Bucks vs Pacers Game Breakdown
Bucks
2W-3L
May 02, 2024
06:30PM EST
Odds: 214.0 o/u
Pacers
3W-2L
Get ready for some serious playoff drama as the Milwaukee Bucks, looking to find their stride after a shaky start, storm into Gainbridge Fieldhouse to challenge the Indiana Pacers, who’ve clinched a slightly better beginning this postseason! It’s game time at 06:30 PM EST, folks, and with both teams eager to climb the Eastern conference ladder, sparks are bound to fly. The Bucks, hungry to close the gap and the Pacers aiming to maintain their lead, set the stage for a showdown that’s anything but predictable. With the over/under teasing a score fest, and the lines drawing a clear battlefield, tonight’s clash promises to keep us on the edge. As both teams have stumbled in their recent outings, they’ll be bucking hard and pacing fiercely to avoid another fall!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 02, 2024 06:30PM EST
Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana
Vegas Odds
| MIL ML | IND ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +260 | -320 | 214.5 | 8.0/-8.0 |
| Recent | +285 | -370 | 214.0 | 8.5/-8.5 |
| Difference | +25 | -50 | -0.5 | – |
Team Performance
26.0% Win Probability
74.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/30/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 31 | 17 | 19 | 25 | 00 | 92 | Under | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 23 | 30 | 34 | 28 | 00 | 115 | |||
| 04/28/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 31 | 21 | 28 | 00 | 113 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 04/26/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 22 | 33 | 28 | 28 | 70 | 118 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 39 | 28 | 23 | 21 | 100 | 121 | |||
| 04/23/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 30 | 32 | 33 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 29 | 28 | 25 | 00 | 108 | |||
| 04/21/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 21 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 94 | Under | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 30 | 39 | 14 | 26 | 00 | 109 | |||
| 12/07/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 36 | 28 | 37 | 00 | 128 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 29 | 22 | 43 | 25 | 00 | 119 | |||
| 01/03/24 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 31 | 37 | 29 | 33 | 00 | 130 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 33 | 47 | 29 | 00 | 142 | |||
| 01/01/24 | Indiana Pacers IND | 25 | 31 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 122 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 30 | 26 | 25 | 00 | 113 | |||
| 12/13/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 00 | 126 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 36 | 34 | 31 | 39 | 00 | 140 | |||
| 11/09/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 36 | 34 | 30 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 38 | 28 | 27 | 33 | 00 | 126 | |||
| 03/29/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 39 | 46 | 30 | 00 | 149 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 39 | 38 | 29 | 00 | 136 | |||
| 03/16/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 25 | 49 | 35 | 00 | 139 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 40 | 24 | 37 | 22 | 00 | 123 | |||
| 01/27/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 45 | 40 | 29 | 27 | 00 | 141 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 26 | 43 | 32 | 00 | 131 | |||
| 01/16/23 | Indiana Pacers IND | 38 | 38 | 22 | 21 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 33 | 28 | 39 | 00 | 132 | |||
| 02/15/22 | Indiana Pacers IND | 27 | 36 | 31 | 25 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 35 | 30 | 29 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Indiana Pacers IND | 33 | 20 | 34 | 12 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 33 | 25 | 29 | 27 | 00 | 114 | |||
| 11/28/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 26 | 26 | 39 | 27 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 26 | 21 | 27 | 26 | 00 | 100 | |||
| 10/25/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 32 | 35 | 18 | 00 | 119 | Over | |
| Indiana Pacers IND | 30 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 00 | 109 |
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Pacers Vs Over/Under
Bucks Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs OKL | 107-125L | 42 | 27 | 17 | 85 |
| 04/10 | @ ORL | 117-99W | 43 | 27 | 12 | 84 |
| 04/09 | @ BOS | 104-91W | 49 | 29 | 16 | 81 |
| 04/07 | @ NYK | 109-122L | 38 | 27 | 14 | 75 |
| 04/05 | @ TOR | 111-97W | 45 | 21 | 13 | 88 |
| 04/03 | @ MEM | 101-111L | 44 | 26 | 11 | 95 |
| 04/02 | vs WAS | 113-117L | 57 | 31 | 12 | 103 |
| 03/30 | vs ATL | 122-113W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 78 |
| 03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
| 03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
Pacers Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs CLE | 120-129L | 39 | 37 | 13 | 89 |
| 04/09 | vs TOR | 140-123W | 44 | 33 | 13 | 99 |
| 04/07 | @ MIA | 117-115W | 37 | 27 | 6 | 86 |
| 04/05 | @ OKL | 126-112W | 39 | 30 | 13 | 88 |
| 04/03 | vs BRO | 111-115L | 45 | 27 | 9 | 103 |
| 04/01 | @ BRO | 133-111W | 47 | 35 | 9 | 103 |
| 03/29 | @ LAL | 109-90W | 46 | 27 | 8 | 91 |
| 03/27 | vs CHI | 99-125L | 40 | 25 | 13 | 85 |
| 03/25 | vs LAC | 133-116W | 34 | 28 | 8 | 86 |
| 03/24 | vs LAL | 145-150L | 40 | 39 | 11 | 107 |
Starting Lineups
| Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.8 | 16.4 | 19.0 | 87% | 21.0 | |
| 29.3 | 25.3 | 18.3 | 40% | 27.4 | |
| 33.0 | 28.9 | 24.5 | 100% | 25.0 | |
| 51.8 | 46.8 | 34.8 | 100% | 33.9 | |
|
Bobby Portis
PF
|
48.7 | 31.4 | 31.5 | 23% | 33.0 |
| Indiana Pacers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.8 | 39.2 | 40.2 | 100% | 40.6 | |
| 25.3 | 25.6 | 20.3 | 100% | 20.6 | |
| 26.8 | 25.3 | 21.8 | 100% | 22.1 | |
| 45.5 | 44.3 | 38.6 | 100% | 39.0 | |
| 40.2 | 41.5 | 32.8 | 100% | 33.2 |
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.8pts, 4.3reb, 7.0ast, 35.6 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 7.5
- Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 4.2pts, 2.0reb, 0.6ast, 12.2 minutes. Last game: 04/30/24. Impact: 0.6
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 04/28/24. Impact: 0.4
Pacers Notable Injuries
- Jarace Walker (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.7reb, 1.1ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 04/30/24. Impact: 0.8
- Kendall Brown (SG/SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.3reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Bobby Portis | MIL | Pts | 21.5 | 24.0 | +2.5 | 20% | 30% | 20% | 20% | IND | -3.2 | #13 |
| Pascal Siakam | IND | Pts | 22.5 | 24.7 | +2.2 | 40% | 30% | 33% | 33% | MIL | +5.0 | #22 |
| Brook Lopez | MIL | Reb | 5.5 | 6.0 | +0.5 | 20% | 20% | 27% | 27% | IND | -2.9 | #3 |
Bucks Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #17 | #4 | #2 | #6 | -11.6% |
| PF | #15 | #15 | #24 | #22 | 1.3% |
| PG | #26 | #22 | #15 | #26 | 33.0% |
| SF | #22 | #5 | #20 | #18 | 0.5% |
| SG | #10 | #28 | #26 | #18 | 1.7% |
Pacers Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #22 | #3 | #3 | #9 | -8.5% |
| PF | #27 | #24 | #16 | #24 | 4.0% |
| SF | #13 | #18 | #5 | #6 | -34.0% |
| SG | #8 | #16 | #7 | #8 | -6.4% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Quenton Jackson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 50.5% to 12.0, 24.3 min average previous 3 games. The Pacers have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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