Bucks vs Kings Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 12th 2024

Alright, hoop heads, it’s time for some late-night NBA action as the high-flying Milwaukee Bucks, boasting a 42-23 record, are gearing up to stampede into the Golden 1 Center, laying down the gauntlet to the Sacramento Kings, who are sitting pretty at 36-27. As the clock strikes 10:00PM EST, the court’s gonna be hotter than a habanero, with the Bucks looking to tighten their grip on the Eastern conference, and the Kings, just 5 games shy in the West, eager to prove they’re no pushovers. The bookies are rubbing their hands together, setting the over/under at a whopping 236.5, and are favoring the Bucks at -2.5, leaving the Kings at 2.5. Fresh from their royal rumble with the Rockets, where they stumbled 104-112, the Kings are hungry for redemption. Meanwhile, the Bucks, still savoring their 124-117 triumph over the Clippers, are ready to keep the victories rolling. So, buckle up folks, because when it comes to this showdown, it’s not just about ruling the court, it’s about ‘Bucking’ the trend and proving who’s the real ‘King’ of the game!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: March 12, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	SAC ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+120	237.5	-2.5/2.5
Recent	-110	-110	236.5	-1.0/1.0
Difference	+30	-230	-1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

16W-15L

52.4% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

17W-11L

47.6% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/14/24	Sacramento Kings SAC	37	29	25	37	14	142	Over
01/14/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	36	27	33	15	143	Over
03/13/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	26	37	43		133	Over
03/13/23	Sacramento Kings SAC	32	30	25	37		124	Over
12/07/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	29	32	33	19		113	Over
12/07/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	34	34	29	29		126	Over
03/16/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	28	40	33	34		135	Over
03/16/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	31	30	31	34		126	Over
01/22/22	Sacramento Kings SAC	35	19	32	41		127	Over
01/22/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	35	32	39		133	Over

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Kings Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/10	vs LAC	124-117W	41	28	7	88
03/08	vs LAL	122-123L	43	28	6	94
03/06	vs GSW	90-125L	36	19	15	89
03/04	@ LAC	113-106W	46	20	11	78
03/01	vs CHI	113-97W	49	22	7	86
02/29	vs CHA	111-99W	44	21	7	86
02/27	@ CHA	123-85W	51	29	9	90
02/25	vs PHI	119-98W	47	32	18	81
02/23	vs MIN	112-107W	47	24	10	87
02/15	vs MEM	110-113L	44	24	13	90

Kings Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
03/10	@ HOU	104-112L	44	24	12	89
03/07	@ SAS	131-129W	46	31	13	103
03/06	vs LAL	130-122W	46	32	13	97
03/04	@ CHI	109-113L	51	29	17	94
03/01	vs MIN	124-120W	45	29	7	100
02/28	vs DEN	96-119L	43	28	14	96
02/26	@ MIA	110-121L	41	30	15	85
02/25	vs LAC	123-107W	41	29	10	91
02/22	@ SAS	127-122W	42	29	10	94
02/14	vs DEN	102-98W	48	21	14	90

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	63.6	59.7	57.7	93%	58.4
Malik Beasley SG	22.4	19.8	20.6	93%	20.8
Jae Crowder SF	18.5	11.8	14.6	57%	15.1
Damian Lillard PG	52.2	47.3	41.6	93%	42.1
Brook Lopez C	25.4	19.5	27.5	93%	27.4

Sacramento Kings	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes SF	18.6	14.8	19.4	93%	19.6
De’Aaron Fox PG	46.7	47.0	41.6	93%	41.9
Kevin Huerter SG	21.5	16.2	21.9	83%	21.5
Keegan Murray PF	27.3	23.1	26.4	93%	27.9
Domantas Sabonis C	59.7	60.1	53.9	93%	53.7

Bucks Notable Injuries

Marjon Beauchamp (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.1reb, 0.7ast, 13.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.7
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.1pts, 1.0reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 02/27/24. Impact: 0.4
Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.3reb, 0.5ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 03/06/24. Impact: 0.4

Kings Notable Injuries

Chris Duarte (SG/SF): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.9reb, 0.8ast, 13.0 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 1.8
Mason Jones (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 2.0reb, 2.0ast, 6.5 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 1.6
Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 02/28/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Damian Lillard	MIL	Pts	25.5	29.1	+3.6	60%	30%	33%	33%	SAC	-0.2	#15
Domantas Sabonis	SAC	Pts	19.5	22.6	+3.1	60%	50%	53%	53%	MIL	-1.9	#8
Jae Crowder	MIL	Reb	3.5	4.3	+0.8	20%	50%	47%	47%	SAC	-0.7	#9
Malik Beasley	MIL	Reb	3.5	4.0	+0.5	80%	50%	53%	53%	SAC	-1.1	#1

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#18	#15	#6	-10.3%
PF	#12	#10	#24	#19	1.4%
PG	#4	#5	#2	#1	-23.9%
SF	#10	#7	#16	#9	-7.9%
SG	#27	#28	#30	#29	10.3%

Kings Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#9	#5	#24	#14	-3.7%
PF	#29	#9	#23	#25	6.9%
PG	#25	#2	#27	#15	1.9%
SF	#20	#9	#11	#17	1.5%
SG	#15	#1	#24	#14	-3.1%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

112.2

116.2

Rebounds per Game

44.8

Assists per Game

25.1

28.4

Steals per Game

7.4

7.8

Blocks per Game

4.6

Shots per Game

86.3

93.9

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.8

11.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.2

57.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

33.9

Turnovers per Game

11.1

13.0

Fouls per Game

16.6

19.8

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
Patrick Beverley (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.6% to 16.4, 25.5 min average previous 3 games.