Timberwolves vs Mavericks Game Breakdown

Get ready for a sizzling showdown at the American Airlines Center tonight as the Minnesota Timberwolves, fresh off a nail-biter, duke it out with the Dallas Mavericks, who are itching to bounce back from their recent stumble. With the Timberwolves slightly edging the Mavericks in the standings, both teams are desperate to claw their way up the Western conference ladder in this first-round 2024 NBA Playoff clash. The stakes are as high as the over/under tonight, folks! Tip-off is at 8:30 PM EST, and with both teams hungry for a win after their latest performances, expect a battle that’s anything but predictable. So, get ready as the Timberwolves look to howl in victory while the Mavericks aim to corral them into submission!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 22, 2025 08:30PM EST

Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	DAL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	-140	+120	216.5	-2.5/2.5
Recent	-150	+130	216.0	-3.0/3.0
Difference	-10	+10	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

38W-24L

60.0% Win Probability

LAST 10

3W-7L

HOME

35W-24L

40.0% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
12/25/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	31	33	15	105	Under
12/25/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	24	16	28	31	99	Under
10/29/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	35	32	27	120	Over
10/29/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	25	23	32	114	Over
01/31/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	21	27	22	17	87	Under
01/31/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	28	31	38	121	Under
01/07/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	27	26	26	108	Over
01/07/24	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	31	24	115	Over
12/28/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	26	30	35	19	110	Over
12/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	37	24	37	20	118	Over
12/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	33	28	32	119	Over
12/14/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	30	22	19	101	Over
02/13/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	32	35	24	124	Over
02/13/23	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	31	28	39	121	Over
12/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	29	22	24	29	104	Under
12/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	21	22	25	99	Under
12/19/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	30	14	30	32	106	Over
12/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	36	37	22	116	Over
03/25/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	22	28	17	28	95	Under
03/25/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	26	35	28	27	116	Under
03/21/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	27	27	108	Over
03/21/22	Dallas Mavericks DAL	23	37	26	24	110	Over
12/21/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	15	28	24	102	Push
12/21/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	34	27	27	26	114	Push
12/19/21	Dallas Mavericks DAL	25	25	38	17	105	Push
12/19/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	30	25	111	Push

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Mavericks Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	vs MEM	106-108L	52	25	16	93
01/18	@ CLE	117-124L	42	27	7	90
01/17	vs NYK	116-99W	46	23	15	79
01/15	@ GSW	115-116L	41	21	9	86
01/13	vs WAS	120-106W	53	20	18	83
01/11	@ MEM	125-127L	41	37	18	83
01/09	vs ORL	104-89W	50	21	8	85
01/07	vs NOP	104-97W	53	26	16	89
01/06	@ LAC	108-106W	55	24	14	92
01/04	vs DET	105-119L	33	20	17	80

Mavericks Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/20	vs CHA	105-110L	51	19	14	88
01/17	@ OKL	106-98W	43	25	17	75
01/15	vs NOP	116-119L	45	27	15	90
01/14	@ DEN	99-118L	30	27	12	90
01/12	@ DEN	101-112L	37	27	12	85
01/09	@ POR	117-111W	53	26	14	88
01/07	@ LAL	118-97W	44	29	10	86
01/06	vs MEM	104-119L	50	25	15	98
01/03	@ CLE	122-134L	53	29	12	100
01/01	vs HOU	99-110L	38	19	20	75

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	21.0	18.0	19.5	80%	20.6
Anthony Edwards SG	49.0	52.2	43.4	100%	43.8
Rudy Gobert C	33.0	25.9	28.7	100%	29.1
Jaden McDaniels SF	29.0	27.8	25.0	100%	25.3
Julius Randle PF	40.0	34.3	35.0	100%	35.4

Dallas Mavericks	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Spencer Dinwiddie SG	28.0	28.9	23.4	40%	31.7
Kyrie Irving PG	44.0	42.2	40.7	100%	41.0
Dereck Lively II C	29.0	28.9	26.6	77%	27.3
Klay Thompson SF	24.0	21.8	23.7	100%	24.0
PJ Washington PF	35.0	28.9	30.2	100%	30.2

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Donte DiVincenzo (PG): Avg: 14.5pts, 3.7reb, 3.0ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 5.4
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.4
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.1
Jaylen Clark (SG): Avg: 0.0pts, 0.3reb, 0.0ast, 1.9 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.1

Mavericks Notable Injuries

Jaden Hardy (PG/SG): Avg: 7.2pts, 1.6reb, 1.4ast, 13.3 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 3.1
Dwight Powell (C): Avg: 2.4pts, 2.7reb, 1.1ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.9
Brandon Williams (PG): Avg: 2.5pts, 0.6reb, 0.7ast, 5.7 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 0.8
Kessler Edwards (SF/PF): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.7reb, 0.2ast, 4.5 minutes. Last game: 01/20/25. Impact: 0.1

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	10.5	14.2	+3.7	60%	50%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.4	#14
Rob Dillingham	MIN	Pts	7.5	10.0	+2.5	60%	50%	N/A	N/A	DAL	+1.4	#28
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Reb	10.5	11.4	+0.9	40%	50%	40%	40%	DAL	+0.6	#21
Naz Reid	MIN	Reb	5.5	6.3	+0.8	60%	60%	47%	47%	DAL	-0.3	#11
PJ Washington	DAL	Ast	1.5	2.3	+0.8	80%	50%	47%	47%	MIN	-0.8	#4
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.3	+0.8	60%	60%	53%	53%	DAL	-0.3	#9

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#8	#5	#15	#11	-2.9%
PF	#11	#17	#22	#14	-0.9%
PG	#14	#23	#4	#17	0.5%
SF	#4	#6	#4	#2	-13.3%
SG	#4	#24	#2	#8	-6.0%

Mavericks Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#21	#19	#20	4.8%
PF	#14	#11	#23	#13	-0.9%
PG	#28	#10	#17	#25	5.4%
SF	#11	#17	#29	#19	2.9%
SG	#17	#26	#9	#16	-0.7%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.5

113.4

Rebounds per Game

46.2

45.1

Assists per Game

24.7

25.0

Steals per Game

7.2

8.5

Blocks per Game

4.7

6.6

Shots per Game

86.1

87.0

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.2

13.6

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.8

53.0

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.8

37.7

Turnovers per Game

14.2

14.8

Fouls per Game

17.7

Recent Trends

Mike Conley (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.1% to 24.2, 18.1 min average previous 3 games.
Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 44.6% to 16.2, 11.2 min average previous 3 games.
Daniel Gafford (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 91.0% to 28.0, 14.7 min average previous 3 games.