Timberwolves vs Warriors Game Breakdown

Get ready to howl and roar tonight as the Minnesota Timberwolves dash through the forest of the Western Conference to clash with the Golden State Warriors at the Chase Center! With the playoffs heating up, tonight’s face-off at 11:00 PM EST is anything but a snooze fest. Both teams are fresh off thrilling victories, the Timberwolves shredding the Clippers and the Warriors slicing through the Rockets. With stakes sky-high and the Warriors defending their turf at the top of the conference, the over/under tantalizingly set at 218.5, it’s a showdown you won’t want to miss. So, as the Timberwolves look to timber down the Warriors’ lead, let’s see if they can turn the court into their own Northern wilderness!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 06, 2024 11:00PM EST

Location: Chase Center, Golden State

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	GSW ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+105	-125	220.5	1.5/-1.5
Recent	-120	-110	218.5	-1.0/1.0
Difference	-225	+15	-2.0	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

30W-20L

54.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

25W-22L

45.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
03/24/24	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	27	27	29	00	110	Over
03/24/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	18	28	32	36	00	114	Over
11/14/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	22	32	22	28	00	104	Under
11/14/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	30	29	24	18	00	101	Under
11/12/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	25	35	27	00	116	Over
11/12/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	20	22	37	00	110	Over
03/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	24	24	22	00	99	Under
03/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	26	18	23	00	96	Under
02/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	23	30	17	00	104	Under
02/26/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	25	34	19	31	00	109	Under
02/01/23	Golden State Warriors GSW	34	37	22	17	40	114	Over
02/01/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	30	20	28	90	119	Over
11/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	47	29	33	28	00	137	Over
11/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	29	33	25	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	27	29	31	27	00	114	Over
03/01/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	34	28	33	00	129	Over
01/27/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	32	20	34	00	115	Over
01/27/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	29	28	38	29	00	124	Over
01/16/22	Golden State Warriors GSW	22	28	31	18	00	99	Under
01/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	26	35	28	00	119	Under
11/10/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	28	26	30	26	00	110	Over
11/10/21	Golden State Warriors GSW	31	38	24	30	00	123	Over

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Warriors Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/04	vs LAC	108-80W	50	31	14	85
12/02	@ LAL	109-80W	43	31	15	81
11/29	@ LAC	93-92W	49	25	21	75
11/26	@ HOU	111-117L	52	21	17	98
11/24	vs BOS	105-107L	49	19	8	88
11/21	vs TOR	105-110L	40	16	17	80
11/17	@ PHX	120-117W	32	27	14	80
11/15	vs SAC	130-126W	41	26	11	101
11/13	vs POR	98-106L	41	16	13	94
11/12	vs POR	108-122L	32	22	21	73

Warriors Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/05	@ HOU	99-93W	54	19	10	86
12/03	vs DEN	115-119L	48	36	14	95
11/30	vs PHX	105-113L	43	28	9	92
11/25	@ BRO	120-128L	43	32	12	93
11/23	vs SAS	94-104L	49	29	10	95
11/22	vs NOP	112-108W	52	27	16	87
11/20	@ ATL	120-97W	54	36	15	101
11/18	vs LAC	99-102L	45	27	19	84
11/15	@ MEM	123-118W	56	33	19	98
11/12	@ DAL	120-117W	50	29	12	94

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	27.0	24.4	26.0	100%	26.4
Anthony Edwards SG	45.0	39.9	45.9	100%	46.2
Rudy Gobert C	38.0	33.9	30.8	100%	31.1
Jaden McDaniels SF	22.0	18.2	22.3	100%	22.6
Julius Randle PF	35.0	32.8	39.1	100%	38.3

Golden State Warriors	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Stephen Curry PG	45.0	41.7	42.8	100%	43.2
Draymond Green PF	33.0	28.8	28.3	100%	28.8
Kevon Looney C	19.0	21.1	15.6	7%	27.5
Brandin Podziemski SG	24.0	22.0	20.8	27%	28.9
Andrew Wiggins SF	31.0	32.5	29.8	100%	30.1

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Rob Dillingham (PG): Avg: 4.8pts, 1.0reb, 1.5ast, 9.4 minutes. Last game: 11/26/24. Impact: 1.8
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.1pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 1.1
PJ Dozier (PF): Avg: 0.8pts, 1.0reb, 1.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 1.0
Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.4reb, 0.5ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/04/24. Impact: 0.7

Warriors Notable Injuries

Pat Spencer (PG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.3reb, 0.8ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 12/05/24. Impact: 0.6

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	10.5	13.8	+3.3	20%	50%	47%	47%	GSW	+0.6	#17
Donte DiVincenzo	MIN	Pts	7.5	10.8	+3.3	60%	50%	53%	53%	GSW	-1.6	#4
Draymond Green	GSW	Reb	6.5	7.4	+0.9	60%	60%	40%	40%	MIN	-1.0	#3
Anthony Edwards	MIN	Ast	4.5	5.0	+0.5	20%	20%	33%	33%	GSW	+0.5	#25

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#20	#9	#26	#17	1.5%
PF	#2	#3	#2	#2	-15.3%
PG	#11	#30	#3	#15	-0.8%
SF	#6	#2	#3	#5	-10.6%
SG	#6	#4	#6	#2	-9.3%

Warriors Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#17	#26	#22	#22	4.9%
PF	#20	#8	#9	#15	0.4%
PG	#3	#17	#4	#3	-12.2%
SF	#12	#24	#16	#14	-0.6%
SG	#4	#20	#25	#13	-2.2%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

111.9

114.6

Rebounds per Game

42.5

47.5

Assists per Game

26.5

29.9

Steals per Game

9.0

8.4

Blocks per Game

5.1

5.3

Shots per Game

85.7

91.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.5

14.8

2-Pt Percentage per Game

55.0

54.1

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.3

38.5

Turnovers per Game

13.5

13.6

Fouls per Game

18.4

20.0

Recent Trends

Jonathan Kuminga (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 47.3% to 26.9, 18.3 min average previous 3 games.
Kevon Looney (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 71.6% to 22.5, 13.1 min average previous 3 games.
Jaden McDaniels (SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 37.1% to 23.8, 37.9 min average previous 3 games.
De’Anthony Melton (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 42.1% to 23.7, 16.7 min average previous 3 games.
Brandin Podziemski (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 59.6% to 31.4, 19.7 min average previous 3 games.