Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
Timberwolves
5W-0L
May 06, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 207.5 o/u
Nuggets
4W-2L
Get ready for an electrifying face-off in the Mile High City tonight as the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves dash into Denver to challenge the Nuggets at the buzzing Ball Arena! With the Timberwolves howling at the top of the Western Conference and the Nuggets digging in not far behind, this 10:00 PM showdown promises more sparks than a Fourth of July fireworks display. Both teams are coming in hot, with Minnesota looking to keep their pristine record intact after narrowly escaping Atlanta, and Denver itching to bounce back from a heartbreaker against San Antonio. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under teasing a score-fest, tonight’s game is where we find out if the Timberwolves can keep running with the pack or if the Nuggets have a golden trick up their sleeve to mine a victory.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 06, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +185 | -225 | 206.5 | 5.5/-5.5 |
| Recent | +165 | -195 | 207.5 | 6.0/-6.0 |
| Difference | -20 | +30 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
37.7% Win Probability
62.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 19 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 99 | |||
| 04/10/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/29/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 17 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 98 | |||
| 03/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 98 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 136 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 91 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
| 04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
| 04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
| 03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
| 03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
| 03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
| 04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
| 03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
27.4 | 29.4 | 27.2 | 100% | 27.6 |
| 47.7 | 57.1 | 45.9 | 100% | 45.4 | |
| 37.9 | 34.1 | 38.0 | 100% | 38.4 | |
| 20.6 | 22.8 | 21.3 | 100% | 21.7 | |
| 37.2 | 34.9 | 37.8 | 100% | 36.9 |
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.5 | 17.9 | 21.3 | 100% | 21.7 | |
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
33.6 | 31.6 | 30.8 | 100% | 31.2 |
| 68.1 | 64.3 | 61.4 | 100% | 61.7 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
44.3 | 37.6 | 39.8 | 100% | 40.2 |
| 35.9 | 40.1 | 32.9 | 100% | 33.3 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.0
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.6
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.2
Nuggets Notable Injuries
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Aaron Gordon | DEN | Pts | 12.5 | 15.1 | +2.6 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -5.3 | #12 |
| Jaden McDaniels | MIN | Pts | 8.5 | 10.7 | +2.2 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | DEN | +28.5 | #29 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 12.5 | 14.1 | +1.6 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -0.7 | #12 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | Reb | 1.5 | 1.8 | +0.3 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | DEN | -1.7 | #3 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #22 | #12 | #24 | #22 | 7.8% |
| PF | #11 | #4 | #10 | #4 | -13.6% |
| PG | #3 | #25 | #11 | #11 | -24.8% |
| SF | #12 | #17 | #7 | #11 | -18.9% |
| SG | #14 | #4 | #7 | #7 | -13.9% |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #24 | #29 | #20 | #23 | 9.5% |
| PF | #14 | #6 | #22 | #10 | -6.2% |
| PG | #13 | #14 | #9 | #12 | -24.8% |
| SF | #29 | #29 | #30 | #29 | 56.4% |
| SG | #3 | #3 | #9 | #2 | -23.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Anthony Edwards (SG/SF) is on a notable streak, exceeding 30 points in 3 consecutive games.
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