Bucks vs Thunder Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 12th 2024

Get ready for a high-octane showdown at the Paycom Center tonight as the Milwaukee Bucks, fresh off a solid victory, charge into Oklahoma City to clash with the Thunder, who are also riding the high waves of a recent dominant win. With the Bucks looking to solidify their top spot in the East and the Thunder just a whisper away from the Western conference lead, the stakes are sky-high. The scoreboard is expected to light up with an over/under of 223.5, hinting at a game filled with thrills and spills. As the clock ticks down to the 8 PM EST tipoff, fans from both camps are buzzing with anticipation. So, brace yourselves, because tonight, it’s not just about the Bucks stopping here or the Thunder rolling — it’s about who can truly electrify the court!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: April 12, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+650	-1100	223.0	10.5/-10.5
Recent	+650	-1100	223.5	15.0/-15.0
Difference	0	0	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

4W-6L

AWAY

17W-19L

13.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

30W-7L

86.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/24/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	25	17	29		93	Under
03/24/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	25	23	34	36		118	Under
11/09/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	28	29	35	710	136	Over
11/09/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	27	28	32	32	76	132	Over
11/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	19	25	16		94	Under
11/05/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	33	26	15		108	Under
03/08/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	39	37	29	37		142	Over
03/08/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	31	28	22		115	Over
11/19/21	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	24	23	21	21		89	Under
11/19/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	24	22	16		96	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/10	@ ORL	117-99W	43	27	12	84
04/09	@ BOS	104-91W	49	29	16	81
04/07	@ NYK	109-122L	38	27	14	75
04/05	@ TOR	111-97W	45	21	13	88
04/03	@ MEM	101-111L	44	26	11	95
04/02	vs WAS	113-117L	57	31	12	103
03/30	vs ATL	122-113W	40	27	10	78
03/28	vs NOP	100-107L	46	21	14	82
03/26	@ LAL	124-128L	61	37	14	119
03/24	@ OKL	118-93W	57	33	16	92

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/10	@ SAS	127-89W	62	33	12	101
04/09	@ SAC	112-105W	42	21	13	82
04/07	vs CHA	121-118W	36	33	16	87
04/05	vs IND	112-126L	39	24	15	88
04/03	vs BOS	100-135L	31	21	13	81
04/02	vs PHI	105-109L	43	30	14	87
03/31	vs NYK	113-112W	43	29	12	82
03/29	@ PHX	128-103W	38	33	10	87
03/27	@ HOU	126-132L	49	26	19	96
03/26	vs NOP	119-112W	45	28	12	86

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Malik Beasley SG	21.9	14.4	20.5	100%	20.4
Patrick Beverley PG	28.3	26.1	17.9	27%	29.0
Brook Lopez C	28.4	29.9	24.7	100%	25.2
Khris Middleton SF	37.8	35.1	33.3	100%	32.5
Bobby Portis PF	38.5	39.4	31.2	3%	54.8

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	21.4	27.6	21.3	100%	21.8
Josh Giddey SG	35.7	37.9	31.0	100%	31.4
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	50.9	40.2	49.5	100%	49.9
Chet Holmgren C	37.2	31.7	34.4	100%	34.6
Jalen Williams PF	39.2	38.6	35.4	100%	35.7

Bucks Notable Injuries

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 30.6pts, 11.6reb, 6.5ast, 35.2 minutes. Last game: 04/09/24. Impact: 9.8
Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.5pts, 4.3reb, 7.1ast, 35.4 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 7.3
Ryan Rollins (PG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.0reb, 1.0ast, 6.1 minutes. Last game: 04/07/24. Impact: 1.1
AJ Green (PG/SG): Avg: 4.6pts, 1.2reb, 0.5ast, 11.2 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.4

Thunder Notable Injuries

Bismack Biyombo (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 5.1reb, 1.3ast, 19.8 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 3.4reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 2.7
Mike Muscala (C): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.4reb, 0.7ast, 11.3 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 0.6
Lindy Waters III (SG): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.1reb, 0.5ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.6
Adam Flagler (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.0reb, 2.0ast, 7.0 minutes. Last game: 04/10/24. Impact: 1.0

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jalen Williams	OKL	Pts	17.5	21.3	+3.8	40%	70%	60%	60%	MIL	+8.3	#27
Chet Holmgren	OKL	Pts	14.5	16.7	+2.2	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	-2.8	#4
Luguentz Dort	OKL	Reb	3.5	3.6	+0.1	40%	40%	33%	33%	MIL	-1.3	#13
Brook Lopez	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.7	+0.2	20%	20%	33%	33%	OKL	+0.8	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#3	#1	#1	-22.6%
PF	#4	#15	#19	#6	-6.2%
PG	#29	#19	#8	#28	28.1%
SF	#27	#13	#24	#22	13.1%
SG	#24	#29	#8	#26	5.9%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#26	#4	#25	#14	0.6%
PF	#20	#22	#7	#18	2.0%
PG	#17	#27	#11	#17	2.0%
SF	#25	#26	#9	#26	18.3%
SG	#13	#17	#26	#18	0.4%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

114.8

116.1

Rebounds per Game

45.2

42.3

Assists per Game

27.9

27.1

Steals per Game

6.3

9.4

Blocks per Game

5.2

6.1

Shots per Game

88.4

88.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.7

12.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.7

56.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.5

36.6

Turnovers per Game

12.9

13.1

Fouls per Game

18.4

18.1

Recent Trends

Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.5% to 25.9, 19.4 min average previous 3 games.
Isaiah Joe (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 33.4% to 17.8, 26.7 min average previous 3 games.