Heat vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

thefield
Miami Heat

Heat

40W-33L

Miami Heat

March 31, 2024

06:00PM EST

Odds: 216.5 o/u

Wizards

14W-60L

Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards

There’s a storm brewing in the NBA tonight, folks, as the sizzling Miami Heat, with a solid 40W-33L record, are set to blaze a trail straight through the Capital One Arena, the home turf of the Washington Wizards. The Wizards, who’ve been more like muggles this season with a 14W-60L record, will have to pull some serious magic out of their hats to keep up. The action gets underway at 06:00 PM EST, with the Heat trailing by a mere 2.5 games in the Eastern conference, while the Wizards are lagging behind like a tortoise on a sugar crash, 29.0 games back. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is set at 216.5, with the Heat line at -10.5 and the Wizards line at 10.5. The Wizards are still licking their wounds from their 87-96 loss against DET, while the Heat are riding high on their 142-82 victory over POR. So, will the Heat continue to sizzle or will the Wizards finally find their spellbook? In the game of hoops, it’s not about the heat of the moment, it’s about the magic in the maneuvers.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 31, 2024 06:00PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

MIA ML WAS ML Over/Under Line
Open -550 +390 217.0 -10.5/10.5
Recent -340 +270 216.5 -11.0/11.0
Difference +210 -120 -0.5

Team Performance

mia Team Logo
LAST 10
5W-5L
AWAY
20W-16L

77.3% Win Probability

was Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
HOME
6W-30L

22.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
03/10/24 Washington Wizards WAS 25 23 33 29 110 Over
Miami Heat MIA 27 27 28 26 108
02/02/24 Miami Heat MIA 31 25 31 23 110 Under
Washington Wizards WAS 33 26 15 28 102
11/03/23 Washington Wizards WAS 34 20 27 33 114 Over
Miami Heat MIA 34 26 41 20 121
04/07/23 Miami Heat MIA 23 28 20 37 108 Over
Washington Wizards WAS 26 27 36 25 114
11/25/22 Washington Wizards WAS 38 21 26 22 107 Over
Miami Heat MIA 28 28 29 25 110
11/23/22 Washington Wizards WAS 26 17 37 25 105 Over
Miami Heat MIA 28 32 23 30 113
11/18/22 Miami Heat MIA 31 38 19 16 2 106 Under
Washington Wizards WAS 33 24 24 23 3 107
02/07/22 Miami Heat MIA 39 21 31 30 121 Over
Washington Wizards WAS 24 29 17 30 100
12/28/21 Washington Wizards WAS 24 27 22 39 112 Over
Miami Heat MIA 38 27 26 28 119
11/20/21 Miami Heat MIA 25 18 32 25 100 Under
Washington Wizards WAS 26 15 30 32 103
11/18/21 Washington Wizards WAS 19 21 30 27 97 Under
Miami Heat MIA 21 26 36 29 112

Heat Vs Over/Under

Wizards Vs Over/Under

Heat Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/29 @ POR 142-82W 44 41 8 93
03/26 @ GSW 92-113L 39 24 8 92
03/24 @ CLE 121-84W 44 29 9 83
03/22 @ NOP 88-111L 34 22 4 87
03/20 vs CLE 107-104W 37 19 7 83
03/18 vs PHI 91-98L 49 23 15 89
03/17 vs DET 104-101W 47 24 9 89
03/15 vs DET 108-95W 44 23 8 93
03/13 @ DEN 88-100L 42 18 8 81
03/10 @ WAS 108-110L 51 20 13 96

Wizards Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
03/29 @ DET 87-96L 47 22 18 89
03/27 @ BRO 119-122L 44 26 13 91
03/25 vs CHI 107-105W 52 32 13 97
03/23 @ TOR 112-109W 55 28 17 92
03/21 @ SAC 109-102W 45 20 19 82
03/19 @ HOU 114-137L 44 24 10 98
03/17 @ BOS 104-130L 40 24 16 89
03/16 vs CHI 98-127L 32 27 15 84
03/14 vs HOU 119-135L 32 29 13 93
03/12 vs MEM 97-94W 28 26 13 78

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

  • Caleb Martin (PF): Avg: 10.0pts, 4.6reb, 2.1ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 3.4
  • Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.2

Wizards Notable Injuries

  • Bilal Coulibaly (SG): Avg: 8.3pts, 4.1reb, 1.7ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.2
  • Eugene Omoruyi (PF/C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Heat Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #3 #25 #10 #2 -15.3%
PF #3 #16 #2 #4 -11.3%
PG #19 #8 #9 #9 -10.6%
SF #30 #1 #12 #24 7.6%
SG #12 #24 #25 #14 -1.1%

Wizards Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #15 #24 #4 #13 -1.2%
PF #16 #20 #10 #21 4.1%
PG #18 #20 #5 #14 -5.8%
SF #23 #18 #13 #21 6.1%
SG #29 #26 #20 #29 10.6%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
107.2
108.5
Rebounds per Game
41.9
42.0
Assists per Game
25.5
26.6
Steals per Game
8.0
6.6
Blocks per Game
3.5
4.6
Shots per Game
87.6
89.5
3-Pointers Made per Game
12.2
12.1
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.0
53.7
3-Pt Percentage per Game
35.6
33.7
Turnovers per Game
8.9
13.7
Fouls per Game
15.1
19.8

Recent Trends

  • Justin Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.5% to 13.1, 30.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
  • Anthony Gill (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.0% to 11.3, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.3% to 27.4, 17.8 min average previous 3 games.
  • Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.0% to 21.8, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Wizards have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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