Bucks vs Timberwolves Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the Target Center tonight where the Milwaukee Bucks are set to clash with the Minnesota Timberwolves in what promises to be a pivotal first-round matchup of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. After a slew of blowouts in the earlier games, fans are buzzing with hope for a nail-biter as these two closely matched teams take the court at 9 PM EST. Both squads are hungry to bounce back from recent defeats and claw their way up their respective conference ladders, with the stakes amplified by the playoff atmosphere. The odds-makers have set an intriguing line, hinting at a high-scoring affair. So, as the Bucks aim to lock horns and the Timberwolves howl for a win, tonight’s game is shaping up to be anything but tame!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: February 12, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Target Center, Minnesota

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	MIN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+195	-235	225.0	6.0/-6.0
Recent	+210	-250	224.5	6.5/-6.5
Difference	+15	-15	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

26W-33L

32.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

7W-3L

HOME

42W-21L

67.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
02/23/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	20	36	25	112	Under
02/23/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	30	13	37	107	Under
02/08/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	33	39	27	129	Over
02/08/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	27	22	30	105	Over
12/30/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	27	22	31	114	Over
12/30/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	17	39	34	123	Over
11/04/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	27	34	20	115	Under
11/04/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	28	30	18	102	Under
03/19/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	28	26	37	119	Over
03/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	34	38	32	138	Over
10/27/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	44	22	28	19	113	Under
10/27/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	24	21	29	108	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	@ GSW	111-125L	37	18	20	76
02/09	@ PHI	135-127W	53	29	12	105
02/07	vs ATL	110-115L	43	28	10	96
02/05	vs CHA	112-102W	44	26	9	81
02/03	vs OKL	96-125L	37	24	14	93
02/02	@ MEM	119-132L	36	32	13	91
01/31	vs SAS	118-144L	47	24	10	100
01/28	vs POR	112-125L	36	26	11	87
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
02/10	vs CLE	107-128L	41	17	16	90
02/08	@ POR	114-98W	43	23	14	82
02/06	@ HOU	127-114W	47	23	13	94
02/05	@ CHI	127-108W	59	27	11	98
02/03	@ SAC	114-116L	36	28	8	94
02/01	@ WAS	103-105L	47	29	14	93
01/30	vs UTA	138-113W	39	38	12	82
01/29	vs PHX	121-113W	34	26	14	75
01/27	@ ATL	100-92W	51	18	16	86
01/22	vs DAL	115-114W	39	26	11	81

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	13.0	9.8	11.2	100%	11.6
Kyle Kuzma PF	35.0	32.4	26.8	90%	28.0
Damian Lillard PG	49.0	52.2	45.9	100%	46.3
Brook Lopez C	29.0	24.9	24.0	100%	24.4
Taurean Prince SF	21.0	18.9	15.5	80%	16.0

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	25.0	25.3	20.3	80%	21.6
Anthony Edwards SG	49.0	58.8	46.6	100%	47.0
Rudy Gobert C	35.0	34.5	29.3	100%	29.7
Jaden McDaniels SF	33.0	34.2	28.8	100%	29.1
Naz Reid PF	35.0	41.8	28.8	20%	36.9

Bucks Notable Injuries

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 31.0pts, 11.7reb, 6.3ast, 35.1 minutes. Last game: 02/02/25. Impact: 9.8
Jericho Sims (C): Avg: 1.9pts, 3.3reb, 0.5ast, 11.8 minutes. Last game: 02/04/25. Impact: 0.9
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.6reb, 0.3ast, 8.9 minutes. Last game: 01/31/25. Impact: 0.4
Tyler Smith (SF/PF): Avg: 3.1pts, 1.3reb, 0.3ast, 5.4 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 1.3
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 1.2reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/05/25. Impact: 0.7

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Julius Randle (PF/C): Avg: 21.4pts, 8.2reb, 4.8ast, 34.1 minutes. Last game: 01/30/25. Impact: 5.5
Josh Minott (SG/SF): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.8reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.6
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.4ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.7
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.4pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.0 minutes. Last game: 02/10/25. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Taurean Prince	MIL	Pts	7.5	9.9	+2.4	100%	70%	67%	67%	MIN	-1.1	#8
Bobby Portis	MIL	Pts	16.5	18.2	+1.7	60%	30%	27%	27%	MIN	-0.2	#13
Brook Lopez	MIL	Reb	4.5	5.2	+0.7	20%	40%	47%	47%	MIN	+0.5	#24

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#16	#23	#2	#13	-1.1%
PF	#18	#11	#13	#15	-1.9%
PG	#26	#30	#19	#25	5.0%
SF	#5	#21	#19	#7	-5.6%
SG	#20	#30	#25	#26	4.0%

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#24	#11	#14	-0.4%
PF	#13	#5	#4	#9	-4.4%
PG	#13	#3	#8	#9	-3.2%
SF	#8	#7	#5	#8	-5.3%
SG	#10	#18	#11	#14	-0.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.5

112.6

Rebounds per Game

45.0

Assists per Game

26.8

24.9

Steals per Game

7.6

7.0

Blocks per Game

4.5

5.2

Shots per Game

90.0

86.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.5

15.1

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.9

51.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.0

39.3

Turnovers per Game

12.7

13.5

Fouls per Game

18.8

18.3

Recent Trends

Anthony Edwards (PG/SG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
Damian Lillard (PG) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.8% to 17.0, 11.7 min average previous 3 games.
Gary Trent Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 43.9% to 30.1, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.