Heat vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Mar 31st 2024

There’s a storm brewing in the NBA tonight, folks, as the sizzling Miami Heat, with a solid 40W-33L record, are set to blaze a trail straight through the Capital One Arena, the home turf of the Washington Wizards. The Wizards, who’ve been more like muggles this season with a 14W-60L record, will have to pull some serious magic out of their hats to keep up. The action gets underway at 06:00 PM EST, with the Heat trailing by a mere 2.5 games in the Eastern conference, while the Wizards are lagging behind like a tortoise on a sugar crash, 29.0 games back. If you’re a betting man, the over/under is set at 216.5, with the Heat line at -10.5 and the Wizards line at 10.5. The Wizards are still licking their wounds from their 87-96 loss against DET, while the Heat are riding high on their 142-82 victory over POR. So, will the Heat continue to sizzle or will the Wizards finally find their spellbook? In the game of hoops, it’s not about the heat of the moment, it’s about the magic in the maneuvers.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 31, 2024 06:00PM EST

Location: Capital One Arena, Washington

Vegas Odds

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

20W-16L

77.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

6W-30L

22.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U	ATS
03/10/24	Washington Wizards WAS	25	23	33	29		110	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	27	27	28	26		108
02/02/24	Miami Heat MIA	31	25	31	23		110	Under
	Washington Wizards WAS	33	26	15	28		102
11/03/23	Washington Wizards WAS	34	20	27	33		114	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	34	26	41	20		121
04/07/23	Miami Heat MIA	23	28	20	37		108	Over
	Washington Wizards WAS	26	27	36	25		114
11/25/22	Washington Wizards WAS	38	21	26	22		107	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	28	28	29	25		110
11/23/22	Washington Wizards WAS	26	17	37	25		105	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	28	32	23	30		113
11/18/22	Miami Heat MIA	31	38	19	16	2	106	Under
	Washington Wizards WAS	33	24	24	23	3	107
02/07/22	Miami Heat MIA	39	21	31	30		121	Over
	Washington Wizards WAS	24	29	17	30		100
12/28/21	Washington Wizards WAS	24	27	22	39		112	Over
	Miami Heat MIA	38	27	26	28		119
11/20/21	Miami Heat MIA	25	18	32	25		100	Under
	Washington Wizards WAS	26	15	30	32		103
11/18/21	Washington Wizards WAS	19	21	30	27		97	Under
	Miami Heat MIA	21	26	36	29		112

Starting Lineups

Heat Notable Injuries

• Caleb Martin (PF): Avg: 10.0pts, 4.6reb, 2.1ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 3.4
• Cole Swider (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.3ast, 5.9 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.7
• Alondes Williams (PG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/26/24. Impact: 0.2

Wizards Notable Injuries

• Bilal Coulibaly (SG): Avg: 8.3pts, 4.1reb, 1.7ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 03/16/24. Impact: 3.2
• Eugene Omoruyi (PF/C): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.8ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/17/24. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Recent Trends

• Justin Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.5% to 13.1, 30.8 min average previous 3 games.
• Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
• Anthony Gill (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.0% to 11.3, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Haywood Highsmith (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 54.3% to 27.4, 17.8 min average previous 3 games.
• Jaime Jaquez Jr. (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.0% to 21.8, 33.5 min average previous 3 games.
• Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
• Duncan Robinson (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.2% to 30.9, 21.4 min average previous 3 games.
• Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
The Wizards have a 2-game losing streak at home.