Bucks vs Celtics Game Breakdown

Get ready to light up the scoreboard because tonight, the hardwood at TD Garden is set to sizzle! The Milwaukee Bucks, aiming to shake off a recent stumble, are rolling into Boston to challenge the high-flying Celtics in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff clash. With the Celtics boasting a stellar record and fresh off a victory, they’re looking to cement their dominance at the top of the Eastern conference. Meanwhile, the Bucks, lagging behind but hungry for redemption, know that every game is a chance to close the gap. Tipoff is at 8:30 PM EST, and with the over/under tantalizingly set at 227, expect a barrage of buckets. As these two teams lock horns, it’s clear that tonight, we’re in for a real ‘Buck-et’ list battle at the Garden!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 06, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: TD Garden, Boston

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	BOS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+220	-270	230.5	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+265	-330	227.0	8.0/-8.0
Difference	+45	-60	-3.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

20W-25L

27.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

9W-1L

HOME

44W-6L

72.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
11/10/24	Boston Celtics BOS	30	28	29	26	00	113	Under
11/10/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	29	15	23	00	107	Under
10/28/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	27	26	26	00	108	Push
10/28/24	Boston Celtics BOS	28	25	37	29	00	119	Push
04/09/24	Boston Celtics BOS	21	22	24	24	00	91	Under
04/09/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	26	15	26	00	104	Under
03/20/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	28	27	36	00	119	Over
03/20/24	Boston Celtics BOS	33	36	32	21	00	122	Over
01/11/24	Boston Celtics BOS	23	15	32	32	00	102	Over
01/11/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	41	34	36	24	00	135	Over
11/22/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	17	36	26	37	00	116	Over
11/22/23	Boston Celtics BOS	29	38	27	25	00	119	Over
03/30/23	Boston Celtics BOS	34	41	39	26	00	140	Over
03/30/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	21	27	25	00	99	Over
02/14/23	Boston Celtics BOS	35	28	32	21	90	125	Over
02/14/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	37	26	26	150	131	Over
12/25/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	33	25	32	00	118	Over
12/25/22	Boston Celtics BOS	36	26	38	39	00	139	Over
04/07/22	Boston Celtics BOS	29	30	38	24	00	121	Over
04/07/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	33	33	25	00	127	Over
12/25/21	Boston Celtics BOS	35	27	32	19	00	113	Over
12/25/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	22	25	43	27	00	117	Over
12/13/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	20	24	29	00	103	Under
12/13/21	Boston Celtics BOS	21	30	34	32	00	117	Under
11/12/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	25	26	27	50	113	Over
11/12/21	Boston Celtics BOS	30	21	37	20	140	122	Over

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Celtics Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/04	@ ATL	104-119L	40	23	18	78
12/03	vs DET	128-107W	36	26	16	80
11/30	@ WAS	124-114W	38	31	11	86
11/26	vs MIA	106-103W	41	23	10	77
11/23	@ CHA	125-119W	51	20	14	89
11/22	@ IND	129-117W	44	33	17	90
11/20	@ CHI	122-106W	45	30	11	80
11/18	@ HOU	101-100W	43	21	15	83
11/16	vs CHA	114-115L	40	31	9	92
11/13	@ DET	127-120W	47	26	11	95

Celtics Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/04	@ DET	130-120W	43	30	16	94
12/02	@ MIA	108-89W	54	25	14	89
12/01	vs CLE	111-115L	46	17	9	95
11/29	vs CHI	138-129W	51	24	9	98
11/25	@ LAC	126-94W	47	33	11	88
11/24	@ MIN	107-105W	40	25	6	87
11/22	vs WAS	108-96W	43	22	12	85
11/19	@ CLE	120-117W	42	32	13	86
11/16	@ TOR	126-123W	42	30	9	99
11/13	vs BRO	139-114W	45	35	7	93

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	59.0	60.0	58.1	100%	58.5
Damian Lillard PG	44.0	49.1	44.3	100%	44.7
Brook Lopez C	29.0	27.7	28.2	100%	28.6
Khris Middleton SG	15.0	44.4	35.0	100%	34.1
Taurean Prince SF	15.0	19.1	18.2	63%	20.4

Boston Celtics	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Jaylen Brown SF	36.0	42.6	41.4	100%	41.8
Jrue Holiday SG	25.0	24.7	27.1	100%	27.5
Kristaps Porzingis C	39.0	32.7	37.7	100%	38.1
Jayson Tatum PF	45.0	49.1	51.9	100%	52.2
Derrick White PG	33.0	40.4	36.1	100%	36.4

Bucks Notable Injuries

Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 0.9
Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.3pts, 0.9reb, 0.9ast, 6.2 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 1.3
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 10.4 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.1ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 0.4
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 1.4pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.1 minutes. Last game: 12/03/24. Impact: 0.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.0ast, 4.0 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 0.2

Celtics Notable Injuries

Drew Peterson (PF): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.9reb, 0.3ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 1.3
Jaden Springer (SG/SF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.4reb, 0.8ast, 9.1 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 0.7
JD Davison (PG): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.9reb, 1.0ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 0.9
Baylor Scheierman (SG/SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.5ast, 6.4 minutes. Last game: 12/02/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Brook Lopez	MIL	Pts	9.5	12.9	+3.4	60%	70%	60%	60%	BOS	+0.3	#15
Kristaps Porzingis	BOS	Pts	17.5	20.2	+2.7	60%	50%	67%	67%	MIL	-1.9	#6

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#5	#5	#7	-7.0%
PF	#6	#13	#18	#6	-5.1%
PG	#30	#18	#14	#27	8.7%
SF	#19	#8	#9	#10	-2.9%
SG	#20	#30	#24	#25	5.7%

Celtics Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#7	#9	#5	-8.3%
PF	#1	#6	#6	#1	-16.1%
PG	#15	#14	#26	#18	1.7%
SF	#9	#25	#7	#13	-0.7%
SG	#13	#9	#7	#4	-5.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

113.3

120.1

Rebounds per Game

43.7

43.4

Assists per Game

25.7

27.1

Steals per Game

6.9

7.5

Blocks per Game

5.4

5.9

Shots per Game

86.4

90.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.2

18.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.2

56.8

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.3

38.7

Turnovers per Game

13.3

10.4

Fouls per Game

18.8

15.7

Recent Trends

Sam Hauser (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.1% to 29.6, 21.7 min average previous 3 games.
Kristaps Porzingis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.2% to 28.9, 21.2 min average previous 3 games.
Payton Pritchard (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.9% to 34.5, 25.5 min average previous 3 games.
Neemias Queta (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.6% to 15.5, 22.6 min average previous 3 games.