Timberwolves vs Grizzlies Game Breakdown

Get ready to howl and growl as the NBA playoffs heat up with a showdown that promises more fireworks than the first round’s blowout bonanza! Today, the Minnesota Timberwolves, hungry after a recent setback, are storming into the FedEx Forum with their eyes set on taming the Memphis Grizzlies, who are riding high from a dominant victory. With the Timberwolves looking to claw back into contention and the Grizzlies aiming to fortify their top-tier Western conference standing, the stage is set for a battle that could shift the playoff landscape. Tipoff is at 3:30 PM EST, and with the over/under tantalizingly set at 234.5, expect a full-throttle contest where every dribble and dunk counts. So, as the Timberwolves try to timber down the house, let’s see if the Grizzlies can keep their ground firm in what’s shaping up to be a true hardwood brawl!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: January 20, 2025 03:30PM EST

Location: FedEx Forum, Memphis

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	MEM ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+140	-165	235.0	3.5/-3.5
Recent	+115	-150	234.5	5.5/-5.5
Difference	-25	+15	-0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

5W-5L

AWAY

38W-23L

46.5% Win Probability

LAST 10

5W-5L

HOME

23W-35L

53.5% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final	O/U
01/11/25	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	35	29	35	28	00	127	Over
01/11/25	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	32	38	22	00	125	Over
12/08/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	33	27	38	29	00	127	Under
12/08/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	24	24	24	00	103	Under
02/28/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	27	32	16	00	101	Under
02/28/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	26	38	22	00	110	Under
01/18/24	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	30	25	31	17	00	103	Under
01/18/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	20	31	37	00	118	Under
11/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	29	30	29	00	119	Under
11/26/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	17	23	31	00	97	Under
02/10/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	26	28	21	00	107	Over
02/10/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	38	34	25	00	128	Over
01/27/23	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	22	24	23	00	100	Under
01/27/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	38	24	25	24	00	111	Under
11/30/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	26	22	24	29	00	101	Under
11/30/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	27	17	31	34	00	109	Under
11/11/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	33	21	19	00	103	Under
11/11/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	33	39	24	18	00	114	Under
02/24/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	31	25	27	31	00	114	Under
02/24/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	21	32	31	35	00	119	Under
01/13/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	29	24	24	00	108	Under
01/13/22	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	25	28	37	26	00	116	Under
11/20/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	23	20	28	24	00	95	Under
11/20/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	40	32	41	25	00	138	Under
11/08/21	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	34	20	38	21	50	118	Over
11/08/21	Memphis Grizzlies MEM	34	24	23	32	120	125	Over

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Grizzlies Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/18	@ CLE	117-124L	42	27	7	90
01/17	vs NYK	116-99W	46	23	15	79
01/15	@ GSW	115-116L	41	21	9	86
01/13	vs WAS	120-106W	53	20	18	83
01/11	@ MEM	125-127L	41	37	18	83
01/09	vs ORL	104-89W	50	21	8	85
01/07	vs NOP	104-97W	53	26	16	89
01/06	@ LAC	108-106W	55	24	14	92
01/04	vs DET	105-119L	33	20	17	80
01/02	@ BOS	115-118L	41	24	15	74

Grizzlies Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
01/17	vs SAS	140-112W	41	39	7	97
01/15	vs SAS	129-115W	52	28	8	103
01/13	vs HOU	118-120L	31	15	17	85
01/11	vs MIN	127-125W	46	25	13	108
01/09	@ HOU	115-119L	43	20	19	84
01/06	@ DAL	119-104W	55	24	13	88
01/04	vs GSW	113-121L	43	29	22	88
01/03	vs SAC	133-138L	51	31	17	89
12/31	vs PHX	117-112W	51	27	17	94
12/29	vs OKL	106-130L	51	30	21	97

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	21.0	14.4	19.4	80%	20.4
Anthony Edwards SG	49.0	49.5	43.3	100%	43.6
Rudy Gobert C	35.0	27.6	29.1	100%	29.4
Jaden McDaniels SF	29.0	28.9	24.9	100%	25.2
Julius Randle PF	40.0	35.5	34.6	100%	35.0

Memphis Grizzlies	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Desmond Bane SG	35.0	39.2	35.2	100%	34.5
Zach Edey C	18.0	14.4	21.0	72%	18.9
Jaren Jackson Jr. PF	41.0	38.8	41.0	100%	41.3
Ja Morant PG	39.0	38.5	40.5	100%	40.8
Jaylen Wells SF	18.0	18.4	20.4	100%	20.7

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Donte DiVincenzo (PG/SG): Avg: 14.5pts, 3.7reb, 3.0ast, 29.0 minutes. Last game: 01/15/25. Impact: 5.4
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.0reb, 0.2ast, 4.6 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.8
Leonard Miller (PF/C): Avg: 1.4pts, 1.0reb, 0.4ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.4
Tristen Newton (PG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.2reb, 0.2ast, 1.6 minutes. Last game: 01/13/25. Impact: 0.1

Grizzlies Notable Injuries

John Konchar (SG/SF): Avg: 4.0pts, 4.5reb, 1.8ast, 19.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 2.4
Cam Spencer (PG): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.7reb, 1.6ast, 12.1 minutes. Last game: 01/06/25. Impact: 1.6
Yuki Kawamura (PG): Avg: 1.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.8ast, 3.5 minutes. Last game: 01/17/25. Impact: 0.7

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	11.5	14.3	+2.8	60%	40%	33%	33%	MEM	+2.0	#27
Jaren Jackson Jr.	MEM	Pts	21.5	23.1	+1.6	20%	50%	47%	47%	MIN	-1.0	#9
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Reb	10.5	12.1	+1.6	40%	50%	47%	47%	MEM	+0.1	#19
Julius Randle	MIN	Reb	7.5	7.9	+0.4	60%	50%	47%	47%	MEM	+0.5	#20
Mike Conley	MIN	Ast	3.5	4.4	+0.9	20%	30%	33%	33%	MEM	-1.0	#4

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#12	#6	#16	#13	-1.6%
PF	#9	#15	#25	#15	-0.8%
PG	#14	#23	#2	#15	-0.5%
SF	#4	#5	#6	#3	-10.9%
SG	#3	#21	#2	#5	-7.7%

Grizzlies Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#25	#19	#12	#24	6.9%
PF	#27	#20	#28	#27	9.6%
PG	#4	#18	#4	#6	-7.1%
SF	#15	#8	#28	#20	3.7%
SG	#26	#5	#18	#22	3.9%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

108.5

126.7

Rebounds per Game

45.8

48.1

Assists per Game

24.3

30.1

Steals per Game

7.5

9.9

Blocks per Game

4.7

5.2

Shots per Game

85.6

94.2

3-Pointers Made per Game

15.1

15.2

2-Pt Percentage per Game

50.9

56.3

3-Pt Percentage per Game

38.9

39.2

Turnovers per Game

14.2

15.8

Fouls per Game

17.7

22.1

Recent Trends

Santi Aldama (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 75.0% to 24.9, 14.2 min average previous 3 games.
John Konchar (SG/SF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 48.3% to 13.1, 25.3 min average previous 3 games.
Vince Williams Jr. (PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 58.3% to 14.9, 35.8 min average previous 3 games.