Timberwolves vs Pistons Game Breakdown

Timberwolves
17W-16L

January 04, 2025
08:00PM EST
Odds: 217.5 o/u
Pistons
16W-18L


Get ready to howl and rev up your engines as the NBA playoffs continue to heat up with a tantalizing face-off at Little Caesars Arena tonight! The Minnesota Timberwolves, with their eyes on clawing back up the Western conference standings, are set to battle the Detroit Pistons, who are looking to build momentum after their recent narrow victory. With the Timberwolves hungry to rebound from a close defeat and the Pistons aiming to capitalize on their home court advantage, tonight’s tipoff promises a showdown filled with high stakes and high hoops. As the clock ticks down to 08:00 PM EST, the over/under teases a score fest, and with both teams eager to avoid being another first-round blowout statistic, this game is shaping up to be a real barn burner. So, let’s see if the Timberwolves can hunt down a win, or if the Pistons will turn their arena into a no-wolf zone!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: January 04, 2025 08:00PM EST
Location: Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Vegas Odds
MIN ML | DET ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | -250 | +210 | 217.5 | -6.0/6.0 |
Recent | -250 | +210 | 217.5 | -7.5/7.5 |
Difference | 0 | 0 | 0 | – |
Team Performance

71.4% Win Probability

28.6% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/27/24 | Detroit Pistons DET | 25 | 20 | 21 | 25 | 00 | 91 | Under | ![]() |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 17 | 31 | 28 | 00 | 106 | |||
01/17/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 39 | 31 | 28 | 26 | 00 | 124 | Over | ![]() |
Detroit Pistons DET | 40 | 22 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 117 | |||
01/11/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 34 | 30 | 23 | 31 | 00 | 118 | Over | ![]() |
Detroit Pistons DET | 31 | 34 | 36 | 34 | 00 | 135 | |||
12/31/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 28 | 22 | 38 | 28 | 00 | 116 | Over | ![]() |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 39 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 00 | 104 | |||
02/06/22 | Detroit Pistons DET | 26 | 30 | 23 | 26 | 00 | 105 | Over | ![]() |
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 31 | 28 | 35 | 00 | 118 | |||
02/03/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 31 | 34 | 38 | 25 | 00 | 128 | Over | ![]() |
Detroit Pistons DET | 32 | 35 | 27 | 23 | 00 | 117 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Pistons Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/02 | @ BOS | 115-118L | 41 | 24 | 15 | 74 |
12/31 | vs OKL | 105-113L | 43 | 21 | 23 | 79 |
12/29 | @ SAS | 112-110W | 56 | 23 | 10 | 100 |
12/27 | vs HOU | 113-112W | 39 | 25 | 14 | 83 |
12/25 | vs DAL | 105-99W | 46 | 23 | 10 | 86 |
12/21 | @ GSW | 103-113L | 45 | 27 | 15 | 86 |
12/19 | @ NYK | 107-133L | 37 | 29 | 13 | 89 |
12/15 | vs SAS | 106-92W | 51 | 26 | 12 | 100 |
12/13 | @ LAL | 97-87W | 48 | 18 | 13 | 87 |
12/08 | vs GSW | 106-114L | 39 | 22 | 14 | 79 |
Pistons Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01/03 | @ CHA | 98-94W | 51 | 21 | 13 | 93 |
01/01 | @ ORL | 105-96W | 49 | 25 | 23 | 79 |
12/28 | vs DEN | 121-134L | 41 | 29 | 12 | 95 |
12/26 | vs SAC | 114-113W | 44 | 25 | 10 | 91 |
12/21 | vs PHX | 133-125W | 35 | 31 | 13 | 89 |
12/19 | @ UTA | 119-126L | 39 | 26 | 10 | 105 |
12/12 | vs BOS | 99-123L | 43 | 27 | 8 | 98 |
12/07 | vs NYK | 120-111W | 43 | 28 | 18 | 83 |
12/04 | vs BOS | 120-130L | 34 | 27 | 18 | 84 |
12/03 | @ MIL | 107-128L | 41 | 22 | 18 | 87 |
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mike Conley
PG
|
21.0 | 17.1 | 22.2 | 100% | 22.6 |
47.0 | 36.3 | 42.2 | 100% | 42.5 | |
30.0 | 26.6 | 30.1 | 100% | 30.4 | |
23.0 | 22.4 | 23.0 | 100% | 23.3 | |
39.0 | 40.6 | 36.4 | 100% | 35.6 |
Detroit Pistons | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30.0 | 21.6 | 25.1 | 20% | 33.4 | |
55.0 | 44.3 | 48.5 | 100% | 48.8 | |
31.0 | 32.5 | 27.2 | 100% | 27.5 | |
22.0 | 18.1 | 14.2 | 90% | 15.8 | |
30.0 | 24.2 | 28.1 | 100% | 28.5 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
Pistons Notable Injuries
- Jaden Ivey (PG): Avg: 15.8pts, 3.7reb, 3.9ast, 29.1 minutes. Last game: 01/01/25. Impact: 4.9
- Simone Fontecchio (PF): Avg: 9.2pts, 3.6reb, 1.4ast, 23.0 minutes. Last game: 12/28/24. Impact: 1.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
Cade Cunningham | DET | Pts | 23.5 | 28.1 | +4.6 | 40% | 50% | 53% | 53% | MIN | -0.2 | #11 |
Donte DiVincenzo | MIN | Pts | 10.5 | 14.8 | +4.3 | 80% | 60% | 47% | 47% | DET | -3.9 | #1 |
Malik Beasley | DET | Reb | 3.5 | 4.7 | +1.2 | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% | MIN | 0.0 | #18 |
Jalen Duren | DET | Reb | 9.5 | 10.3 | +0.8 | 80% | 40% | 47% | 47% | MIN | -1.5 | #6 |
Tobias Harris | DET | Ast | 1.5 | 2.6 | +1.1 | 60% | 70% | 73% | 73% | MIN | -0.1 | #14 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #14 | #6 | #12 | #12 | -1.5% |
PF | #1 | #5 | #14 | #2 | -11.6% |
PG | #11 | #25 | #10 | #15 | 0.7% |
SF | #7 | #5 | #2 | #4 | -9.5% |
SG | #8 | #18 | #5 | #7 | -6.2% |
Pistons Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #13 | #11 | #27 | #18 | 2.1% |
PF | #14 | #20 | #3 | #11 | -3.4% |
PG | #30 | #10 | #8 | #24 | 4.4% |
SF | #30 | #25 | #27 | #29 | 11.2% |
SG | #1 | #1 | #3 | #1 | -16.3% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games. The Pistons have a 2-game winning streak at home.
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