Bucks vs Clippers Game Breakdown

Get ready to buckle up for a high-stakes showdown as the Milwaukee Bucks charge into the Intuit Dome to clash with the Los Angeles Clippers in a nail-biting first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. Both teams, sitting pretty with 25 wins under their belts but differing slightly in their conference standings, are set to light up the scoreboard tonight at 11:30 PM EST. With the Clippers fresh off a commanding win against Washington and the Bucks having just steamrolled Miami, the stage is set for a battle that’s anything but a blowout. With the betting lines drawing a tight circle around this matchup and an over/under that promises plenty of action, fans are in for a treat. As the Bucks look to ‘deerail’ the Clippers’ home court advantage, tonight’s game is shaping up to be a real ‘clip-hanger’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 25, 2025 11:30PM EST

Location: Intuit Dome, Los Angeles

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	LAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+120	-140	224.0	2.5/-2.5
Recent	+120	-140	224.5	2.5/-2.5
Difference	0	0	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-29L

45.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

39W-21L

54.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
03/10/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	29	30	32	33	124	Over
03/10/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	33	29	23	32	117	Over
03/04/24	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	35	20	26	25	106	Under
03/04/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	23	25	40	113	Under
02/10/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	22	32	27	38	119	Over
02/10/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	27	24	25	30	106	Over
02/02/23	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	24	32	31	18	105	Under
02/02/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	15	34	29	28	106	Under
04/01/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	34	39	41	39	153	Over
04/01/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	32	26	31	119	Over
02/06/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	32	39	38	137	Over
02/06/22	Los Angeles Clippers LAC	32	19	30	32	113	Over

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Clippers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82
01/04	@ POR	102-105L	43	25	11	95

Clippers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ WAS	110-93W	55	29	18	88
01/22	@ BOS	113-117L	40	24	22	90
01/20	@ CHI	99-112L	40	24	9	94
01/19	@ LAL	116-102W	38	27	12	89
01/16	vs POR	118-89W	50	23	15	78
01/15	@ BRO	126-67W	46	26	14	79
01/13	@ MIA	109-98W	48	28	11	93
01/08	vs DEN	103-126L	40	14	11	80
01/06	vs MIN	106-108L	49	23	13	89
01/04	@ ATL	131-105W	48	36	17	96

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	60.0	56.7	57.8	100%	58.2
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	12.0	11.4	11.0	93%	11.4
Damian Lillard PG	43.0	49.2	44.0	100%	44.3
Brook Lopez C	25.0	30.0	27.1	100%	27.5
Taurean Prince SF	13.0	15.1	15.4	80%	15.9

Los Angeles Clippers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
James Harden PG	44.0	44.2	41.2	100%	41.6
Derrick Jones Jr. PF	21.0	28.9	19.1	90%	19.8
Kawhi Leonard SF	28.0	23.1	34.8	100%	35.1
Norman Powell SG	35.0	33.5	34.1	100%	34.5
Ivica Zubac C	38.0	39.0	35.6	100%	36.0

Bucks Notable Injuries

Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.8reb, 2.2ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.3
AJ Green (PG/SG): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 2.5
Marjon Beauchamp (PG/SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.7reb, 0.5ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4

Clippers Notable Injuries

Kris Dunn (SG): Avg: 5.5pts, 3.0reb, 3.4ast, 20.2 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 2.1
Bones Hyland (PG): Avg: 6.7pts, 1.4reb, 2.1ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 01/22/25. Impact: 2.3
Trentyn Flowers (SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 2.0reb, 0.0ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 0.8
Cam Christie (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.4ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Gary Trent Jr.	MIL	Pts	7.5	10.5	+3.0	60%	60%	60%	60%	LAC	-0.5	#14
Ivica Zubac	LAC	Pts	12.5	15.4	+2.9	40%	40%	60%	60%	MIL	-3.0	#3
Andre Jackson Jr.	MIL	Reb	2.5	3.3	+0.8	100%	80%	67%	67%	LAC	-0.4	#8
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Reb	11.5	11.8	+0.3	60%	70%	73%	73%	LAC	+0.4	#21
Kawhi Leonard	LAC	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	40%	60%	73%	73%	MIL	-0.1	#13
Norman Powell	LAC	Ast	1.5	1.9	+0.4	80%	50%	60%	60%	MIL	+0.4	#22
Derrick Jones Jr.	LAC	3Pt	0.5	1.2	+0.7	80%	50%	47%	47%	MIL	-0.3	#5

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#12	#2	#4	-9.7%
PF	#27	#3	#12	#13	-1.6%
PG	#12	#28	#6	#10	-2.0%
SF	#5	#4	#13	#5	-12.4%
SG	#19	#28	#22	#20	3.2%

Clippers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#13	#30	#14	0.2%
PF	#1	#2	#15	#1	-19.7%
PG	#7	#23	#15	#16	-0.8%
SF	#24	#21	#18	#21	4.7%
SG	#14	#8	#4	#7	-5.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.2

108.0

Rebounds per Game

44.4

42.4

Assists per Game

26.2

23.7

Steals per Game

7.7

9.9

Blocks per Game

5.0

4.8

Shots per Game

86.8

85.8

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

12.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.8

55.4

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.9

34.3

Turnovers per Game

13.1

15.0

Fouls per Game

18.7

17.5

Recent Trends

James Harden (PG) is coming off a triple-double where he put up 17.0 pts, 12.0 reb, 13.0 ast against WAS
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 15.1, 10.7 min average previous 3 games.
Derrick Jones Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 41.8% to 31.3, 22.1 min average previous 3 games.
Terance Mann (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 97.8% to 28.5, 14.4 min average previous 3 games.
Kevin Porter Jr. (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 65.0% to 24.4, 14.8 min average previous 3 games.