Bucks vs Pacers Game Breakdown & Projections – Sun, Apr 28th 2024

thefield
Milwaukee Bucks

Bucks

1W-2L

Milwaukee Bucks

April 28, 2024

07:00PM EST

Odds: 216.0 o/u

Pacers

2W-1L

Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers

Get ready to rumble at Gainbridge Fieldhouse tonight, folks! The Milwaukee Bucks and Indiana Pacers are squaring off in a first-round NBA Playoff game that’s sure to shake up the standings. After a series of blowouts in the opening games, this matchup promises some edge-of-your-seat action, with the Bucks looking to buck their recent losing streak and the Pacers aiming to pace themselves back into winning form. With the tipoff set for 7 PM EST, the stakes are high and the betting lines are buzzing. Will the Bucks leap over their hurdles, or will the Pacers continue to set the pace? It’s all going down tonight in a clash where only the strongest will stampede to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 28, 2024 07:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

MIL ML IND ML Over/Under Line
Open +255 -310 220.0 6.5/-6.5
Recent +320 -430 216.0 10.0/-10.0
Difference +65 -120 -4.0

Team Performance

mil Team Logo
LAST 10
3W-7L
AWAY
17W-20L

23.8% Win Probability

ind Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
25W-13L

76.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
04/26/24 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 22 33 28 28 70 118 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 39 28 23 21 100 121
04/23/24 Indiana Pacers IND 30 30 32 33 00 125 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 26 29 28 25 00 108
04/21/24 Indiana Pacers IND 21 21 29 23 00 94 Under
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 30 39 14 26 00 109
12/07/23 Indiana Pacers IND 27 36 28 37 00 128 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 29 22 43 25 00 119
01/03/24 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 31 37 29 33 00 130 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 33 33 47 29 00 142
01/01/24 Indiana Pacers IND 25 31 28 38 00 122 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 32 30 26 25 00 113
12/13/23 Indiana Pacers IND 33 30 31 32 00 126 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 36 34 31 39 00 140
11/09/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 24 36 34 30 00 124 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 38 28 27 33 00 126
03/29/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 34 39 46 30 00 149 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 30 39 38 29 00 136
03/16/23 Indiana Pacers IND 30 25 49 35 00 139 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 40 24 37 22 00 123
01/27/23 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 45 40 29 27 00 141 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 30 26 43 32 00 131
01/16/23 Indiana Pacers IND 38 38 22 21 00 119 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 32 33 28 39 00 132
02/15/22 Indiana Pacers IND 27 36 31 25 00 119 Over
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 34 35 30 29 00 128
12/15/21 Indiana Pacers IND 33 20 34 12 00 99 Under
Milwaukee Bucks MIL 33 25 29 27 00 114
11/28/21 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 26 26 39 27 00 118 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 26 21 27 26 00 100
10/25/21 Milwaukee Bucks MIL 34 32 35 18 00 119 Over
Indiana Pacers IND 30 27 29 23 00 109

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 vs OKL 107-125L 42 27 17 85
04/10 @ ORL 117-99W 43 27 12 84
04/09 @ BOS 104-91W 49 29 16 81
04/07 @ NYK 109-122L 38 27 14 75
04/05 @ TOR 111-97W 45 21 13 88
04/03 @ MEM 101-111L 44 26 11 95
04/02 vs WAS 113-117L 57 31 12 103
03/30 vs ATL 122-113W 40 27 10 78
03/28 vs NOP 100-107L 46 21 14 82
03/26 @ LAL 124-128L 61 37 14 119

Pacers Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 vs CLE 120-129L 39 37 13 89
04/09 vs TOR 140-123W 44 33 13 99
04/07 @ MIA 117-115W 37 27 6 86
04/05 @ OKL 126-112W 39 30 13 88
04/03 vs BRO 111-115L 45 27 9 103
04/01 @ BRO 133-111W 47 35 9 103
03/29 @ LAL 109-90W 46 27 8 91
03/27 vs CHI 99-125L 40 25 13 85
03/25 vs LAC 133-116W 34 28 8 86
03/24 vs LAL 145-150L 40 39 11 107

Starting Lineups

Bucks Notable Injuries

  • Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.8pts, 4.3reb, 7.0ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 7.5
  • Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 2.0reb, 0.7ast, 12.7 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.7
  • Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4

Pacers Notable Injuries

  • Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.8reb, 1.2ast, 10.1 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.1
  • Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

Bucks Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #12 #3 #1 #3 -15.6%
PF #16 #14 #22 #19 0.6%
PG #28 #22 #12 #27 29.4%
SF #20 #6 #21 #14 -3.4%
SG #18 #30 #25 #23 4.2%

Pacers Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #20 #12 #3 #12 -5.0%
PF #21 #13 #12 #11 -4.3%
SF #21 #1 #1 #4 -43.6%
SG #9 #21 #4 #7 -5.8%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
110.5
122.3
Rebounds per Game
44.8
42.4
Assists per Game
26.9
30.9
Steals per Game
6.6
7.1
Blocks per Game
5.8
6.4
Shots per Game
86.1
94.1
3-Pointers Made per Game
13.0
11.7
2-Pt Percentage per Game
57.1
60.2
3-Pt Percentage per Game
34.4
33.6
Turnovers per Game
13.1
10.1
Fouls per Game
16.1
20.7

Recent Trends

  • Tyrese Haliburton (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 18.0 pts, 10.0 reb, 16.0 ast against MIL
  • Malik Beasley (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.2% to 15.3, 26.6 min average previous 3 games.
  • Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.8% to 37.6, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.
  • Quenton Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.5% to 12.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games.
  • Khris Middleton (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 62.4% to 37.5, 23.1 min average previous 3 games.
  • Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.0% to 34.8, 24.5 min average previous 3 games.
  • Pascal Siakam (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.0% to 39.5, 30.4 min average previous 3 games.
  • The Pacers have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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