Bucks vs Jazz Game Breakdown

Get ready for a clash of contrasts as the high-flying Milwaukee Bucks stampede into the Delta Center to face the struggling Utah Jazz in what promises to be a pivotal first-round NBA Playoff showdown tonight at 10:00PM EST. While the Bucks are looking to solidify their standing in the Eastern conference, the Jazz are aiming to shake off a recent stumble and pull off a major upset. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under teetering at a tantalizing 236.5, tonight’s game is set to be anything but predictable. As the Bucks aim to gallop past the competition, and the Jazz look to hit the right note, it’s clear this matchup could turn into a real ‘hoops symphony’!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 27, 2025 10:00PM EST

Location: Delta Center, Utah

Vegas Odds

	MIL ML	UTA ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-400	+300	234.5	-8.5/8.5
Recent	-260	+215	236.5	-9.0/9.0
Difference	+140	-85	+2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

8W-2L

AWAY

24W-29L

72.2% Win Probability

LAST 10

2W-8L

HOME

24W-35L

27.8% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
11/07/24	Utah Jazz UTA	29	32	16	23	100	Under
11/07/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	31	26	31	35	123	Under
02/04/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	26	37	32	13	108	Under
02/04/24	Utah Jazz UTA	32	21	30	40	123	Under
01/08/24	Utah Jazz UTA	41	36	23	32	132	Over
01/08/24	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	23	23	44	26	116	Over
03/24/23	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	40	32	43	29	144	Over
03/24/23	Utah Jazz UTA	25	33	27	31	116	Over
12/17/22	Utah Jazz UTA	22	25	36	14	97	Under
12/17/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	27	29	36	31	123	Under
03/14/22	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	37	31	21	28	117	Under
03/14/22	Utah Jazz UTA	39	20	34	18	111	Under
10/31/21	Utah Jazz UTA	30	27	27	23	107	Under
10/31/21	Milwaukee Bucks MIL	23	25	21	26	95	Under

Bucks Vs Over/Under

Jazz Vs Over/Under

Bucks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/23	@ MIA	125-96W	55	32	6	98
01/19	@ PHI	123-109W	48	31	6	87
01/17	@ TOR	130-112W	44	25	13	81
01/15	@ ORL	122-93W	49	24	21	72
01/14	@ SAC	130-115W	52	32	7	99
01/12	vs NYK	106-140L	39	22	14	94
01/10	vs ORL	109-106W	43	18	11	83
01/08	@ SAS	121-105W	57	26	10	92
01/06	vs TOR	128-104W	46	37	21	82
01/04	@ POR	102-105L	43	25	11	95

Jazz Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/22	vs OKL	114-123L	52	25	27	90
01/20	vs NOP	119-123L	63	25	12	106
01/17	vs NOP	123-136L	40	30	15	86
01/15	@ CHA	112-117L	36	30	10	93
01/12	@ BRO	112-111W	41	25	9	90
01/11	vs PHX	106-114L	50	26	13	96
01/09	@ MIA	92-97L	49	20	16	83
01/07	@ ATL	121-124L	47	25	15	96
01/04	vs MIA	136-100W	57	31	14	100
01/01	vs NYK	103-119L	45	23	16	96

Starting Lineups

Milwaukee Bucks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
G. Antetokounmpo PF	59.0	56.7	57.8	100%	58.2
Andre Jackson Jr. SG	13.0	11.4	11.0	93%	11.4
Damian Lillard PG	46.0	49.2	44.0	100%	44.3
Brook Lopez C	29.0	30.0	27.1	100%	27.5
Taurean Prince SF	15.0	15.1	15.4	80%	15.9

Utah Jazz	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Isaiah Collier PG	17.0	32.4	16.8	27%	29.0
John Collins PF	31.0	38.4	35.3	77%	37.9
Walker Kessler C	33.0	34.7	30.7	100%	31.1
Lauri Markkanen SF	33.0	35.0	33.0	100%	33.4
Collin Sexton SG	32.0	34.3	30.1	100%	29.6

Bucks Notable Injuries

Bobby Portis (PF/C): Avg: 13.7pts, 7.6reb, 1.5ast, 24.7 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 4.3
Delon Wright (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.8reb, 2.2ast, 16.1 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.3
Stanley Umude (SG): Avg: 3.5pts, 1.6reb, 0.3ast, 9.2 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.4
Tyler Smith (PF): Avg: 2.4pts, 0.9reb, 0.1ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.8
Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.0pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 3.9 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.4
AJ Johnson (SG): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.5reb, 0.5ast, 2.4 minutes. Last game: 01/23/25. Impact: 0.5
Liam Robbins (C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.8reb, 0.2ast, 4.4 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.4

Jazz Notable Injuries

Cody Williams (SF): Avg: 3.6pts, 2.1reb, 1.3ast, 20.6 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.9
Patty Mills (PG): Avg: 4.5pts, 1.1reb, 1.0ast, 14.0 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 1.9
Oscar Tshiebwe (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 2.7reb, 0.2ast, 7.2 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 1.7
Micah Potter (PF/C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.6reb, 0.5ast, 12.9 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 1.2

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Walker Kessler	UTA	Pts	10.5	10.9	+0.4	80%	80%	60%	60%	MIL	-2.9	#3
Lauri Markkanen	UTA	Reb	5.5	6.4	+0.9	20%	40%	53%	53%	MIL	-1.7	#3
Brook Lopez	MIL	Ast	1.5	1.8	+0.3	80%	60%	60%	60%	UTA	-0.5	#10
Collin Sexton	UTA	Ast	4.5	4.7	+0.2	80%	60%	60%	60%	MIL	-0.5	#8

View All Player Prop Projections

Bucks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#3	#11	#2	#4	-9.4%
PF	#28	#3	#12	#13	-0.6%
PG	#12	#28	#8	#10	-2.2%
SF	#6	#3	#11	#4	-12.5%
SG	#19	#28	#21	#21	4.2%

Jazz Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#22	#17	#10	#21	5.8%
PF	#2	#14	#9	#9	-4.7%
PG	#30	#14	#30	#30	12.3%
SF	#29	#8	#24	#28	8.5%
SG	#18	#19	#18	#19	2.6%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

115.6

113.8

Rebounds per Game

44.5

46.9

Assists per Game

26.3

25.8

Steals per Game

7.8

6.5

Blocks per Game

4.9

5.6

Shots per Game

87.3

88.7

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.3

14.7

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.1

54.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

39.5

36.5

Turnovers per Game

13.2

16.6

Fouls per Game

18.7

19.0

Recent Trends

Pat Connaughton (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 40.6% to 15.1, 10.7 min average previous 3 games.
Svi Mykhailiuk (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 39.6% to 23.8, 17.0 min average previous 3 games.
Micah Potter (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 81.0% to 20.0, 11.1 min average previous 3 games.