Bucks vs Trail Blazers Game Breakdown

Get ready for some high-octane playoff action as the Milwaukee Bucks charge into the Moda Center tonight to face off against the Portland Trail Blazers in a first-round matchup that promises more sparks than a Fourth of July fireworks show! The Bucks, looking solid after their recent triumph, are all set to lock horns at 11:00 PM EST with a Blazers team eager to shake off their last stumble and ignite their playoff hopes. With the stakes sky-high and the score predictions buzzing, tonight’s clash could very well flip the script on what’s been a series of playoff blowouts. So, as the Bucks aim to plant their hooves firmly in the win column, the Blazers will be stoking the home court flames, hoping to turn the tide and blaze their trail to victory!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 28, 2025 11:00PM EST

Location: Moda Center, Portland

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	POR ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-240	+200	231.0	-6.5/6.5
Recent	-160	+120	229.5	-5.5/5.5
Difference	+80	-80	-1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

9W-1L

AWAY

25W-29L

61.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

4W-6L

HOME

19W-43L

38.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/04/25	Portland Trail Blazers POR	28	26	21	30	105	Under
01/04/25	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	20	25	26	102	Under
01/31/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	27	26	25	116	Over
01/31/24	Portland Trail Blazers POR	37	30	29	23	119	Over
11/26/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	37	20	14	102	Under
11/26/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	26	23	33	108	Under
02/06/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	28	37	32	127	Over
02/06/23	Portland Trail Blazers POR	22	26	23	37	108	Over
11/21/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	32	29	18	32	111	Over
11/21/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	33	30	26	119	Over
02/14/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	31	40	23	28	122	Under
02/14/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	30	24	24	29	107	Under
02/05/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	36	37	30	137	Over
02/05/22	Portland Trail Blazers POR	26	28	21	33	108	Over

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Trail Blazers Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82

Trail Blazers Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/26	@ OKL	108-118L	44	21	15	81
01/24	vs CHA	102-97W	47	17	16	79
01/23	vs ORL	101-79W	42	23	13	82
01/21	vs MIA	116-107W	47	25	6	87
01/19	@ CHI	113-102W	50	21	17	89
01/18	@ HOU	103-125L	40	28	19	86
01/16	@ LAC	89-118L	37	24	16	91
01/14	@ BRO	114-132L	38	20	17	86
01/11	@ MIA	98-119L	51	24	16	95
01/09	vs DAL	111-117L	43	24	12	93

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	63.0	57.1	58.3	100%	58.7
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	16.0	12.1	11.2	100%	11.2
Damian Lillard PG	47.0	51.2	43.9	100%	44.2
Brook Lopez C	29.0	28.4	26.1	100%	26.5
Taurean Prince SF	20.0	16.4	15.2	80%	15.7

Portland Trail Blazers	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Deni Avdija SF	37.0	40.2	32.8	47%	37.7
Deandre Ayton C	33.0	27.6	30.5	100%	30.9
Toumani Camara SG	26.0	29.9	24.8	100%	25.2
Jerami Grant PF	25.0	24.1	25.3	100%	25.7
Anfernee Simons PG	30.0	31.7	30.7	100%	31.1

Bucks Notable Injuries

Khris Middleton (SG/SF): Avg: 15.2pts, 4.8reb, 5.2ast, 27.0 minutes. Last game: 01/27/25. Impact: 4.6
Bobby Portis (PF/C): Avg: 13.7pts, 7.6reb, 1.5ast, 24.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 4.3
Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.8reb, 2.2ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.3
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4

Trail Blazers Notable Injuries

Jabari Walker (C): Avg: 7.0pts, 5.8reb, 0.8ast, 19.7 minutes. Last game: 01/24/25. Impact: 1.6
Duop Reath (C): Avg: 7.5pts, 3.0reb, 0.8ast, 14.9 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
Bryce McGowens (SG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.5reb, 0.8ast, 13.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.6
Rayan Rupert (PG/SF): Avg: 3.4pts, 1.9reb, 1.1ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Justin Minaya (PF): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.4reb, 0.5ast, 9.3 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.9

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Taurean Prince	MIL	Pts	7.5	9.3	+1.8	40%	40%	47%	47%	POR	-0.3	#12
Jerami Grant	POR	Pts	13.5	14.9	+1.4	60%	50%	53%	53%	MIL	+1.9	#26
Andre Jackson Jr.	MIL	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	40%	40%	33%	33%	POR	-0.5	#7
Toumani Camara	POR	Reb	5.5	6.3	+0.8	80%	50%	53%	53%	MIL	-1.4	#3
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Ast	5.5	6.7	+1.2	40%	50%	47%	47%	POR	-0.1	#12
Gary Trent Jr.	MIL	Ast	0.5	1.4	+0.9	100%	80%	67%	67%	POR	+0.4	#22
Brook Lopez	MIL	3Pt	1.5	1.9	+0.4	20%	40%	40%	40%	POR	-0.0	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#12	#2	#4	-10.2%
PF	#26	#3	#6	#10	-2.5%
PG	#12	#28	#11	#15	-1.2%
SF	#6	#3	#10	#4	-11.4%
SG	#20	#28	#24	#22	4.1%

Trail Blazers Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#29	#19	#29	9.4%
PF	#5	#15	#22	#16	0.4%
PG	#11	#4	#8	#6	-4.4%
SF	#12	#8	#12	#9	-2.5%
SG	#29	#7	#22	#26	7.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

116.0

109.4

Rebounds per Game

44.6

42.6

Assists per Game

26.6

24.2

Steals per Game

7.7

7.3

Blocks per Game

4.9

5.2

Shots per Game

87.2

87.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.2

12.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.0

55.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.4

34.9

Turnovers per Game

13.2

14.7

Fouls per Game

18.7

19.2

Recent Trends

Deandre Ayton (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 31.5% to 31.6, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.
Scoot Henderson (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.2% to 22.3, 34.4 min average previous 3 games.
Andre Jackson Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.6% to 20.0, 13.2 min average previous 3 games.
Kris Murray (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 54.7% to 11.1, 24.4 min average previous 3 games.
Matisse Thybulle (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 62.1% to 10.9, 28.8 min average previous 3 games.