Timberwolves vs Thunder Game Breakdown

Get ready to rumble in the NBA Playoffs as the Minnesota Timberwolves, sporting a solid 17-14 record, dash over to the Paycom Center to face the high-flying Oklahoma City Thunder, who are dominating with a stellar 26-5 tally. It’s game time at 9:00 PM EST, and all eyes are on this Western conference showdown where the Timberwolves are hungry to claw up the ranks, while the Thunder aim to strike yet another victory to maintain their top spot. With the betting lines buzzing and the over/under hovering at 217, tonight’s matchup promises more thrills than a blockbuster movie, especially after both teams snagged tight wins in their last outings. So, as the Timberwolves try to hunt down success and the Thunder looks to electrify their home crowd, expect nothing less than a storm of excitement where only the fiercest will weather the clash!

Game Breakdown

Game Time: December 31, 2024 09:00PM EST

Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Vegas Odds

	MIN ML	OKL ML	Over/Under	Line
Open	+235	-285	216.5	7.5/-7.5
Recent	+210	-250	217.0	6.5/-6.5
Difference	-25	+35	+0.5	–

Team Performance

LAST 10

7W-3L

AWAY

34W-21L

32.3% Win Probability

LAST 10

10W-0L

HOME

42W-9L

67.7% Win Probability

Previous Matchups

Date		Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final	O/U
01/29/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	20	24	34	107	Under
01/29/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	19	30	24	101	Under
01/20/24	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	30	27	17	28	102	Under
01/20/24	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	24	30	29	14	97	Under
12/26/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	25	31	15	106	Over
12/26/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	40	26	36	27	129	Over
11/28/23	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	29	32	17	25	103	Under
11/28/23	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	19	34	23	30	106	Under
12/16/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	33	25	24	112	Over
12/16/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	22	41	19	110	Over
12/03/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	32	31	34	38	135	Over
12/03/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	29	28	44	27	128	Over
10/23/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	31	22	29	34	116	Over
10/23/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	18	26	30	32	106	Over
10/19/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	22	30	35	21	108	Over
10/19/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	35	30	22	28	115	Over
03/09/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	21	26	32	23	102	Over
03/09/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	42	27	31	132	Over
03/04/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	45	31	30	138	Over
03/04/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	34	26	27	14	101	Over
01/07/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	32	41	30	32	135	Over
01/07/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	28	29	23	25	105	Over
01/05/22	Oklahoma City Thunder OKL	10	26	27	27	90	Under
01/05/22	Minnesota Timberwolves MIN	30	19	20	29	98	Under

Timberwolves Vs Over/Under

Thunder Vs Over/Under

Timberwolves Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	@ SAS	112-110W	56	23	10	100
12/27	vs HOU	113-112W	39	25	14	83
12/25	vs DAL	105-99W	46	23	10	86
12/21	@ GSW	103-113L	45	27	15	86
12/19	@ NYK	107-133L	37	29	13	89
12/15	vs SAS	106-92W	51	26	12	100
12/13	@ LAL	97-87W	48	18	13	87
12/08	vs GSW	106-114L	39	22	14	79
12/06	vs GSW	107-90W	48	32	17	88
12/04	vs LAC	108-80W	50	31	14	85

Thunder Recent Games

Date	vsOpp	Result	Reb	Ast	Tov	Shots
12/29	@ MEM	130-106W	45	35	10	103
12/28	vs CHA	106-94W	49	29	15	88
12/26	vs IND	120-114W	45	20	3	95
12/20	vs MIA	104-97W	48	24	14	86
12/19	vs ORL	105-99W	32	23	13	83
12/14	@ HOU	111-96W	43	19	12	80
12/10	@ DAL	118-104W	52	29	13	101
12/07	vs NOP	119-109W	45	27	18	85
12/05	vs TOR	129-92W	56	28	6	102
12/03	@ UTA	133-106W	34	32	8	102

Starting Lineups

Minnesota Timberwolves	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Mike Conley PG	21.0	14.0	22.9	100%	23.3
Anthony Edwards SG	43.0	39.5	43.1	100%	43.5
Rudy Gobert C	35.0	29.6	30.8	100%	31.1
Jaden McDaniels SF	27.0	22.9	22.6	100%	22.9
Julius Randle PF	37.0	38.4	36.8	100%	36.0

Oklahoma City Thunder	Proj	L5	L15	S%	S/DFS
Luguentz Dort SF	21.0	21.9	23.5	100%	23.8
S. Gilgeous-Alexander PG	53.0	55.8	53.1	100%	53.5
Isaiah Hartenstein C	36.0	37.5	31.4	100%	30.3
Cason Wallace SG	23.0	13.7	16.8	57%	20.2
Jalen Williams PF	40.0	36.2	41.4	100%	41.9

Timberwolves Notable Injuries

Rob Dillingham (PG): Avg: 4.6pts, 0.9reb, 1.8ast, 9.9 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 1.8
Luka Garza (C): Avg: 4.0pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 1.1
Terrence Shannon Jr. (SG/SF): Avg: 1.9pts, 0.3reb, 0.7ast, 5.0 minutes. Last game: 12/19/24. Impact: 0.6

Thunder Notable Injuries

Alex Caruso GTD (SG/SF): Avg: 9.2pts, 3.7reb, 3.3ast, 26.9 minutes. Last game: 12/20/24. Impact: 3.3
Jaylin Williams GTD (C): Avg: 4.2pts, 3.3reb, 1.6ast, 13.1 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 2.2
Ousmane Dieng (PF/C): Avg: 3.3pts, 1.8reb, 0.9ast, 10.3 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 1.1
Branden Carlson (C): Avg: 0.7pts, 1.5reb, 0.3ast, 3.6 minutes. Last game: 12/29/24. Impact: 0.5

Top Player Props

This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.

		Stat				Over %				Opposing Defense/Game
Player	Team	Prop	Line	Proj	Diff	L5	L10	L15	L30	Opp	Stat	Rank
Jaden McDaniels	MIN	Pts	8.5	13.4	+4.9	40%	70%	73%	73%	OKL	+0.2	#18
Rudy Gobert	MIN	Pts	9.5	12.7	+3.2	60%	60%	60%	60%	OKL	-4.1	#4
Naz Reid	MIN	Reb	4.5	4.9	+0.4	0%	40%	47%	47%	OKL	-0.4	#10
Jalen Williams	OKL	Ast	4.5	5.1	+0.6	80%	70%	73%	73%	MIN	-0.9	#1
Luguentz Dort	OKL	3Pt	1.5	2.0	+0.5	60%	60%	60%	60%	MIN	-0.1	#14

View All Player Prop Projections

Timberwolves Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#21	#3	#28	#21	3.6%
PF	#1	#4	#9	#2	-13.9%
PG	#7	#29	#13	#15	0.5%
SF	#6	#5	#4	#5	-8.8%
SG	#9	#14	#1	#5	-7.7%

Thunder Defense vs

Position	Pts	Reb	Ast	Overall	vs NBA
C	#4	#22	#20	#4	-9.6%
PF	#18	#10	#7	#9	-3.8%
PG	#11	#20	#1	#3	-9.9%
SF	#9	#26	#19	#10	-5.0%
SG	#5	#26	#6	#13	-3.5%

Team Comparison

Points per Game

109.5

117.1

Rebounds per Game

44.0

43.3

Assists per Game

25.0

26.2

Steals per Game

9.1

11.3

Blocks per Game

4.8

5.6

Shots per Game

87.6

92.4

3-Pointers Made per Game

14.7

13.9

2-Pt Percentage per Game

52.8

56.2

3-Pt Percentage per Game

36.9

35.2

Turnovers per Game

14.5

10.8

Fouls per Game

18.4

21.5

Recent Trends

Rob Dillingham (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 32.6% to 11.2, 16.6 min average previous 3 games.
Donte DiVincenzo (PG/SG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 33.4% to 31.7, 23.7 min average previous 3 games.
Ajay Mitchell (PG): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 116.3% to 23.0, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.
Kenrich Williams (PF/C): 3 Game Minutes avg jumped 58.1% to 16.7, 10.6 min average previous 3 games.