Bucks vs Pacers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

Get ready to rumble at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight, folks! The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers are squaring off in a first-round NBA Playoff game that’s sure to shake up the standings. After a series of blowouts in the opening games, this matchup promises some edge-of-your-seat action, with the Bucks looking to buck their recent losing streak and the Pacers aiming to pace themselves back into winning form. With the tipoff set for 7 PM EST, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Bucks leap over their hurdles, or will the Pacers continue to set the pace? It’s all going down tonight in a clash where only the strongest will stampede to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+255	-310	220.0	6.5/-6.5
Recent	+320	-430	216.0	10.0/-10.0
Difference	+65	-120	-4.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

3W-7L

AWAY

17W-20L

23.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

25W-13L

76.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
04/26/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	22	33	28	28	70	118	Over
04/26/24	Indiana Pacers IND	39	28	23	21	100	121	Over
04/23/24	Indiana Pacers IND	30	30	32	33	00	125	Over
04/23/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	29	28	25	00	108	Over
04/21/24	Indiana Pacers IND	21	21	29	23	00	94	Under
04/21/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	39	14	26	00	109	Under
12/07/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	28	37	00	128	Over
12/07/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	22	43	25	00	119	Over
01/03/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	37	29	33	00	130	Over
01/03/24	Indiana Pacers IND	33	33	47	29	00	142	Over
01/01/24	Indiana Pacers IND	25	31	28	38	00	122	Over
01/01/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	30	26	25	00	113	Over
12/13/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	30	31	32	00	126	Over
12/13/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	34	31	39	00	140	Over
11/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	36	34	30	00	124	Over
11/09/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	28	27	33	00	126	Over
03/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	39	46	30	00	149	Over
03/29/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	39	38	29	00	136	Over
03/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	25	49	35	00	139	Over
03/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	24	37	22	00	123	Over
01/27/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	45	40	29	27	00	141	Over
01/27/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	43	32	00	131	Over
01/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	38	22	21	00	119	Over
01/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	33	28	39	00	132	Over
02/15/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	31	25	00	119	Over
02/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	35	30	29	00	128	Over
12/15/21	Indiana Pacers IND	33	20	34	12	00	99	Under
12/15/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	25	29	27	00	114	Under
11/28/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	39	27	00	118	Over
11/28/21	Indiana Pacers IND	26	21	27	26	00	100	Over
10/25/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	32	35	18	00	119	Over
10/25/21	Indiana Pacers IND	30	27	29	23	00	109	Over

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs OKL	107-125L	42	27	17	85
04/10	@ ORL	117-99W	43	27	12	84
04/09	@ BOS	104-91W	49	29	16	81
04/07	@ NYK	109-122L	38	27	14	75
04/05	@ TOR	111-97W	45	21	13	88
04/03	@ MEM	101-111L	44	26	11	95
04/02	vs WAS	113-117L	57	31	12	103
03/30	vs ATL	122-113W	40	27	10	78
03/28	vs NOP	100-107L	46	21	14	82
03/26	@ LAL	124-128L	61	37	14	119

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs CLE	120-129L	39	37	13	89
04/09	vs TOR	140-123W	44	33	13	99
04/07	@ MIA	117-115W	37	27	6	86
04/05	@ OKL	126-112W	39	30	13	88
04/03	vs BRO	111-115L	45	27	9	103
04/01	@ BRO	133-111W	47	35	9	103
03/29	@ LAL	109-90W	46	27	8	91
03/27	vs CHI	99-125L	40	25	13	85
03/25	vs LAC	133-116W	34	28	8	86
03/24	vs LAL	145-150L	40	39	11	107

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Patrick Beverley SG	29.8	24.7	17.5	33%	26.9
Brook Lopez C	29.5	27.8	24.4	100%	24.8
Khris Middleton SF	46.4	41.3	34.1	100%	33.2
Bobby Portis PF	48.2	35.6	31.5	17%	35.6

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	51.2	44.7	40.9	100%	41.2
Andrew Nembhard SG	21.2	22.9	20.4	100%	20.6
Aaron Nesmith SF	26.7	25.1	22.3	100%	22.6
Pascal Siakam PF	47.6	44.8	39.2	100%	39.6
Myles Turner C	38.6	37.3	32.5	100%	32.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.8pts, 4.3reb, 7.0ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 7.5
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.7ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4

Pacers Notable Injuries

Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.8reb, 1.2ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.1
Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Tyrese Haliburton	IND	Pts	17.5	21.8	+4.3	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	+0.1	#18
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	19.5	23.6	+4.1	20%	20%	13%	13%	IND	+4.2	#21
Khris Middleton	MIL	Reb	6.5	6.9	+0.4	60%	50%	40%	40%	IND	-5.2	#1
T.J. McConnell	IND	Ast	3.5	4.7	+1.2	60%	70%	80%	80%	MIL	+0.5	#25
Ben Sheppard	IND	Ast	0.5	1.2	+0.7	80%	80%	73%	73%	MIL	+1.4	#21

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#3	#1	#3	-15.6%
PF	#16	#14	#22	#19	0.6%
PG	#28	#22	#12	#27	29.4%
SF	#20	#6	#21	#14	-3.4%
SG	#18	#30	#25	#23	4.2%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#12	#3	#12	-5.0%
PF	#21	#13	#12	#11	-4.3%
SF	#21	#1	#1	#4	-43.6%
SG	#9	#21	#4	#7	-5.8%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.5

122.3

Rebounds per Game

44.8

42.4

Assists per Game

26.9

30.9

Steals per Game

6.6

7.1

Blocks per Game

5.8

6.4

Shots per Game

86.1

94.1

3-Pointers Made per Game

13.0

11.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

57.1

60.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

34.4

33.6

Turnovers per Game

13.1

10.1

Fouls per Game

16.1

20.7

Recent Trends

Tyrese Haliburton (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 18.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 16.0 ast against MIL
Malik Beasley (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.2% to 15.3, 26.6 min average previous 3 games.
Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 37.6, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
Quenton Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.5% to 12.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.4% to 37.5, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.0% to 34.8, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
Pascal Siakam (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 39.5, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.