Heat vs Suns Game Breakdown
Heat
3W-3L
November 06, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 220.5 o/u
Suns
6W-1L
Get ready to turn up the heat and watch the Suns rise, because tonight’s NBA playoff face-off is nothing short of scorching! The Miami Heat, balancing a .500 record, are jetting off to the sizzling desert to challenge the blazing Phoenix Suns at the Footprint Center. With both teams neck and neck in their conference standings and the Suns riding high off a recent victory, this 10:00 PM showdown promises some serious court combustion. Vegas has the line drawn and the over/under teetering at a tantalizing 220.5, setting the stage for what could be a scoreboard scorcher. As the Heat look to extinguish their losing flame from their last outing and the Suns aim to keep their win streak burning bright, tonight’s game could very well be a battle of fire meeting fire!
So, whether you’re a fan of the beach or the desert, tonight’s game is sure to offer some fiery fun. Let’s see if the Heat can bring the sizzle or if the Suns continue to shine supreme!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: November 06, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix
Vegas Odds
MIA ML | PHX ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +170 | -200 | 222.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Recent | +180 | -220 | 220.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
Difference | +10 | -20 | -2.0 | – |
Team Performance
35.7% Win Probability
64.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/29/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 29 | 38 | 18 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 25 | 24 | 25 | 31 | 00 | 105 | |||
01/05/24 | Miami Heat MIA | 29 | 26 | 20 | 22 | 00 | 97 | Under | |
Phoenix Suns PHX | 33 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 00 | 113 | |||
01/06/23 | Miami Heat MIA | 30 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 00 | 104 | Under | |
Phoenix Suns PHX | 23 | 23 | 27 | 23 | 00 | 96 | |||
11/14/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 31 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
Miami Heat MIA | 35 | 23 | 26 | 29 | 00 | 113 | |||
03/09/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 00 | 111 | Under | |
Miami Heat MIA | 27 | 28 | 19 | 16 | 00 | 90 | |||
01/08/22 | Miami Heat MIA | 33 | 38 | 27 | 25 | 00 | 123 | Over | |
Phoenix Suns PHX | 29 | 21 | 29 | 21 | 00 | 100 |
Heat Vs Over/Under
Suns Vs Over/Under
Heat Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/30 | @ NYK | 107-116L | 39 | 27 | 10 | 81 |
10/28 | @ DET | 106-98W | 44 | 24 | 9 | 88 |
10/26 | vs CHA | 114-106W | 43 | 33 | 13 | 86 |
10/23 | @ ORL | 97-116L | 41 | 24 | 11 | 82 |
04/12 | @ TOR | 125-103W | 37 | 37 | 4 | 86 |
04/10 | @ DAL | 92-111L | 46 | 22 | 15 | 81 |
04/09 | vs ATL | 117-111W | 46 | 29 | 18 | 88 |
04/07 | vs IND | 115-117L | 39 | 21 | 7 | 84 |
04/05 | vs HOU | 119-96W | 48 | 27 | 9 | 81 |
04/04 | @ PHI | 105-109L | 51 | 24 | 15 | 94 |
Suns Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10/31 | vs LAC | 125-119W | 39 | 29 | 12 | 82 |
10/28 | @ LAL | 109-105W | 46 | 21 | 10 | 87 |
10/26 | @ DAL | 114-102W | 47 | 26 | 11 | 80 |
10/25 | vs LAL | 116-123L | 34 | 35 | 16 | 82 |
10/23 | vs LAC | 116-113W | 42 | 25 | 22 | 78 |
04/12 | vs SAC | 108-107W | 41 | 25 | 18 | 76 |
04/10 | vs LAC | 124-108W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 95 |
04/09 | @ LAC | 92-105L | 38 | 17 | 8 | 89 |
04/07 | @ NOP | 105-113L | 38 | 30 | 15 | 87 |
04/05 | @ MIN | 97-87W | 49 | 29 | 18 | 76 |
Starting Lineups
Miami Heat | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
41.0 | 31.2 | 36.0 | 100% | 36.4 | |
Jimmy Butler
SF
|
43.0 | 35.4 | 37.2 | 100% | 37.5 |
Tyler Herro
PG
|
40.0 | 36.1 | 33.2 | 90% | 34.2 |
Nikola Jovic
PF
|
22.0 | 22.1 | 20.7 | 100% | 21.1 |
Terry Rozier
SG
|
34.0 | 30.5 | 31.8 | 100% | 32.1 |
Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bradley Beal
SF
|
34.0 | 31.0 | 32.6 | 100% | 33.0 |
Devin Booker
SG
|
43.0 | 42.2 | 43.2 | 100% | 43.7 |
Kevin Durant
PF
|
45.0 | 45.0 | 42.9 | 100% | 43.2 |
Tyus Jones
PG
|
26.0 | 28.3 | 29.0 | 100% | 28.2 |
32.0 | 21.9 | 31.1 | 100% | 31.5 |
Heat Notable Injuries
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): Avg: 11.5pts, 3.9reb, 2.6ast, 28.0 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 3.8
- Dru Smith (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.8reb, 1.5ast, 14.1 minutes. Last game: 10/30/24. Impact: 1.6
- Kel’el Ware (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 10/23/24. Impact: 0.1
Suns Notable Injuries
- Damion Lee (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 3.0reb, 2.0ast, 17.7 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.6
- Collin Gillespie (PG): Avg: 3.6pts, 0.9reb, 1.1ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 10/26/24. Impact: 1.7
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Jimmy Butler | MIA | Pts | 18.5 | 23.0 | +4.5 | 40% | 60% | 40% | 40% | PHX | -0.5 | #16 |
Bam Adebayo | MIA | Pts | 15.5 | 18.8 | +3.3 | 20% | 60% | 53% | 53% | PHX | +0.4 | #18 |
Tyler Herro | MIA | Reb | 4.5 | 5.5 | +1.0 | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% | PHX | +0.1 | #19 |
Terry Rozier | MIA | Reb | 3.5 | 3.7 | +0.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% | PHX | +2.5 | #30 |
Bradley Beal | PHX | Ast | 4.5 | 4.9 | +0.4 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIA | +0.1 | #16 |
Heat Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #4 | #6 | #6 | #1 | -14.2% |
PF | #13 | #25 | #6 | #13 | -1.2% |
PG | #10 | #8 | #12 | #6 | -8.1% |
SF | #25 | #6 | #8 | #21 | 2.5% |
SG | #1 | #18 | #16 | #5 | -6.4% |
Suns Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #2 | #18 | #6 | -8.8% |
PF | #18 | #15 | #12 | #15 | 0.7% |
PG | #30 | #30 | #5 | #30 | 15.1% |
SF | #7 | #19 | #6 | #6 | -6.8% |
SG | #16 | #19 | #23 | #20 | 2.2% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Devin Booker (PG/SG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Grayson Allen (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.8% to 17.5, 26.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Josh Christopher (PG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.7% to 22.7, 16.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.4% to 17.9, 11.6 min average previous 3 games. The Suns have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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