Bucks vs Hawks Game Breakdown

As the dust settles on a series of first-round blowouts, the NBA playoffs are heating up with a sizzling showdown at State Farm Arena tonight! The Milwaukee Bucks, packing a solid season, are rolling into Atlanta to clash with the Hawks in a game that’s got everyone buzzing. With the Bucks looking to solidify their stance and the Hawks aiming to soar past recent setbacks, tonight’s tipoff at 8:30 PM EST is where all eyes will be. The stakes? High. The energy? Electric. The betting lines are drawn, and fans are on the edge of their seats, ready for a game that promises to tip the scales. Will the Bucks lock horns and charge, or will the Hawks spread their wings and take flight? Tune in and find out!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 07, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-220	+180	239.5	-6.0/6.0
Recent	-180	+155	243.0	-5.5/5.5
Difference	+40	-25	+3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

26W-32L

64.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

30W-29L

35.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/14/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	21	34	19	102	Under
12/14/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	29	27	28	110	Under
12/04/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	38	32	29	20	119	Under
12/04/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	35	24	28	17	104	Under
03/30/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	26	30	33	122	Under
03/30/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	28	17	29	39	113	Under
12/02/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	37	26	35	23	121	Over
12/02/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	42	25	32	33	132	Over
10/29/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	31	37	33	26	127	Under
10/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	22	33	30	110	Under
01/11/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	39	28	22	25	114	Under
01/11/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	19	27	36	23	105	Under
11/14/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	34	31	27	121	Under
11/14/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	26	30	26	106	Under
11/07/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	22	22	18	98	Under
11/07/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	25	27	37	28	117	Under
10/29/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	30	21	33	31	115	Under
10/29/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	27	32	32	123	Under
03/09/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	28	32	29	115	Under
03/09/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	31	25	31	124	Under
01/17/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	36	26	26	114	Under
01/17/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	17	33	33	38	121	Under
11/14/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	20	33	23	100	Under
11/14/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	32	26	31	31	120	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	vs CHA	112-102W	44	26	9	81
02/03	vs OKL	96-125L	37	24	14	93
02/02	@ MEM	119-132L	36	32	13	91
01/31	vs SAS	118-144L	47	24	10	100
01/28	vs POR	112-125L	36	26	11	87
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/05	@ SAS	125-126L	45	33	20	91
02/03	vs DET	132-130W	37	27	12	81
02/01	vs IND	127-132L	44	31	12	90
01/30	vs CLE	115-137L	36	28	11	90
01/28	@ HOU	96-100L	40	19	16	89
01/27	vs MIN	92-100L	51	24	21	86
01/23	@ TOR	119-122L	36	30	14	87
01/22	@ DET	104-114L	47	25	13	103
01/20	vs NYK	110-119L	41	23	23	85
01/18	vs BOS	119-115W	55	27	17	93

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	60.0	60.8	59.0	100%	59.4
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	13.0	16.5	12.3	100%	12.7
Damian Lillard PG	46.0	43.5	44.4	100%	44.8
Brook Lopez C	23.0	22.9	24.5	100%	24.9

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Dominick Barlow PF	16.0	9.2	10.1	7%	19.4
Dyson Daniels SG	37.0	39.8	32.4	100%	32.8
Onyeka Okongwu C	33.0	33.4	28.3	30%	32.3
Zaccharie Risacher SF	22.0	25.4	18.7	100%	19.1
Trae Young PG	43.0	46.9	46.7	100%	46.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Kevin Porter (SG): Avg: 9.6pts, 3.1reb, 3.1ast, 19.2 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 3.1
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.4pts, 3.1reb, 2.0ast, 20.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.9
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.4
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.3reb, 0.3ast, 5.4 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.3
AJ Johnson (PG/SG): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 02/03/25. Impact: 1.5
Chris Livingston (C): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7

Hawks Notable Injuries

Jalen Johnson (C): Avg: 17.2pts, 9.2reb, 4.1ast, 34.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 6.3
Clint Capela (C): Avg: 10.8pts, 10.1reb, 1.2ast, 24.6 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 4.3
De’Andre Hunter (SF/PF): Avg: 16.9pts, 3.8reb, 1.6ast, 29.1 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 4.6
Terance Mann (SG): Avg: 7.9pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 23.7 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 2.0
Bones Hyland (PG): Avg: 6.8pts, 1.4reb, 2.1ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 2.3

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Vit Krejci	ATL	Pts	8.5	9.8	+1.3	40%	50%	67%	67%	MIL	+1.4	#25
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Pts	30.5	31.1	+0.6	60%	60%	53%	53%	ATL	+2.2	#27

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#19	#2	#9	-3.9%
PF	#16	#12	#12	#9	-3.5%
PG	#25	#30	#15	#28	5.0%
SF	#7	#22	#21	#8	-5.7%
SG	#19	#29	#25	#22	2.3%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#23	#14	#25	#22	3.3%
PF	#27	#17	#6	#23	3.4%
PG	#15	#9	#25	#21	1.8%
SF	#27	#24	#18	#27	7.5%
SG	#17	#25	#30	#27	5.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.0

115.9

Rebounds per Game

44.8

44.4

Assists per Game

27.0

28.2

Steals per Game

7.9

9.8

Blocks per Game

4.8

5.0

Shots per Game

89.1

91.6

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.0

13.5

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.7

54.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.9

34.7

Turnovers per Game

12.6

14.6

Fouls per Game

18.5

Recent Trends

Trae Young (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.7% to 18.5, 11.4 min average previous 3 games.
AJ Green (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.3% to 25.7, 17.9 min average previous 3 games.
Mouhamed Gueye (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.9% to 18.8, 13.7 min average previous 3 games.
Vit Krejci (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.8% to 20.8, 30.5 min average previous 3 games.
Garrison Mathews (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.2% to 12.6, 18.3 min average previous 3 games.
Ryan Rollins (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 15.5, 11.0 min average previous 3 games.
Keaton Wallace (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 47.0% to 12.9, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
Terance Mann (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 64.1% to 20.4, 12.4 min average previous 3 games.