Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
Timberwolves
6W-2L
May 14, 2024
10:30PM EST
Odds: 206.5 o/u
Nuggets
6W-3L
Get ready to howl and dig in as the Minnesota Timberwolves, fresh off a narrow victory, pack their alpha energy and head to the Mile High City to clash with the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena tonight at 10:30 PM EST. It’s a nail-biter in the making as both teams have been tearing up the court this season, with the Timberwolves and Nuggets barely a whisker apart in the Western Conference standings. With the stakes sky-high and the betting lines buzzing, tonight’s matchup promises to be more than just another playoff game. After a series of first-round blowouts, we’re due for some edge-of-your-seat action. As the Nuggets look to bounce back from a heartbreaker and the Timberwolves aim to keep their momentum, tonight’s game is set to be a showdown where only the fiercest will claim the gold rush.
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 14, 2024 10:30PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +130 | -150 | 205.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Recent | +110 | -145 | 206.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Difference | -20 | +5 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
47.6% Win Probability
52.4% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 28 | 37 | 24 | 00 | 117 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 90 | |||
| 05/12/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 35 | 26 | 25 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 05/06/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 20 | 15 | 25 | 20 | 00 | 80 | |||
| 05/04/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 19 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 99 | |||
| 04/10/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/29/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 17 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 98 | |||
| 03/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 00 | 112 | |||
| 11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 00 | 89 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
| 02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
| 02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 98 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 128 | |||
| 01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 122 | |||
| 01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 124 | |||
| 04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 136 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 130 | |||
| 12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 91 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
| 04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
| 04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
| 03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
| 03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
| 03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Nuggets Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
| 04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
| 04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
| 04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
| 04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
| 03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
| 03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
| 03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
| 03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
30.5 | 29.6 | 27.8 | 100% | 28.3 |
| 51.2 | 54.9 | 45.6 | 100% | 45.1 | |
| 36.6 | 27.3 | 37.0 | 100% | 37.3 | |
| 21.7 | 18.6 | 21.3 | 100% | 21.7 | |
| 42.2 | 37.4 | 37.7 | 100% | 36.8 |
| Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.5 | 16.6 | 20.3 | 100% | 20.7 | |
|
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
34.8 | 34.1 | 31.2 | 100% | 31.6 |
| 65.8 | 58.9 | 60.1 | 100% | 60.4 | |
|
Jamal Murray
PG
|
44.0 | 37.8 | 39.6 | 100% | 39.9 |
| 36.5 | 27.7 | 31.5 | 100% | 31.9 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.7pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.7 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.2
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.6 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.6
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.2pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 1.1
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.2 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.4
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.1pts, 0.5reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Michael Porter Jr. | DEN | Pts | 15.5 | 19.4 | +3.9 | 60% | 70% | 60% | 60% | MIN | +0.3 | #19 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Pts | 19.5 | 22.6 | +3.1 | 60% | 30% | 33% | 33% | DEN | +1.1 | #21 |
| Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 12.5 | 13.6 | +1.1 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | -0.1 | #15 |
| Christian Braun | DEN | Reb | 2.5 | 3.3 | +0.8 | 40% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIN | +0.2 | #17 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #20 | #15 | #18 | #21 | 3.7% |
| PF | #3 | #3 | #2 | #3 | -12.9% |
| PG | #1 | #30 | #12 | #8 | -7.2% |
| SF | #19 | #17 | #3 | #13 | -3.6% |
| SG | #3 | #5 | #9 | #2 | -10.0% |
Nuggets Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #26 | #19 | #12 | #20 | 3.2% |
| PF | #8 | #9 | #12 | #5 | -5.6% |
| PG | #3 | #18 | #19 | #2 | -18.1% |
| SF | #21 | #22 | #23 | #22 | 4.5% |
| SG | #4 | #1 | #13 | #3 | -8.7% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 46.1% to 17.8, 12.2 min average previous 3 games.
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