Bucks vs Spurs Game Breakdown

Get ready to buckle up for a thrilling NBA Playoff showdown as the Milwaukee Bucks charge into the AT&T Center to lock horns with the San Antonio Spurs tonight! With both teams coming off recent losses and hungry for redemption, this first-round playoff game is set to light up the scoreboard. The Bucks, boasting a solid season, are looking to stampede past the Spurs, who’ve had their share of ups and downs. With the tipoff at 09:00 PM EST and the betting lines buzzing, fans are in for a high-stakes basketball bonanza. Will the Bucks’ prowess prove too much, or will the Spurs sharpen their horns and defend their turf? Tune in as we find out if the Bucks can truly “buck” the odds or if the Spurs will spin a web too intricate to escape!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 31, 2025 09:00PM EST

Location: AT&T Center, San Antonio

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	SAS ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-150	+130	233.0	-3.0/3.0
Recent	-140	+120	234.5	-2.5/2.5
Difference	+10	-10	+1.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

25W-30L

58.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

22W-38L

41.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/08/25	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	19	32	27	105	Under
01/08/25	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	34	26	30	121	Under
01/04/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	38	26	29	32	125	Over
01/04/24	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	28	34	28	121	Over
12/19/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	26	33	26	34	119	Over
12/19/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	44	28	35	25	132	Over
03/22/23	San Antonio Spurs SAS	28	23	21	22	94	Under
03/22/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	33	33	34	30	130	Under
11/11/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	19	30	17	93	Under
11/11/22	San Antonio Spurs SAS	31	23	29	28	111	Under
10/30/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	27	18	24	33	102	Under
10/30/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	24	23	20	26	93	Under
10/23/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	32	24	29	36	121	Under
10/23/21	San Antonio Spurs SAS	32	20	29	30	111	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Spurs Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/28	vs POR	112-125L	36	26	11	87
01/27	vs UTA	125-110W	46	33	12	86
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92

Spurs Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/29	@ LAC	116-128L	30	27	9	87
01/23	vs IND	140-110W	57	43	19	96
01/19	vs MIA	107-128L	44	28	14	91
01/17	@ MEM	112-140L	40	29	17	84
01/15	@ MEM	115-129L	44	22	11	89
01/13	vs LAL	126-102W	41	30	10	90
01/08	vs MIL	105-121L	46	24	9	95
01/06	vs CHI	110-114L	49	31	17	95
01/04	@ DEN	111-122L	58	28	12	104
01/03	vs DEN	113-110W	56	31	13	99

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	62.0	60.1	58.7	100%	59.1
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	14.0	16.2	11.7	100%	12.1
Damian Lillard PG	47.0	48.4	44.5	100%	44.8
Brook Lopez C	27.0	26.9	26.4	100%	26.8
Taurean Prince SF	15.0	16.4	14.2	80%	14.5

San Antonio Spurs	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Harrison Barnes PF	21.0	28.4	22.0	100%	22.4
Stephon Castle SG	28.0	24.8	22.6	70%	26.1
Chris Paul PG	31.0	23.1	30.0	100%	30.3
Devin Vassell SF	32.0	35.4	30.6	67%	33.4
Victor Wembanyama C	61.0	52.5	56.0	100%	56.2

Bucks Notable Injuries

Bobby Portis (PF/C): Avg: 13.7pts, 7.6reb, 1.5ast, 24.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 4.3
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4

Spurs Notable Injuries

Malaki Branham (PG/SG): Avg: 8.2pts, 1.8reb, 1.8ast, 18.3 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Blake Wesley (PG/SG): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.3reb, 2.5ast, 12.8 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 1.2
Sidy Cissoko (SG/SF): Avg: 2.5pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 6.0 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Victor Wembanyama	SAS	Pts	24.5	26.2	+1.7	20%	20%	40%	40%	MIL	-2.9	#3
Chris Paul	SAS	Pts	8.5	10.0	+1.5	20%	40%	33%	33%	MIL	-0.2	#13
Damian Lillard	MIL	Reb	4.5	4.6	+0.1	60%	60%	53%	53%	SAS	-0.0	#19
Giannis Antetokounmpo	MIL	Ast	5.5	6.6	+1.1	40%	40%	40%	40%	SAS	-0.5	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#15	#2	#5	-8.6%
PF	#24	#6	#10	#12	-2.2%
PG	#13	#28	#13	#16	-0.7%
SF	#8	#4	#9	#6	-7.2%
SG	#18	#28	#26	#19	2.4%

Spurs Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#30	#14	#14	#28	9.1%
PF	#12	#20	#14	#16	0.6%
PG	#1	#19	#28	#4	-5.1%
SF	#15	#27	#8	#17	1.0%
SG	#22	#30	#27	#29	8.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.5

113.9

Rebounds per Game

44.5

46.6

Assists per Game

26.4

29.6

Steals per Game

7.8

7.7

Blocks per Game

4.8

7.0

Shots per Game

87.2

92.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.0

13.3

2-Pt Percentage per Game

56.4

55.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.8

33.8

Turnovers per Game

13.2

13.1

Fouls per Game

18.8

16.3

Recent Trends

Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
David Duke Jr. (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.7% to 11.5, 16.9 min average previous 3 games.
Andre Jackson Jr. (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 35.6% to 22.1, 16.3 min average previous 3 games.