Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

Get ready for an electrifying face-off in the Mile High City tonight as the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves dash into Denver to challenge the Nuggets at the buzzing Ball Arena! With the Timberwolves howling at the top of the Western Conference and the Nuggets digging in not far behind, this 10:00 PM showdown promises more sparks than a Fourth of July fireworks display. Both teams are coming in hot, with Minnesota looking to keep their pristine record intact after narrowly escaping Atlanta, and Denver itching to bounce back from a heartbreaker against San Antonio. With the stakes sky-high and the over/under teasing a score-fest, tonight’s game is where we find out if the Timberwolves can keep running with the pack or if the Nuggets have a golden trick up their sleeve to mine a victory.

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 06, 2024 10:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	DEN ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+185	-225	206.5	5.5/-5.5
Recent	+165	-195	207.5	6.0/-6.0
Difference	-20	+30	+1.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

25W-15L

37.7% Win Probability

LAST 10

6W-4L

HOME

33W-8L

62.3% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
05/04/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	17	33	33	106	Under
05/04/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	25	19	27	28	99	Under
04/10/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	24	28	27	107	Over
04/10/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	23	34	33	116	Over
03/29/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	29	25	24	111	Over
03/29/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	26	17	21	34	98	Over
03/19/24	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	35	17	28	115	Over
03/19/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	27	29	28	112	Over
11/01/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	21	23	28	17	89	Under
11/01/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	35	26	21	110	Under
02/07/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	19	29	27	37	112	Over
02/07/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	49	30	31	36	146	Over
02/05/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	21	22	28	27	98	Over
02/05/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	31	31	34	128	Over
01/18/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	33	35	23	118	Over
01/18/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	30	25	33	34	122	Over
01/02/23	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	30	32	26	111	Over
01/02/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	23	36	31	34	124	Over
04/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	30	28	38	136	Over
04/01/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	35	30	29	36	130	Over
02/01/22	Denver Nuggets DEN	28	23	27	37	115	Over
02/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	39	31	30	130	Over
12/15/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	35	33	16	124	Over
12/15/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	32	29	27	19	107	Over
10/30/21	Denver Nuggets DEN	23	20	26	24	93	Under
10/30/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	15	26	18	91	Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	@ ATL	109-106W	44	29	14	79
04/10	vs DEN	107-116L	35	23	9	82
04/09	@ WAS	130-121W	44	30	8	90
04/07	vs LAL	127-117W	46	29	14	97
04/05	vs PHX	87-97L	44	23	18	85
04/03	@ TOR	133-85W	50	37	9	96
04/02	@ HOU	113-106W	39	29	17	77
03/31	@ CHI	101-109L	37	28	13	81
03/29	vs DEN	111-98W	39	28	7	75
03/27	@ DET	106-91W	40	28	12	82

Nuggets Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
04/12	vs SAS	120-121L	33	31	7	97
04/10	@ MIN	116-107W	44	31	13	83
04/09	vs UTA	111-95W	43	30	9	94
04/06	@ ATL	142-110W	47	38	15	88
04/04	vs LAC	100-102L	51	27	13	83
04/02	@ SAS	110-105W	52	28	8	98
03/31	@ CLE	130-101W	51	36	16	87
03/29	@ MIN	98-111L	46	29	12	88
03/27	@ PHX	97-104L	38	24	8	88
03/25	@ MEM	128-103W	50	38	15	90

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	27.4	29.4	27.2	100%	27.6
Anthony Edwards SG	47.7	57.1	45.9	100%	45.4
Rudy Gobert C	37.9	34.1	38.0	100%	38.4
Jaden McDaniels SF	20.6	22.8	21.3	100%	21.7
Karl-Anthony Towns PF	37.2	34.9	37.8	100%	36.9

Denver Nuggets	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG	21.5	17.9	21.3	100%	21.7
Aaron Gordon PF	33.6	31.6	30.8	100%	31.2
Nikola Jokic C	68.1	64.3	61.4	100%	61.7
Jamal Murray PG	44.3	37.6	39.8	100%	40.2
Michael Porter Jr. SF	35.9	40.1	32.9	100%	33.3

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.0
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.6pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.9
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.7pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.6
Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.5
Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 04/26/24. Impact: 0.2

Nuggets Notable Injuries

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Aaron Gordon	DEN	Pts	12.5	15.1	+2.6	40%	50%	53%	53%	MIN	-5.3	#12
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	8.5	10.7	+2.2	60%	70%	60%	60%	DEN	+28.5	#29
Nikola Jokic	DEN	Reb	12.5	14.1	+1.6	80%	60%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.7	#12
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	MIN	Reb	1.5	1.8	+0.3	80%	70%	60%	60%	DEN	-1.7	#3