Bucks vs. Warriors: Late-Night Showdown Full of Surprises!
Bucks
41W-21L
March 06, 2024
11:00PM EST
Odds: 227.0 o/u
Warriors
32W-28L
Alright, hoop heads, buckle up for a late-night NBA showdown that’s gonna be as electrifying as a Ben Simmons three-point attempt. The 41W-21L Milwaukee Bucks are packing their bags and heading to the Chase Center to face off against the 32W-28L Golden State Warriors. Yea, you heard it right, it’s Giannis and the gang versus the Splash Brothers with tipoff set for 11:00PM EST. In the conference standings, we’ve got the Bucks sitting pretty at 0.0 games back in the East, while the Warriors are trying to claw their way up from a 7.0 game deficit in the West. Now, if you’re looking to put some skin in the game, the over/under is set at a cool 227.0, with the Bucks line at 4.0 and the Warriors line at -4.0. And let’s not forget, the Warriors are coming off a brutal 88-140 loss against the Celtics (ouch!), while the Bucks are riding high after a 113-106 victory over the Clippers. So grab your popcorn, folks, because this game is gonna be a sizzler.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 06, 2024 11:00PM EST
Location: Chase Center, Golden State
Vegas Odds
| MIL ML | GSW ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +150 | -175 | 228.0 | 4.0/-4.0 |
| Recent | +140 | -165 | 227.0 | 4.0/-4.0 |
| Difference | -10 | +10 | -1.0 | – |
Team Performance
41.7% Win Probability
58.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/13/24 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 24 | 32 | 25 | 37 | 118 | Over | |
|
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 21 | 29 | 46 | 129 | ||||
| 03/11/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 23 | 28 | 34 | 5 | 116 | Over | |
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 22 | 30 | 31 | 14 | 125 | |||
| 12/13/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 27 | 25 | 25 | 34 | 111 | Over | |
|
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 38 | 26 | 31 | 33 | 128 | ||||
| 03/12/22 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 28 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 109 | Over | |
|
| Golden State Warriors GSW | 28 | 39 | 36 | 19 | 122 | ||||
| 01/13/22 | Golden State Warriors GSW | 21 | 17 | 34 | 27 | 99 | Under | |
|
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 37 | 40 | 20 | 21 | 118 |
Starting Lineups
| Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60.1 | 55.0 | 58.4 | 93% | 59.1 | |
| 21.6 | 21.2 | 19.9 | 93% | 20.1 | |
|
Jae Crowder
SF
|
14.9 | 13.8 | 14.9 | 50% | 15.2 |
| 47.1 | 42.2 | 40.2 | 93% | 40.5 | |
| 26.1 | 22.8 | 28.5 | 93% | 28.5 |
| Golden State Warriors | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.6 | 33.3 | 42.7 | 100% | 43.1 | |
| 31.3 | 24.8 | 28.8 | 90% | 29.3 | |
| 32.6 | 31.5 | 31.6 | 83% | 30.5 | |
| 27.2 | 25.7 | 26.8 | 80% | 26.6 | |
| 25.3 | 29.2 | 24.5 | 63% | 27.1 |
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.2reb, 0.7ast, 13.4 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.9
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.3reb, 0.6ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 0.4
Warriors Notable Injuries
- Gui Santos (SF/PF): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.1reb, 0.8ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 1.9
- Jerome Robinson (SG): Avg: 1.3pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.0 minutes. Last game: 03/03/24. Impact: 0.5
- Usman Garuba (C): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.9
- Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.0reb, 0.0ast, 1.8 minutes. Last game: 02/25/24. Impact: 0.0
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Draymond Green | GSW | Pts | 6.5 | 9.3 | +2.8 | 60% | 70% | 67% | 67% | MIL | -2.7 | #6 |
| Jonathan Kuminga | GSW | Pts | 16.5 | 18.7 | +2.2 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | MIL | -1.6 | #9 |
| Andrew Wiggins | GSW | Reb | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.1 | 80% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIL | +0.2 | #17 |
| Damian Lillard | MIL | Reb | 4.5 | 4.6 | +0.1 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | GSW | -0.6 | #9 |
Bucks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #6 | #17 | #10 | #3 | -15.8% |
| PF | #6 | #4 | #18 | #7 | -9.4% |
| PG | #6 | #8 | #5 | #3 | -16.2% |
| SF | #9 | #8 | #16 | #8 | -5.9% |
| SG | #18 | #17 | #26 | #20 | 0.7% |
Warriors Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #10 | #25 | #30 | #19 | 6.4% |
| PF | #23 | #23 | #3 | #23 | 5.9% |
| PG | #16 | #9 | #23 | #12 | -1.6% |
| SF | #7 | #27 | #18 | #19 | 2.9% |
| SG | #20 | #9 | #7 | #14 | -1.9% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.9% to 25.5, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Trayce Jackson-Davis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.9% to 16.4, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.
- Moses Moody (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 134.1% to 25.5, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 38.6% to 28.0, 20.2 min average previous 3 games. The Bucks have a 4-game winning streak on the road. Overall, they are on a 6-game winning streak. The Warriors recently lost a game, but have no significant streak.
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