Bucks vs Wizards Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Apr 2nd 2024

Bucks
47W-27L

April 02, 2024
07:00PM EST
Odds: 227.5 o/u
Wizards
14W-61L


Alright, hoop-heads, grab your foam fingers and clear your evening schedules because we’ve got a sizzling showdown on our hands tonight. The high-flying Milwaukee Bucks, with a record that’s hotter than a jalapeño popper at 47-27, are storming into the Capital One Arena, ready to rumble with our underdog home team, the Washington Wizards. Now, the Wizards may be on a bit of a cold streak with a 14-61 record, but hey, even a broken clock is right twice a day, right? The Bucks are just a hare’s breath away from the top spot in the Eastern conference, while the Wizards are… well, let’s just say they’ve got some magic to do to catch up. We’ve got an over/under of 227.5 tonight, and the Bucks are favored by 13 points. But remember, the Wizards are fresh off a tussle with Miami and the Bucks just bested Atlanta, so anything can happen when that ball hits the hardwood. So, whether you’re a Buck or you’re looking for some Wizardry, it’s time to ‘buck-le’ up and ‘spell’-bind yourself to your screens, ’cause this one’s gonna be a slam dunk!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 02, 2024 07:00PM EST
Location: Capital One Arena, Washington
Vegas Odds
MIL ML | WAS ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -950 | +600 | 227.5 | -13.0/13.0 |
Recent | -400 | +300 | 227.5 | -13.0/13.0 |
Difference | +550 | -300 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

80.0% Win Probability

20.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11/24/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 35 | 26 | 28 | 39 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 26 | 32 | 39 | 131 | ||||
11/20/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 31 | 39 | 34 | 38 | 142 | Over | ||
Washington Wizards WAS | 27 | 38 | 37 | 27 | 129 | ||||
04/04/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 43 | 39 | 26 | 140 | Over | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 29 | 33 | 35 | 31 | 128 | ||||
03/05/23 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 34 | 25 | 24 | 34 | 117 | Over | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 28 | 20 | 32 | 31 | 111 | ||||
01/03/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 28 | 21 | 36 | 28 | 113 | Over | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 29 | 29 | 33 | 123 | ||||
01/01/23 | Washington Wizards WAS | 34 | 34 | 20 | 30 | 118 | Under | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 17 | 33 | 20 | 25 | 95 | ||||
03/24/22 | Washington Wizards WAS | 13 | 29 | 24 | 36 | 102 | Under | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 32 | 28 | 32 | 22 | 114 | ||||
02/01/22 | Washington Wizards WAS | 20 | 20 | 33 | 25 | 98 | Under | ![]() |
|
Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 29 | 25 | 34 | 112 | ||||
11/07/21 | Milwaukee Bucks MIL | 24 | 28 | 19 | 23 | 94 | Under | ![]() |
|
Washington Wizards WAS | 26 | 23 | 33 | 19 | 101 |
Bucks Vs Over/Under
Wizards Vs Over/Under
Bucks Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/30 | vs ATL | 122-113W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 78 |
03/28 | vs NOP | 100-107L | 46 | 21 | 14 | 82 |
03/26 | @ LAL | 124-128L | 61 | 37 | 14 | 119 |
03/24 | @ OKL | 118-93W | 57 | 33 | 16 | 92 |
03/21 | @ BRO | 115-108W | 40 | 27 | 10 | 91 |
03/20 | vs BOS | 119-122L | 41 | 20 | 14 | 84 |
03/17 | @ PHX | 140-129W | 35 | 35 | 10 | 94 |
03/14 | @ PHI | 114-105W | 37 | 29 | 14 | 72 |
03/12 | vs SAC | 94-129L | 44 | 23 | 13 | 84 |
03/10 | vs LAC | 124-117W | 41 | 28 | 7 | 88 |
Wizards Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/31 | @ MIA | 107-119L | 42 | 27 | 15 | 88 |
03/29 | @ DET | 87-96L | 47 | 22 | 18 | 89 |
03/27 | @ BRO | 119-122L | 44 | 26 | 13 | 91 |
03/25 | vs CHI | 107-105W | 52 | 32 | 13 | 97 |
03/23 | @ TOR | 112-109W | 55 | 28 | 17 | 92 |
03/21 | @ SAC | 109-102W | 45 | 20 | 19 | 82 |
03/19 | @ HOU | 114-137L | 44 | 24 | 10 | 98 |
03/17 | @ BOS | 104-130L | 40 | 24 | 16 | 89 |
03/16 | vs CHI | 98-127L | 32 | 27 | 15 | 84 |
03/14 | vs HOU | 119-135L | 32 | 29 | 13 | 93 |
Starting Lineups
Milwaukee Bucks | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
66.8 | 62.8 | 57.8 | 100% | 56.5 | |
24.0 | 15.0 | 17.6 | 23% | 28.3 | |
Jae Crowder
SG
|
10.8 | 11.3 | 14.0 | 70% | 14.5 |
28.1 | 22.1 | 26.0 | 100% | 25.4 | |
41.1 | 35.9 | 33.2 | 100% | 32.3 |
Washington Wizards | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Deni Avdija
PF
|
42.9 | 40.8 | 33.2 | 100% | 32.9 |
25.1 | 26.4 | 25.2 | 60% | 28.8 | |
Jared Butler
SG
|
20.9 | 19.6 | 12.6 | 0% | 0 |
29.9 | 28.4 | 23.7 | 47% | 23.8 | |
Jordan Poole
PG
|
42.0 | 40.4 | 31.9 | 57% | 31.4 |
Bucks Notable Injuries
- Damian Lillard (PG): Avg: 24.4pts, 4.3reb, 7.1ast, 35.3 minutes. Last game: 03/28/24. Impact: 7.5
- Chris Livingston (SF): Avg: 1.2pts, 0.9reb, 0.3ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo (PF/C): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 03/24/24. Impact: 0.4
Wizards Notable Injuries
- Kyle Kuzma (PF/C): Avg: 21.8pts, 6.4reb, 4.1ast, 32.0 minutes. Last game: 03/29/24. Impact: 6.1
- Justin Champagnie (SG/SF): Avg: 6.0pts, 2.9reb, 1.2ast, 15.1 minutes. Last game: 03/25/24. Impact: 2.3
- Patrick Baldwin Jr. (PF): Avg: 3.0pts, 2.6reb, 0.6ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.7
- Jules Bernard (SG): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.1reb, 0.9ast, 7.4 minutes. Last game: 03/31/24. Impact: 1.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Malik Beasley | MIL | Pts | 12.5 | 14.8 | +2.3 | 60% | 60% | 47% | 47% | WAS | +2.9 | #29 |
Jordan Poole | WAS | Pts | 21.5 | 23.4 | +1.9 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | MIL | +2.8 | #28 |
Pat Connaughton | MIL | Reb | 2.5 | 3.0 | +0.5 | 40% | 60% | 47% | 47% | WAS | +0.7 | #26 |
Deni Avdija | WAS | Reb | 9.5 | 9.6 | +0.1 | 60% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIL | -0.2 | #16 |
Khris Middleton | MIL | Ast | 6.5 | 6.8 | +0.3 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | WAS | -0.4 | #11 |
Bucks Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #5 | #18 | #5 | -7.2% |
PF | #8 | #15 | #11 | #11 | -3.4% |
PG | #5 | #7 | #1 | #3 | -22.3% |
SF | #25 | #16 | #8 | #25 | 9.7% |
SG | #28 | #29 | #23 | #29 | 10.2% |
Wizards Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #17 | #20 | #4 | #17 | -1.0% |
PF | #14 | #18 | #10 | #20 | 3.6% |
PG | #16 | #19 | #10 | #14 | -1.3% |
SF | #4 | #13 | #11 | #6 | -14.7% |
SG | #29 | #26 | #10 | #28 | 9.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (PF/C) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 2 consecutive games.
- Marvin Bagley III (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.1% to 26.0, 18.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Justin Champagnie (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 57.5% to 13.1, 30.8 min average previous 3 games.
- Bilal Coulibaly (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.2% to 32.2, 20.2 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Gill (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.5% to 17.9, 13.5 min average previous 3 games.
- Isaiah Livers (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 45.2% to 16.2, 29.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Brook Lopez (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.0% to 34.2, 24.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Landry Shamet (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 38.1% to 13.6, 22.0 min average previous 3 games. The Wizards have a 3-game losing streak at home.
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