Timberwolves vs Nuggets Game Breakdown
Timberwolves
7W-3L
May 19, 2024
08:00PM EST
Odds: 199.0 o/u
Nuggets
7W-4L
Get ready to dial up the intensity as the NBA playoffs heat up with a sizzling showdown at Ball Arena tonight! The Minnesota Timberwolves, riding high with a recent victory, are set to clash with the Denver Nuggets, who are hungry to bounce back from a nail-biter loss. With both teams neck and neck in the Western conference and the stakes as high as the Rockies, expect every dribble, pass, and shot to be a battle for supremacy. Tipoff is at 8 PM EST, and with the betting lines buzzing and an over/under that promises a tightrope of tension, tonight’s game is not just about basketball—it’s about pride. As the Timberwolves look to timber-‘roll’ past the competition, the Nuggets aim to ‘nugget’ out a win that could set the tone for their playoff run!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: May 19, 2024 08:00PM EST
Location: Ball Arena, Denver
Vegas Odds
MIN ML | DEN ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +165 | -195 | 197.0 | 5.0/-5.0 |
Recent | +145 | -170 | 199.0 | 4.5/-4.5 |
Difference | -20 | +25 | +2.0 | – |
Team Performance
40.8% Win Probability
59.2% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05/10/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 28 | 37 | 24 | 00 | 117 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 21 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 90 | |||
05/12/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 29 | 35 | 26 | 25 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 00 | 107 | |||
05/14/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 18 | 30 | 23 | 00 | 97 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 22 | 38 | 24 | 00 | 112 | |||
05/16/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 14 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 00 | 70 | Under | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 00 | 115 | |||
05/06/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 33 | 21 | 24 | 00 | 106 | Under | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 20 | 15 | 25 | 20 | 00 | 80 | |||
05/04/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 17 | 33 | 33 | 00 | 106 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 25 | 19 | 27 | 28 | 00 | 99 | |||
04/10/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 24 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 23 | 34 | 33 | 00 | 116 | |||
03/29/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 29 | 25 | 24 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 26 | 17 | 21 | 34 | 00 | 98 | |||
03/19/24 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 35 | 17 | 28 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 00 | 112 | |||
11/01/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 23 | 28 | 17 | 00 | 89 | Push | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 35 | 26 | 21 | 00 | 110 | |||
02/07/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 19 | 29 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 112 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 49 | 30 | 31 | 36 | 00 | 146 | |||
02/05/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 21 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 98 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 31 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 128 | |||
01/18/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 33 | 35 | 23 | 00 | 118 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 30 | 25 | 33 | 34 | 00 | 122 | |||
01/02/23 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 00 | 111 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 36 | 31 | 34 | 00 | 124 | |||
04/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 30 | 28 | 38 | 00 | 136 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 35 | 30 | 29 | 36 | 00 | 130 | |||
02/01/22 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 28 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 39 | 31 | 30 | 00 | 130 | |||
12/15/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 40 | 35 | 33 | 16 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
Denver Nuggets DEN | 32 | 29 | 27 | 19 | 00 | 107 | |||
10/30/21 | Denver Nuggets DEN | 23 | 20 | 26 | 24 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 15 | 26 | 18 | 00 | 91 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Nuggets Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Nuggets Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04/12 | vs SAS | 120-121L | 33 | 31 | 7 | 97 |
04/10 | @ MIN | 116-107W | 44 | 31 | 13 | 83 |
04/09 | vs UTA | 111-95W | 43 | 30 | 9 | 94 |
04/06 | @ ATL | 142-110W | 47 | 38 | 15 | 88 |
04/04 | vs LAC | 100-102L | 51 | 27 | 13 | 83 |
04/02 | @ SAS | 110-105W | 52 | 28 | 8 | 98 |
03/31 | @ CLE | 130-101W | 51 | 36 | 16 | 87 |
03/29 | @ MIN | 98-111L | 46 | 29 | 12 | 88 |
03/27 | @ PHX | 97-104L | 38 | 24 | 8 | 88 |
03/25 | @ MEM | 128-103W | 50 | 38 | 15 | 90 |
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
29.0 | 29.9 | 28.1 | 100% | 28.6 |
53.0 | 45.0 | 46.4 | 100% | 45.8 | |
38.0 | 30.1 | 37.1 | 100% | 37.5 | |
20.0 | 22.3 | 21.5 | 100% | 21.9 | |
44.0 | 36.7 | 38.0 | 100% | 37.1 |
Denver Nuggets | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24.0 | 19.6 | 20.0 | 100% | 20.4 | |
Aaron Gordon
PF
|
37.0 | 36.6 | 31.4 | 100% | 31.8 |
70.0 | 57.0 | 60.2 | 100% | 60.5 | |
Jamal Murray
PG
|
45.0 | 32.1 | 38.6 | 100% | 38.9 |
32.0 | 20.1 | 30.1 | 100% | 30.5 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 2.9pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 9.7 minutes. Last game: 05/10/24. Impact: 0.9
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.9pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
- Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.9reb, 0.5ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/06/24. Impact: 0.5
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.3ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.3
Nuggets Notable Injuries
- DeAndre Jordan (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 4.2reb, 0.7ast, 10.8 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.3
- Julian Strawther (SG/SF): Avg: 4.3pts, 1.2reb, 0.9ast, 10.5 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.6
- Zeke Nnaji (C): Avg: 3.1pts, 2.1reb, 0.5ast, 9.5 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 1.0
- Jalen Pickett (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.5reb, 0.8ast, 4.3 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.5
- Hunter Tyson (PF): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.6reb, 0.2ast, 3.0 minutes. Last game: 05/16/24. Impact: 0.4
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Pts | 18.5 | 23.5 | +5.0 | 40% | 50% | 40% | 40% | DEN | +0.3 | #16 |
Jamal Murray | DEN | Pts | 19.5 | 23.6 | +4.1 | 20% | 50% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -2.1 | #2 |
Nikola Jokic | DEN | Reb | 12.5 | 14.4 | +1.9 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -0.2 | #12 |
Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 11.5 | 13.1 | +1.6 | 60% | 60% | 67% | 67% | DEN | +0.3 | #19 |
Christian Braun | DEN | Ast | 0.5 | 1.6 | +1.1 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -1.3 | #1 |
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope | DEN | Ast | 2.5 | 2.8 | +0.3 | 80% | 80% | 60% | 60% | MIN | -0.5 | #6 |
Anthony Edwards | MIN | 3Pt | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | DEN | -0.4 | #3 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #27 | #12 | #27 | #23 | 5.6% |
PF | #3 | #4 | #2 | #4 | -12.8% |
PG | #1 | #30 | #16 | #13 | -2.4% |
SF | #17 | #17 | #1 | #14 | -4.3% |
SG | #2 | #5 | #6 | #2 | -11.4% |
Nuggets Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #23 | #19 | #13 | #20 | 2.8% |
PF | #8 | #12 | #14 | #7 | -4.3% |
PG | #2 | #19 | #14 | #1 | -27.0% |
SF | #16 | #21 | #27 | #21 | 4.9% |
SG | #6 | #1 | #14 | #3 | -7.6% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 35.8% to 11.1, 17.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Christian Braun (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 53.0% to 24.0, 15.7 min average previous 3 games.
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