Bucks vs Hawks Game Breakdown & Projections – Sat, Mar 30th 2024
Bucks
46W-27L
March 30, 2024
07:30PM EST
Odds: 223.0 o/u
Hawks
34W-39L
Roll out the red carpet, folks! We’ve got a prime-time showdown tonight at the State Farm Arena that’s got the hoops universe buzzing. Our main men, the Milwaukee Bucks, are strutting into Atlanta with a 46W-27L record, ready to lock horns with the Hawks, who are sitting at 34W-39L. Now, don’t let those numbers fool you, because the Hawks are soaring high after their recent nail-biter against Boston, while the Bucks are looking to bounce back from their stumble against the Pelicans. With the tipoff set for 07:30PM EST and the over/under at a whopping 223.0, the stakes are as high as a Giannis Antetokounmpo dunk. The Bucks are favored by 5, but don’t count out the Hawks just yet. The Eastern conference rankings are still up for grabs and both teams are hungry for a win. So, whether you’re a Buck or a Hawk, one thing’s for sure – tonight’s game is going to be a whole lot more than just deer in the headlights or birds of a feather flocking together!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 30, 2024 07:30PM EST
Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta
Vegas Odds
MIL ML | ATL ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -195 | +165 | 225.5 | -5.0/5.0 |
Recent | -140 | +120 | 223.0 | -4.0/4.0 |
Difference | +55 | -45 | -2.5 | – |
Team Performance
58.3% Win Probability
41.7% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/02/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 37 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 121 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 42 | 25 | 32 | 33 | 132 | ||||
10/29/23 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 31 | 37 | 33 | 26 | 127 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 25 | 22 | 33 | 30 | 110 | ||||
01/11/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 39 | 28 | 22 | 25 | 114 | Under | ||
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 19 | 27 | 36 | 23 | 105 | ||||
11/14/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 29 | 34 | 31 | 27 | 121 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 26 | 30 | 26 | 106 | ||||
11/07/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 36 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 98 | Under | ||
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 25 | 27 | 37 | 28 | 117 | ||||
10/29/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 30 | 21 | 33 | 31 | 115 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 27 | 32 | 32 | 123 | ||||
03/09/22 | Atlanta Hawks ATL | 26 | 28 | 32 | 29 | 115 | Over | ||
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 37 | 31 | 25 | 31 | 124 | ||||
01/17/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 36 | 26 | 26 | 114 | Over | ||
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 17 | 33 | 33 | 38 | 121 | ||||
11/14/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 20 | 33 | 23 | 100 | Under | ||
Atlanta Hawks ATL | 32 | 26 | 31 | 31 | 120 |
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Hawks Vs Over/Under
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
03/24 | @ OKL | 118-93W | 57 | 33 | 16 | 92 |
03/21 | @ BRO | 115-108W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 91 |
03/20 | vs BOS | 119-122L | 41 | 20 | 14 | 84 |
03/17 | @ PHX | 140-129W | 35 | 35 | 10 | 94 |
03/14 | @ PHI | 114-105W | 37 | 29 | 14 | 72 |
03/12 | vs SAC | 94-129L | 44 | 23 | 13 | 84 |
03/10 | vs LAC | 124-117W | 41 | 28 | 7 | 88 |
03/08 | vs LAL | 122-123L | 43 | 28 | 6 | 94 |
Hawks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/28 | @ BOS | 123-122W | 53 | 24 | 11 | 106 |
03/27 | @ POR | 120-106W | 41 | 23 | 16 | 85 |
03/25 | @ BOS | 120-118W | 44 | 30 | 13 | 87 |
03/23 | @ CHA | 132-91W | 43 | 40 | 8 | 90 |
03/21 | vs PHX | 115-131L | 36 | 27 | 8 | 92 |
03/18 | vs LAL | 105-136L | 42 | 32 | 9 | 98 |
03/17 | vs LAC | 110-93W | 45 | 32 | 14 | 84 |
03/15 | vs UTA | 122-124L | 41 | 32 | 9 | 92 |
03/13 | vs POR | 102-106L | 38 | 19 | 14 | 88 |
03/10 | @ NOP | 103-116L | 41 | 28 | 11 | 92 |
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
60.7 | 58.8 | 57.2 | 93% | 57.8 | |
20.5 | 22.2 | 21.1 | 100% | 21.1 | |
8.2 | 10.3 | 17.0 | 20% | 26.9 | |
24.8 | 22.2 | 26.2 | 100% | 25.6 | |
33.5 | 35.5 | 33.1 | 100% | 32.3 |
Atlanta Hawks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
34.2 | 33.0 | 29.9 | 70% | 30.2 | |
33.4 | 34.5 | 29.0 | 100% | 29.3 | |
24.7 | 29.9 | 25.0 | 33% | 28.3 | |
36.8 | 41.6 | 38.0 | 100% | 38.4 | |
52.2 | 61.5 | 48.3 | 100% | 48.7 |
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Danilo Gallinari (PF/C): Avg: 6.0pts, 2.2reb, 1.2ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.9
- Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.7
- Andre Jackson Jr. (PG/SF): Avg: 2.3pts, 2.0reb, 1.0ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.8
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
Hawks Notable Injuries
- Trae Young (PG): Avg: 25.4pts, 2.6reb, 10.6ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 03/28/24. Impact: 6.2
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): Avg: 10.2pts, 6.8reb, 1.3ast, 25.5 minutes. Last game: 03/21/24. Impact: 4.7
- Dylan Windler (PF): Avg: 2.1pts, 0.7reb, 0.6ast, 5.2 minutes. Last game: 03/27/24. Impact: 0.9
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Damian Lillard | MIL | Pts | 22.5 | 24.5 | +2.0 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | ATL | +1.1 | #23 |
Clint Capela | ATL | Pts | 11.5 | 12.4 | +0.9 | 100% | 80% | 67% | 67% | MIL | -0.7 | #11 |
Dejounte Murray | ATL | Reb | 5.5 | 6.3 | +0.8 | 60% | 40% | 53% | 53% | MIL | +1.1 | #29 |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #11 | #7 | #13 | #4 | -9.4% |
PF | #9 | #16 | #17 | #13 | -0.6% |
PG | #13 | #11 | #3 | #10 | -8.9% |
SF | #18 | #18 | #7 | #14 | -1.2% |
SG | #27 | #29 | #26 | #28 | 8.6% |
Hawks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #12 | #13 | #3 | #8 | -3.9% |
PF | #6 | #5 | #19 | #9 | -5.5% |
PG | #12 | #9 | #25 | #17 | 2.2% |
SF | #27 | #7 | #17 | #24 | 12.2% |
SG | #23 | #24 | #24 | #23 | 4.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 46.1% to 13.9, 25.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Bogdan Bogdanovic (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.1% to 40.1, 29.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Clint Capela (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.3% to 29.8, 22.4 min average previous 3 games.
- Jae Crowder (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.1% to 17.1, 25.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Bruno Fernando (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 52.6% to 19.9, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Brook Lopez (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.1% to 30.8, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.
- Wesley Matthews (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.0% to 17.9, 13.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 49.1% to 32.9, 22.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Onyeka Okongwu (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.1% to 23.5, 34.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Trae Young (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 23.3, 36.1 min average previous 3 games. The Hawks have a 4-game winning streak at home. Overall, they are on a 4-game winning streak.
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