Heat vs Suns Game Breakdown

Get ready to turn up the heat and watch the Suns rise, because tonight’s NBA playoff face-off is nothing short of scorching! The Miami Heat, balancing a .500 record, are jetting off to the sizzling desert to challenge the blazing Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center. With both teams neck and neck in their conference standings and the Suns riding high off a recent victory, this 10:00 PM showdown promises some serious court combustion. Vegas has the line drawn and the over/under teetering at a tantalizing 220.5, setting the stage for what could be a scoreboard scorcher. As the Heat look to extinguish their losing flame from their last outing and the Suns aim to keep their win streak burning bright, tonight’s game could very well be a battle of fire meeting fire!

So, whether you’re a fan of the beach or the desert, tonight’s game is sure to offer some fiery fun. Let’s see if the Heat can bring the sizzle or if the Suns continue to shine supreme!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: November 06, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix

Vegas Odds

	MIA ML	PHX ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+170	-200	222.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+180	-220	220.5	5.5/-5.5
Difference	+10	-20	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

24W-17L

35.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

26W-16L

64.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/29/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	29	38	18	118	Over
01/29/24	Miami Heat MIA	25	24	25	31	105	Over
01/05/24	Miami Heat MIA	29	26	20	22	97	Under
01/05/24	Phoenix Suns PHX	33	29	32	19	113	Under
01/06/23	Miami Heat MIA	30	21	27	26	104	Under
01/06/23	Phoenix Suns PHX	23	23	27	23	96	Under
11/14/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	31	26	34	21	112	Over
11/14/22	Miami Heat MIA	35	23	26	29	113	Over
03/09/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	28	34	20	111	Under
03/09/22	Miami Heat MIA	27	28	19	16	90	Under
01/08/22	Miami Heat MIA	33	38	27	25	123	Over
01/08/22	Phoenix Suns PHX	29	21	29	21	100	Over

Heat Vs Over/Under

Suns Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/30	@ NYK	107-116L	39	27	10	81
10/28	@ DET	106-98W	44	24	9	88
10/26	vs CHA	114-106W	43	33	13	86
10/23	@ ORL	97-116L	41	24	11	82
04/12	@ TOR	125-103W	37	37	4	86
04/10	@ DAL	92-111L	46	22	15	81
04/09	vs ATL	117-111W	46	29	18	88
04/07	vs IND	115-117L	39	21	7	84
04/05	vs HOU	119-96W	48	27	9	81
04/04	@ PHI	105-109L	51	24	15	94

Suns Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
10/31	vs LAC	125-119W	39	29	12	82
10/28	@ LAL	109-105W	46	21	10	87
10/26	@ DAL	114-102W	47	26	11	80
10/25	vs LAL	116-123L	34	35	16	82
10/23	vs LAC	116-113W	42	25	22	78
04/12	vs SAC	108-107W	41	25	18	76
04/10	vs LAC	124-108W	48	29	13	95
04/09	@ LAC	92-105L	38	17	8	89
04/07	@ NOP	105-113L	38	30	15	87
04/05	@ MIN	97-87W	49	29	18	76

Starting Lineups

Miami Heat	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bam Adebayo C	41.0	31.2	36.0	100%	36.4
Jimmy Butler SF	43.0	35.4	37.2	100%	37.5
Tyler Herro PG	40.0	36.1	33.2	90%	34.2
Nikola Jovic PF	22.0	22.1	20.7	100%	21.1
Terry Rozier SG	34.0	30.5	31.8	100%	32.1

Phoenix Suns	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Bradley Beal SF	34.0	31.0	32.6	100%	33.0
Devin Booker SG	43.0	42.2	43.2	100%	43.7
Kevin Durant PF	45.0	45.0	42.9	100%	43.2
Tyus Jones PG	26.0	28.3	29.0	100%	28.2
Jusuf Nurkic C	32.0	21.9	31.1	100%	31.5

Heat Notable Injuries

Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): Avg: 11.5pts, 3.9reb, 2.6ast, 28.0 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 3.8
Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.8reb, 1.5ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 1.6
Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1

Suns Notable Injuries

Damion Lee (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 3.0reb, 2.0ast, 17.7 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.6
Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jimmy Butler	MIA	Pts	18.5	23.0	+4.5	40%	60%	40%	40%	PHX	-0.5	#16
Bam Adebayo	MIA	Pts	15.5	18.8	+3.3	20%	60%	53%	53%	PHX	+0.4	#18
Tyler Herro	MIA	Reb	4.5	5.5	+1.0	60%	40%	60%	60%	PHX	+0.1	#19
Terry Rozier	MIA	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	80%	60%	60%	60%	PHX	+2.5	#30
Bradley Beal	PHX	Ast	4.5	4.9	+0.4	20%	30%	40%	40%	MIA	+0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Heat Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#6	#6	#1	-14.2%
PF	#13	#25	#6	#13	-1.2%
PG	#10	#8	#12	#6	-8.1%
SF	#25	#6	#8	#21	2.5%
SG	#1	#18	#16	#5	-6.4%

Suns Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#10	#2	#18	#6	-8.8%
PF	#18	#15	#12	#15	0.7%
PG	#30	#30	#5	#30	15.1%
SF	#7	#19	#6	#6	-6.8%
SG	#16	#19	#23	#20	2.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.9

114.0

Rebounds per Game

42.5

45.5

Assists per Game

25.8

27.6

Steals per Game

7.8

7.6

Blocks per Game

3.8

6.2

Shots per Game

85.8

85.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

13.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.8

54.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.0

38.3

Turnovers per Game

10.8

14.4

Fouls per Game

15.8

17.6

Recent Trends

Devin Booker (PG/SG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Grayson Allen (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 17.5, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
Josh Christopher (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.4% to 17.9, 11.6 min average previous 3 games.