Timberwolves vs Clippers Game Breakdown & Projections – Tue, Mar 12th 2024

Timberwolves
44W-21L

March 12, 2024
10:00PM EST
Odds: 214.5 o/u
Clippers
41W-22L


Alright, hoop heads, buckle up for a wild night at the Crypto.com Arena! Our beloved, slightly bruised but never beaten Minnesota Timberwolves (44W-21L), are ready to claw their way through the LA Clippers (41W-22L), under the glimmering lights of LA. The ‘Wolves are sniffing at the heels of the Western conference leaders, just 1.5 games back, while the Clippers are clinging on to the top spot like a barnacle on a boat hull. The bookies are having a field day, setting the over/under at 214.5, with the Timberwolves line at 6.5, and the Clippers line at -6.5. Both teams are licking their wounds after recent losses; the Clippers got clipped 117-124 by the Bucks, while the Timberwolves got tamed 109-120 by the Lakers. So, as the clock ticks down to a 10:00PM EST tipoff, we’re all waiting to see if the Timberwolves will clip the Clippers’ wings, or if the Clippers will send the ‘Wolves howling back to Minnesota. It’s going to be a game of ‘Clips and Wolves, folks!
Game Breakdown
Game Time: March 12, 2024 10:00PM EST
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Vegas Odds
MIN ML | LAC ML | Over/Under | Line | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Open | +220 | -270 | 217.5 | 6.5/-6.5 |
Recent | +170 | -200 | 214.5 | 6.5/-6.5 |
Difference | -50 | +70 | -3.0 | – |
Team Performance

37.0% Win Probability

63.0% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/03/24 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 18 | 31 | 18 | 22 | 89 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 16 | 22 | 20 | 88 | ||||
02/12/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 28 | 21 | 40 | 32 | 121 | Over | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 24 | 29 | 19 | 28 | 100 | ||||
01/14/24 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 19 | 26 | 23 | 37 | 105 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 17 | 35 | 28 | 109 | ||||
02/28/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 32 | 28 | 22 | 108 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 33 | 23 | 19 | 26 | 101 | ||||
01/06/23 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 33 | 21 | 25 | 36 | 115 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 37 | 31 | 32 | 28 | 128 | ||||
12/14/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 88 | Under | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 19 | 19 | 29 | 32 | 99 | ||||
01/03/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 38 | 21 | 37 | 122 | Over | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 21 | 25 | 19 | 39 | 104 | ||||
11/13/21 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 26 | 17 | 28 | 31 | 102 | Over | ![]() |
|
Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 32 | 38 | 28 | 31 | 129 | ||||
11/05/21 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 23 | 24 | 28 | 29 | 104 | Under | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 33 | 24 | 15 | 12 | 84 | ||||
11/03/21 | Los Angeles Clippers LAC | 27 | 31 | 45 | 23 | 126 | Over | ![]() |
|
Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 23 | 31 | 34 | 27 | 115 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Clippers Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | vs LAL | 109-120L | 38 | 27 | 11 | 97 |
03/08 | vs CLE | 104-114L | 45 | 25 | 12 | 94 |
03/07 | vs IND | 113-111W | 48 | 23 | 9 | 98 |
03/04 | @ POR | 119-114W | 40 | 28 | 11 | 80 |
03/03 | @ LAC | 88-89L | 54 | 24 | 15 | 80 |
03/01 | @ SAC | 120-124L | 44 | 29 | 12 | 85 |
02/28 | @ MEM | 110-101W | 39 | 29 | 13 | 80 |
02/27 | @ SAS | 114-105W | 46 | 28 | 14 | 94 |
02/24 | @ BRO | 101-86W | 51 | 22 | 12 | 84 |
02/23 | @ MIL | 107-112L | 52 | 23 | 13 | 98 |
Clippers Recent Games
Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03/10 | @ MIL | 117-124L | 52 | 30 | 10 | 104 |
03/09 | @ CHI | 112-102W | 45 | 29 | 13 | 84 |
03/06 | vs HOU | 122-116W | 41 | 19 | 9 | 80 |
03/04 | vs MIL | 106-113L | 38 | 25 | 13 | 84 |
03/03 | vs MIN | 89-91L | 40 | 17 | 9 | 86 |
03/01 | @ WAS | 140-115W | 49 | 32 | 8 | 95 |
02/28 | @ LAL | 112-116L | 36 | 29 | 12 | 90 |
02/25 | @ SAC | 107-123L | 39 | 23 | 15 | 82 |
02/23 | vs MEM | 101-95W | 51 | 20 | 20 | 84 |
02/22 | vs OKL | 107-129L | 42 | 27 | 14 | 94 |
Starting Lineups
Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28.1 | 18.1 | 17.7 | 17% | 23.4 | |
Mike Conley
PG
|
26.7 | 23.5 | 25.1 | 100% | 25.5 |
46.2 | 43.9 | 42.2 | 93% | 42.5 | |
42.7 | 43.1 | 37.9 | 100% | 37.2 | |
21.8 | 20.9 | 19.7 | 100% | 19.3 |
Los Angeles Clippers | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul George
SF
|
38.3 | 38.4 | 37.0 | 100% | 35.9 |
James Harden
PG
|
43.4 | 40.2 | 40.1 | 100% | 39.8 |
44.9 | 44.1 | 43.2 | 100% | 42.0 | |
Terance Mann
SG
|
15.5 | 15.0 | 17.0 | 100% | 17.0 |
26.4 | 21.4 | 27.4 | 100% | 27.9 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- Karl-Anthony Towns (PF/C): Avg: 22.1pts, 8.4reb, 3.0ast, 32.8 minutes. Last game: 03/04/24. Impact: 6.1
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 2.9pts, 0.9reb, 0.2ast, 3.4 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.8
- Josh Minott (SG): Avg: 1.6pts, 0.6reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Daishen Nix (PG): Avg: 2.0pts, 0.1reb, 0.2ast, 3.3 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.5
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.7pts, 0.4reb, 0.1ast, 2.9 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 0.4
Clippers Notable Injuries
- Russell Westbrook (PG): Avg: 11.1pts, 5.1reb, 4.4ast, 22.6 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 3.2
- P.J. Tucker (PF/C): Avg: 1.5pts, 2.9reb, 0.6ast, 15.7 minutes. Last game: 03/10/24. Impact: 1.1
- Moussa Diabate (C): Avg: 2.6pts, 2.2reb, 0.4ast, 5.8 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 1.1
- Kobe Brown (PF): Avg: 1.7pts, 1.3reb, 0.4ast, 7.9 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4
- Jordan Miller (SG): Avg: 1.8pts, 0.7reb, 0.0ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 03/09/24. Impact: 0.4
- Joshua Primo (SG): Avg: 1.0pts, 0.5reb, 0.0ast, 5.1 minutes. Last game: 03/01/24. Impact: 2.2
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
James Harden | LAC | Pts | 16.5 | 18.2 | +1.7 | 40% | 60% | 67% | 67% | MIN | -1.6 | #8 |
Ivica Zubac | LAC | Pts | 9.5 | 10.9 | +1.4 | 40% | 60% | 53% | 53% | MIN | +1.2 | #21 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #21 | #19 | #9 | #19 | 4.2% |
PF | #5 | #4 | #4 | #1 | -16.2% |
PG | #1 | #28 | #18 | #6 | -10.3% |
SF | #18 | #11 | #4 | #12 | -5.4% |
SG | #8 | #18 | #16 | #8 | -5.5% |
Clippers Defense vs
Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
C | #10 | #15 | #25 | #12 | -5.3% |
PF | #22 | #18 | #25 | #24 | 5.0% |
PG | #30 | #21 | #21 | #29 | 12.6% |
SF | #15 | #4 | #21 | #11 | -5.6% |
SG | #12 | #10 | #8 | #11 | -3.6% |

Team Comparison

Recent Trends
- Nickeil Alexander-Walker (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 37.0% to 30.5, 22.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 50.5% to 30.6, 20.3 min average previous 3 games.
- Anthony Edwards (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 34.0% to 40.3, 30.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Terance Mann (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 36.3% to 27.4, 20.1 min average previous 3 games.
- Monte Morris (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.5% to 12.0, 20.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Mason Plumlee (C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 45.2% to 15.5, 10.7 min average previous 3 games.
- Joshua Primo (SG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 49.3% to 11.6, 22.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Daniel Theis (C): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 31.2% to 14.8, 21.6 min average previous 3 games.
- T.J. Warren (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 30.5% to 16.8, 12.9 min average previous 3 games.
- Russell Westbrook (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 34.3% to 15.3, 23.3 min average previous 3 games. The Timberwolves have a 2-game losing streak on the road.
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