Timberwolves vs Hawks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown as the Minnesota Timberwolves howl their way into State Farm Arena, ready to claw into the Atlanta Hawks tonight at 08:30 PM EST. Both teams, neck-and-neck with 14 wins each, are hungry to break away from the pack and advance in this first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs. After a series of blowouts across the board, tonight promises a nail-biter with the Timberwolves favored slightly in the betting jungle. As the over/under looms at a lofty 221.5, fans are perched on the edge of their seats after both teams licked their wounds from recent losses. Will the Timberwolves mark their territory, or will the Hawks soar to snatch the victory? Let’s just say, tonight’s game could really be a howling success or a soaring spectacle!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 23, 2024 08:30PM EST

Location: State Farm Arena, Atlanta

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	ATL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-170	+145	221.5	-4.0/4.0
Recent	-170	+145	221.5	-4.0/4.0
Difference	0	0	0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

6W-4L

AWAY

32W-21L

63.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

27W-25L

37.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
04/12/24	Atlanta Hawks ATL	27	20	33	26	106	Under
04/12/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	25	31	24	29	109	Under
10/30/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	42	37	19	15	113	Over
10/30/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	35	25	38	29	127	Over
03/22/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	40	22	35	27	124	Over
03/22/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	39	28	27	31	125	Over
03/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	36	30	30	136	Over
03/13/23	Atlanta Hawks ATL	29	23	33	30	115	Over
01/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	42	31	20	29	122	Over
01/19/22	Atlanta Hawks ATL	26	35	45	28	134	Over
12/06/21	Atlanta Hawks ATL	33	28	35	25	121	Over
12/06/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	24	30	32	110	Over

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Hawks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	@ GSW	103-113L	45	27	15	86
12/19	@ NYK	107-133L	37	29	13	89
12/15	vs SAS	106-92W	51	26	12	100
12/13	@ LAL	97-87W	48	18	13	87
12/08	vs GSW	106-114L	39	22	14	79
12/06	vs GSW	107-90W	48	32	17	88
12/04	vs LAC	108-80W	50	31	14	85
12/02	@ LAL	109-80W	43	31	15	81
11/29	@ LAC	93-92W	49	25	21	75
11/26	@ HOU	111-117L	52	21	17	98

Hawks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/21	@ MEM	112-128L	41	29	25	80
12/19	vs SAS	126-133L	53	32	22	97
12/14	vs MIL	102-110L	44	23	13	82
12/11	vs NYK	108-100W	58	27	10	104
12/08	@ DEN	111-141L	45	26	12	101
12/06	@ LAL	134-132W	48	40	17	100
12/04	vs MIL	119-104W	55	29	11	103
12/02	@ NOP	124-112W	51	30	18	96
11/30	vs CHA	107-104W	49	27	20	78
11/29	@ CLE	117-101W	53	33	18	85

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	24.0	19.2	24.3	100%	24.7
Anthony Edwards SG	44.0	38.7	43.7	100%	44.1
Rudy Gobert C	34.0	27.6	30.5	100%	30.8
Jaden McDaniels SF	26.0	30.1	24.1	100%	24.5
Julius Randle PF	37.0	32.6	37.2	100%	36.5

Atlanta Hawks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Clint Capela C	30.0	24.3	27.0	100%	27.3
Dyson Daniels SG	29.0	31.1	28.7	83%	32.4
Jalen Johnson PF	43.0	43.0	43.1	100%	42.7
Zaccharie Risacher SF	14.0	11.7	19.1	93%	20.3
Trae Young PG	47.0	53.8	43.7	100%	44.0

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 1.1
Terrence Shannon Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.7ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6
PJ Dozier (PF): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.8ast, 4.1 minutes. Last game: 12/15/24. Impact: 0.8

Hawks Notable Injuries

Onyeka Okongwu (C): Avg: 10.4pts, 6.7reb, 1.3ast, 24.9 minutes. Last game: 12/14/24. Impact: 4.0
David Roddy (PF): Avg: 6.2pts, 3.1reb, 1.2ast, 16.9 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.2
Dominick Barlow (C): Avg: 4.3pts, 3.3reb, 1.1ast, 12.3 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.4
Kobe Bufkin (PG): Avg: 4.9pts, 2.0reb, 1.7ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 12/08/24. Impact: 1.8
Keaton Wallace (PG): Avg: 4.6pts, 1.2reb, 2.0ast, 16.4 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.9
Garrison Mathews (SG/SF): Avg: 5.6pts, 1.4reb, 0.7ast, 15.4 minutes. Last game: 12/21/24. Impact: 1.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Naz Reid	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.3	+2.8	20%	30%	40%	40%	ATL	-1.0	#13
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	9.5	12.2	+2.7	40%	30%	40%	40%	ATL	+1.3	#24
Julius Randle	MIN	Reb	6.5	7.3	+0.8	40%	40%	40%	40%	ATL	0.0	#15
Dyson Daniels	ATL	Reb	4.5	5.2	+0.7	60%	60%	67%	67%	MIN	+0.7	#26
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.1	+0.6	60%	40%	47%	47%	ATL	+0.9	#25
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	4.9	+0.4	60%	40%	40%	40%	ATL	-0.1	#16

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#14	#5	#25	#16	0.3%
PF	#9	#16	#13	#10	-2.9%
PG	#15	#26	#15	#17	1.7%
SF	#6	#2	#5	#6	-8.7%
SG	#3	#8	#7	#2	-10.4%

Hawks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#27	#7	#15	#24	4.2%
PF	#13	#15	#29	#22	4.2%
PG	#18	#20	#25	#24	3.2%
SF	#29	#23	#20	#30	13.1%
SG	#24	#12	#16	#20	3.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

110.0

116.4

Rebounds per Game

43.3

46.4

Assists per Game

25.7

29.8

Steals per Game

9.0

10.1

Blocks per Game

4.6

5.2

Shots per Game

86.6

93.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.0

12.4

2-Pt Percentage per Game

53.1

53.5

3-Pt Percentage per Game

37.4

34.4

Turnovers per Game

15.1

15.7

Fouls per Game

18.4

19.3

Recent Trends

Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Larry Nance Jr. (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 55.4% to 26.6, 17.1 min average previous 3 games.