Bucks vs Pelicans Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Milwaukee Bucks, riding high with a solid 24-win record, storm into the Big Easy to face off against the underdog New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center tonight at 9 PM EST. With the Bucks looking to solidify their standing in the Eastern Conference and the Pelicans eager to shake off their season’s struggles, this first-round playoff game promises more fireworks than a Fourth of July celebration. After a series of playoff blowouts, tonight’s matchup, set against a backdrop of high stakes and even higher expectations, could finally deliver the nail-biting excitement fans are craving. Both teams are coming off fresh victories, setting the stage for a clash that could redefine the momentum of their seasons. So, as the Bucks aim to gallop past the competition and the Pelicans spread their wings for an upset, tonight’s game is shaping up to be an epic battle of hoof versus feather!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 22, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	NOP ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-240	+200	234.5	-6.0/6.0
Recent	-220	+180	236.5	-5.5/5.5
Difference	+20	-20	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

24W-29L

68.8% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

28W-31L

31.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/28/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	20	28	27	00	100	Under
03/28/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	26	35	24	22	00	107	Under
01/27/24	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	32	31	24	30	00	117	Over
01/27/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	36	39	37	29	00	141	Over
01/29/23	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	19	25	44	22	00	110	Over
01/29/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	25	44	29	00	135	Over
12/19/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	36	34	28	00	128	Over
12/19/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	27	34	29	29	00	119	Over
01/01/22	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	24	32	26	31	00	113	Over
01/01/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	37	32	40	00	136	Over
12/17/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	21	28	26	90	112	Under
12/17/21	New Orleans Pelicans NOP	21	31	25	26	130	116	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Pelicans Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82
01/04	@ POR	102-105L	43	25	11	95
01/02	@ BRO	110-113L	46	21	14	90

Pelicans Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	@ UTA	123-119W	45	28	12	92
01/17	@ UTA	136-123W	56	34	13	100
01/15	@ DAL	119-116W	49	24	10	97
01/14	vs CHI	119-113W	46	32	10	96
01/12	vs BOS	119-120L	42	24	9	86
01/10	vs PHI	123-115W	44	31	12	91
01/08	@ POR	100-119L	41	19	17	90
01/07	@ MIN	97-104L	46	23	14	94
01/03	@ WAS	132-120W	37	36	7	96
01/01	vs MIA	108-119L	31	25	10	80

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	57.0	55.0	58.1	100%	58.5
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	12.0	10.8	10.8	93%	11.2
Damian Lillard PG	42.0	43.4	42.9	100%	43.3
Brook Lopez C	28.0	27.6	27.5	100%	27.9
Taurean Prince SF	14.0	14.3	15.6	80%	16.1

New Orleans Pelicans	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
CJ McCollum SG	33.0	36.2	36.1	100%	36.5
Yves Missi C	21.0	20.1	25.8	100%	24.8
Trey Murphy III SF	39.0	46.4	35.2	93%	36.0
Dejounte Murray PG	41.0	46.0	41.4	100%	41.9
Zion Williamson PF	44.0	45.1	42.9	100%	43.4

Bucks Notable Injuries

Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.8reb, 2.2ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.3
AJ Green (PG/SG): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.6reb, 0.8ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 2.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4

Pelicans Notable Injuries

Herbert Jones (C): Avg: 11.0pts, 3.7reb, 2.8ast, 31.1 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 4.0
Antonio Reeves (SG/SF): Avg: 5.1pts, 1.1reb, 0.7ast, 9.8 minutes. Last game: 01/08/25. Impact: 1.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Zion Williamson	NOP	Pts	21.5	24.1	+2.6	60%	50%	60%	60%	MIL	+1.4	#24
Dejounte Murray	NOP	Pts	18.5	19.9	+1.4	60%	50%	33%	33%	MIL	+1.0	#23
Trey Murphy III	NOP	Reb	5.5	6.2	+0.7	80%	40%	47%	47%	MIL	+1.1	#30
CJ McCollum	NOP	Reb	3.5	3.7	+0.2	80%	50%	53%	53%	MIL	+1.1	#30
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Ast	5.5	6.1	+0.6	40%	50%	40%	40%	NOP	-0.1	#11
Brook Lopez	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.7	+0.2	100%	60%	60%	60%	NOP	-0.2	#13

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#2	#13	#4	#4	-10.0%
PF	#24	#2	#9	#9	-3.2%
PG	#23	#27	#8	#15	0.2%
SF	#6	#5	#9	#5	-9.9%
SG	#20	#30	#20	#20	3.0%

Pelicans Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#15	#30	#13	#22	5.1%
PF	#29	#19	#5	#24	4.3%
PG	#18	#28	#27	#28	7.7%
SF	#24	#11	#11	#18	2.8%
SG	#21	#22	#21	#25	5.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.2

113.6

Rebounds per Game

44.2

42.9

Assists per Game

25.7

26.2

Steals per Game

7.6

10.5

Blocks per Game

5.1

5.8

Shots per Game

86.5

92.3

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.6

13.0

2-Pt Percentage per Game

54.9

52.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

40.0

34.7

Turnovers per Game

13.4

13.5

Fouls per Game

19.0

20.0

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Brandon Boston Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 54.8% to 10.5, 23.2 min average previous 3 games.
Andre Jackson Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.9% to 16.3, 11.8 min average previous 3 games.