7

Philadelphia 76ers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Joel Embiid C	59.8	53.8	61.4	100%	61.8
Tobias Harris PF	33.2	37.8	31.9	100%	30.7
Kyle Lowry SG	17.3	19.5	19.3	83%	20.3
Tyrese Maxey PG	44.4	47.5	40.5	100%	38.8
Kelly Oubre Jr. SF	29.9	36.5	31.5	83%	31.6

Heat Notable Injuries

Terry Rozier (PG/SG): Avg: 19.6pts, 3.9reb, 5.5ast, 33.0 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 5.2
Patty Mills (PG/SG): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.1reb, 1.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 2.0
Jamal Cain (SF): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.5reb, 0.4ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Orlando Robinson (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.9ast, 7.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.6
Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.5
Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.0ast, 2.3 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.1

76ers Notable Injuries

De’Anthony Melton (SG): Avg: 10.8pts, 3.6reb, 3.0ast, 26.5 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.9
Mo Bamba (C): Avg: 4.4pts, 4.1reb, 0.7ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 2.8
Jeff Dowtin (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.6reb, 2.4ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 1.8
KJ Martin (PF/C): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.1reb, 0.8ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 2.1
Terquavion Smith (PG): Avg: 3.4pts, 0.2reb, 0.8ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 04/12/24. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Kelly Oubre Jr.	PHI	Pts	13.5	16.3	+2.8	100%	80%	80%	80%	MIA	+15.0	#30
Tobias Harris	PHI	Pts	14.5	16.9	+2.4	80%	70%	60%	60%	MIA	+15.0	#30
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Reb	5.5	6.0	+0.5	40%	30%	20%	20%	PHI	-3.0	#4
Nicolas Batum	PHI	Reb	3.5	3.9	+0.4	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIA	+0.2	#17
Haywood Highsmith	MIA	Ast	0.5	1.0	+0.5	100%	90%	87%	87%	PHI	+1.9	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#7	#9	#3	-14.2%
PF	#1	#10	#2	#1	-15.4%
PG	#21	#15	#25	#16	3.1%
SF	#30	#17	#1	#28	21.5%
SG	#11	#19	#22	#12	-3.4%

76ers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#23	#28	#23	6.7%
PF	#20	#23	#25	#23	4.4%
PG	#12	#3	#19	#5	-41.3%
SF	#3	#4	#25	#2	-43.8%
SG	#1	#12	#3	#2	-12.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.1

112.8

Rebounds per Game

42.5

43.5

Assists per Game

26.0

25.9

Steals per Game

7.4

8.5

Blocks per Game

3.1

7.5

Shots per Game

85.4

89.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.9

14.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.1

51.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

39.1

Turnovers per Game

10.6

11.6

Fouls per Game

15.5

19.0

Recent Trends

Joel Embiid (C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Robert Covington (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.8% to 10.8, 17.6 min average previous 3 games.
Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.0% to 24.2, 17.4 min average previous 3 games.
Nikola Jovic (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 51.6% to 30.0, 19.8 min average previous 3 games.
KJ Martin (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.9% to 22.3, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.1% to 10.0, 15.2 min average previous 3 games.
Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.4% to 17.5, 27.1 min average previous 3 games.