Bucks vs Pacers Game Breakdown

Get ready to buckle up, sports fans, because today’s NBA Playoff face-off at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is not just any game—it’s a showdown that promises to ramp up the intensity of the first round! The Milwaukee Bucks, with a solid season tucked under their belts, are storming into enemy territory to challenge the Indiana Pacers, who just hustled past Boston with momentum on their side. With both teams neck-and-neck in the Eastern conference standings and the scoreboard betting lines buzzing with anticipation, this 4:00 PM EST tipoff is set to be a basketball ballet of strategy and skill. As the Bucks aim to rebound from their recent stumble and the Pacers look to keep their winning streak alive, it’s clear we’re in for a spectacle where only the bravest will buck the trend and pace their way to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 31, 2024 04:00PM EST

Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indiana

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	IND ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-110	-110	231.5	1.0/-1.0
Recent	-120	-110	230.0	-1.5/1.5
Difference	-10	0	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

21W-28L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

32W-18L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/22/24	Indiana Pacers IND	22	22	35	38	117	Over
11/22/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	24	35	36	129	Over
12/07/23	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	28	37	128	Over
12/07/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	22	43	25	119	Over
01/03/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	37	29	33	130	Over
01/03/24	Indiana Pacers IND	33	33	47	29	142	Over
01/01/24	Indiana Pacers IND	25	31	28	38	122	Over
01/01/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	30	26	25	113	Over
12/13/23	Indiana Pacers IND	33	30	31	32	126	Over
12/13/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	34	31	39	140	Over
11/09/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	36	34	30	124	Over
11/09/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	28	27	33	126	Over
03/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	39	46	30	149	Over
03/29/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	39	38	29	136	Over
03/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	25	49	35	139	Over
03/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	24	37	22	123	Over
01/27/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	45	40	29	27	141	Over
01/27/23	Indiana Pacers IND	30	26	43	32	131	Over
01/16/23	Indiana Pacers IND	38	38	22	21	119	Over
01/16/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	33	28	39	132	Over
02/15/22	Indiana Pacers IND	27	36	31	25	119	Over
02/15/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	35	30	29	128	Over
12/15/21	Indiana Pacers IND	33	20	34	12	99	Under
12/15/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	25	29	27	114	Under
11/28/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	39	27	118	Under
11/28/21	Indiana Pacers IND	26	21	27	26	100	Under
10/25/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	32	35	18	119	Under
10/25/21	Indiana Pacers IND	30	27	29	23	109	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pacers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/28	vs CHI	111-116L	43	27	7	102
12/26	@ BRO	105-111L	39	23	22	83
12/21	@ WAS	112-101W	44	35	11	98
12/20	vs CLE	101-124L	45	23	20	85
12/14	@ ATL	110-102W	47	28	12	86
12/10	@ ORL	114-109W	37	27	16	77
12/08	vs BRO	118-113W	31	26	16	68
12/06	vs BOS	105-111L	51	16	9	94
12/04	@ ATL	104-119L	40	23	18	78
12/03	vs DET	128-107W	36	26	16	80

Pacers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	vs BOS	123-114W	50	27	9	87
12/27	vs BOS	105-142L	39	27	12	91
12/26	@ OKL	114-120L	51	28	11	89
12/22	vs SAC	122-95W	50	36	10	86
12/19	vs PHX	120-111W	47	30	9	89
12/15	@ NOP	119-104W	43	33	17	81
12/13	vs PHI	121-107W	41	35	10	91
12/08	@ CHA	109-113L	29	23	17	82
12/06	vs CHI	132-123W	46	33	12	92
12/04	vs BRO	90-99L	39	20	16	75

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	60.0	58.5	58.9	100%	59.3
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	12.0	13.1	10.8	67%	12.0
Damian Lillard PG	44.0	48.1	44.2	100%	44.5
Brook Lopez C	24.0	30.1	26.9	100%	27.3
Khris Middleton SF	29.0	30.4	34.0	80%	36.6

Indiana Pacers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Tyrese Haliburton PG	38.0	36.0	37.6	100%	38.0
Bennedict Mathurin SF	27.0	26.6	28.1	83%	29.3
Andrew Nembhard SG	27.0	33.4	26.2	100%	26.5
Pascal Siakam PF	38.0	41.6	36.0	100%	36.3
Myles Turner C	33.0	28.5	29.5	100%	29.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.1reb, 2.1ast, 21.3 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 2.0
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 4.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.4ast, 10.7 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.9
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.7reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 0.6
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 0.5

Pacers Notable Injuries

Quenton Jackson (PG/SG): Avg: 5.3pts, 1.4reb, 1.5ast, 12.4 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 1.7
James Johnson (PF/C): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.6reb, 0.7ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.6
Enrique Freeman (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.4ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 12/27/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Myles Turner	IND	Pts	13.5	16.4	+2.9	40%	40%	40%	40%	MIL	-3.2	#5
Pascal Siakam	IND	Pts	18.5	20.6	+2.1	60%	60%	53%	53%	MIL	-2.0	#3
Andrew Nembhard	IND	Ast	4.5	5.4	+0.9	60%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.8	#7

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#5	#6	#19	#3	-9.9%
PF	#3	#9	#15	#6	-5.7%
PG	#27	#24	#7	#16	0.6%
SF	#7	#1	#10	#6	-8.3%
SG	#19	#29	#17	#19	1.8%

Pacers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#18	#30	#5	#15	0.3%
PF	#24	#28	#11	#23	5.8%
PG	#18	#12	#21	#21	3.0%
SF	#28	#14	#30	#28	8.9%
SG	#15	#8	#7	#7	-6.3%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.7

113.7

Rebounds per Game

42.4

40.4

Assists per Game

25.2

27.6

Steals per Game

8.2

8.0

Blocks per Game

5.7

5.1

Shots per Game

85.7

86.5

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.9

13.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.4

55.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.8

38.1

Turnovers per Game

13.4

Fouls per Game

18.5

19.4

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 4 consecutive games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.3, 21.5 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Jackson (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.6% to 20.9, 10.9 min average previous 3 games.
Andre Jackson Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.3% to 21.4, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.
Bobby Portis (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.6% to 33.7, 25.0 min average previous 3 games.
Obi Toppin (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 39.1% to 15.1, 24.7 min average previous 3 games.
Jarace Walker (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.1% to 23.0, 15.3 min average previous 3 games.
Delon Wright (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.6% to 17.5, 12.0 min average previous 3 games.