Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Breakdown

thefield
May 19, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves

7W-3L

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 19, 2024

08:00PM EST

Odds: 199.0 o/u

Nuggets

7W-4L

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets

Get ready to dial up the intensity as the NBA playoffs heat up with a sizzling showdown at Ball Arena tonight! The Minnesota Timberwolves, riding high with a recent victory, are set to clash with the Denver Nuggets, who are hungry to bounce back from a nail-biter loss. With both teams neck and neck in the Western conference and the stakes as high as the Rockies, expect every dribble, pass, and shot to be a battle for supremacy. Tipoff is at 8 PM EST, and with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that promises a tightrope of tension, tonight’s game is not just about basketball—it’s about pride. As the Timberwolves look to timber-‘roll’ past the competition, the Nuggets aim to ‘nugget’ out a win that could set the tone for their playoff run!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: May 19, 2024 08:00PM EST

Location: Ball Arena, Denver

Vegas Odds

MIN ML DEN ML Over/Under Line
Open +165 -195 197.0 5.0/-5.0
Recent +145 -170 199.0 4.5/-4.5
Difference -20 +25 +2.0 –

Team Performance

min Team Logo
LAST 10
7W-3L
AWAY
25W-15L

40.8% Win Probability

den Team Logo
LAST 10
6W-4L
HOME
33W-8L

59.2% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT Final O/U ATS
05/10/24 Denver Nuggets DEN 28 28 37 24 00 117 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 20 21 25 24 00 90
05/12/24 Denver Nuggets DEN 29 35 26 25 00 115 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 24 25 30 28 00 107
05/14/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 26 18 30 23 00 97 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 28 22 38 24 00 112
05/16/24 Denver Nuggets DEN 14 26 21 9 00 70 Under
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 31 28 27 29 00 115
05/06/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 33 21 24 00 106 Under
Denver Nuggets DEN 20 15 25 20 00 80
05/04/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 23 17 33 33 00 106 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 25 19 27 28 00 99
04/10/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 24 28 27 00 107 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 26 23 34 33 00 116
03/29/24 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 33 29 25 24 00 111 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 26 17 21 34 00 98
03/19/24 Denver Nuggets DEN 35 35 17 28 00 115 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 27 29 28 00 112
11/01/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 21 23 28 17 00 89 Push
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 28 35 26 21 00 110
02/07/23 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 19 29 27 37 00 112 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 49 30 31 36 00 146
02/05/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 21 22 28 27 00 98 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 32 31 31 34 00 128
01/18/23 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 27 33 35 23 00 118 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 30 25 33 34 00 122
01/02/23 Denver Nuggets DEN 23 30 32 26 00 111 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 23 36 31 34 00 124
04/01/22 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 40 30 28 38 00 136 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 35 30 29 36 00 130
02/01/22 Denver Nuggets DEN 28 23 27 37 00 115 Over
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 30 39 31 30 00 130
12/15/21 Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 40 35 33 16 00 124 Over
Denver Nuggets DEN 32 29 27 19 00 107
10/30/21 Denver Nuggets DEN 23 20 26 24 00 93 Under
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN 32 15 26 18 00 91

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Nuggets Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 @ ATL 109-106W 44 29 14 79
04/10 vs DEN 107-116L 35 23 9 82
04/09 @ WAS 130-121W 44 30 8 90
04/07 vs LAL 127-117W 46 29 14 97
04/05 vs PHX 87-97L 44 23 18 85
04/03 @ TOR 133-85W 50 37 9 96
04/02 @ HOU 113-106W 39 29 17 77
03/31 @ CHI 101-109L 37 28 13 81
03/29 vs DEN 111-98W 39 28 7 75
03/27 @ DET 106-91W 40 28 12 82

Nuggets Recent Games

Date vsOpp Result Reb Ast Tov Shots
04/12 vs SAS 120-121L 33 31 7 97
04/10 @ MIN 116-107W 44 31 13 83
04/09 vs UTA 111-95W 43 30 9 94
04/06 @ ATL 142-110W 47 38 15 88
04/04 vs LAC 100-102L 51 27 13 83
04/02 @ SAS 110-105W 52 28 8 98
03/31 @ CLE 130-101W 51 36 16 87
03/29 @ MIN 98-111L 46 29 12 88
03/27 @ PHX 97-104L 38 24 8 88
03/25 @ MEM 128-103W 50 38 15 90

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves Proj L5 L15 S% S/DFS
Mike Conley PG
29.0 29.9 28.1 100% 28.6
Anthony Edwards SG
53.0 45.0 46.4 100% 45.8
Rudy Gobert C
38.0 30.1 37.1 100% 37.5
Jaden McDaniels SF
20.0 22.3 21.5 100% 21.9
Karl-Anthony Towns PF
44.0 36.7 38.0 100% 37.1
Denver Nuggets Proj L5 L15 S% S/DFS
K. Caldwell-Pope SG
24.0 19.6 20.0 100% 20.4
Aaron Gordon PF
37.0 36.6 31.4 100% 31.8
Nikola Jokic C
70.0 57.0 60.2 100% 60.5
Jamal Murray PG
45.0 32.1 38.6 100% 38.9
Michael Porter Jr. SF
32.0 20.1 30.1 100% 30.5

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

  • T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
  • Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
  • Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.3

Nuggets Notable Injuries

  • DeAndre Jordan (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 4.2reb, 0.7ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.3
  • Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
  • Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
  • Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.5
  • Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.4

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #27 #12 #27 #23 5.6%
PF #3 #4 #2 #4 -12.8%
PG #1 #30 #16 #13 -2.4%
SF #17 #17 #1 #14 -4.3%
SG #2 #5 #6 #2 -11.4%

Nuggets Defense vs

Position Pts Reb Ast Overall vs NBA
C #23 #19 #13 #20 2.8%
PF #8 #12 #14 #7 -4.3%
PG #2 #19 #14 #1 -27.0%
SF #16 #21 #27 #21 4.9%
SG #6 #1 #14 #3 -7.6%
Team Logo

Team Comparison

Team Logo
Points per Game
111.2
116.3
Rebounds per Game
43.4
44.8
Assists per Game
27.2
31.1
Steals per Game
8.7
7.9
Blocks per Game
6.5
6.1
Shots per Game
87.2
89.3
3-Pointers Made per Game
13.0
12.1
2-Pt Percentage per Game
53.5
57.2
3-Pt Percentage per Game
37.7
38.8
Turnovers per Game
11.6
11.7
Fouls per Game
17.4
17.7

Recent Trends

  • Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.8% to 11.1, 17.3 min average previous 3 games.
  • Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.0% to 24.0, 15.7 min average previous 3 games.
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