Timberwolves vs Suns Game Breakdown & Projections – Fri, Apr 26th 2024
Timberwolves
2W-0L
April 26, 2024
10:30PM EST
Odds: 208.5 o/u
Suns
0W-2L
Tonight’s NBA Playoff face-off is nothing short of a desert duel as the undefeated Minnesota Timberwolves, fresh off a nail-biter against Atlanta, pack their winning streak and head to Phoenix to challenge the Suns, who are looking to rise from the ashes of their early series setbacks. Set against the electrifying backdrop of the Footprint Center with a late tipoff at 10:30 PM EST, the stakes are sky-high. The Timberwolves, prowling at the top of the Western conference, are set to clash with the Suns, who just scorched Sacramento in a buzzer-beating victory. With the over/under tantalizingly poised at 208.5, tonight’s game promises to be a showdown where only one can truly shine—will the Suns set or will the Wolves howl in victory?
Game Breakdown
Game Time: April 26, 2024 10:30PM EST
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix
Vegas Odds
| MIN ML | PHX ML | Over/Under | Line | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open | +160 | -185 | 207.5 | 3.5/-3.5 |
| Recent | +180 | -220 | 208.5 | 4.5/-4.5 |
| Difference | +20 | -35 | +1.0 | – |
Team Performance
35.7% Win Probability
64.3% Win Probability
Previous Matchups
| Date | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | O/U | ATS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/23/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 21 | 30 | 20 | 22 | 00 | 93 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 26 | 28 | 27 | 00 | 105 | |||
| 04/20/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 28 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 00 | 95 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 27 | 34 | 31 | 28 | 00 | 120 | |||
| 04/14/24 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 44 | 22 | 23 | 36 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 22 | 31 | 25 | 28 | 00 | 106 | |||
| 04/05/24 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 21 | 20 | 26 | 00 | 87 | Under | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 32 | 25 | 20 | 20 | 00 | 97 | |||
| 11/15/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 29 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 00 | 115 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 35 | 41 | 34 | 23 | 00 | 133 | |||
| 03/29/23 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 24 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 00 | 100 | Under | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 23 | 33 | 26 | 00 | 107 | |||
| 01/13/23 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 24 | 26 | 41 | 00 | 116 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 35 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 00 | 121 | |||
| 11/09/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 39 | 30 | 35 | 25 | 00 | 129 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 25 | 26 | 31 | 35 | 00 | 117 | |||
| 11/01/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 20 | 27 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 107 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 24 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 03/23/22 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 25 | 26 | 32 | 42 | 00 | 125 | Over | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 30 | 34 | 24 | 28 | 00 | 116 | |||
| 01/28/22 | Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 32 | 34 | 27 | 31 | 00 | 124 | Over | |
| Phoenix Suns PHX | 40 | 34 | 26 | 34 | 00 | 134 | |||
| 11/15/21 | Phoenix Suns PHX | 18 | 22 | 26 | 33 | 00 | 99 | Under | |
| Minnesota Timberwolves MIN | 21 | 18 | 23 | 34 | 00 | 96 |
Timberwolves Vs Over/Under
Suns Vs Over/Under
Timberwolves Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | @ ATL | 109-106W | 44 | 29 | 14 | 79 |
| 04/10 | vs DEN | 107-116L | 35 | 23 | 9 | 82 |
| 04/09 | @ WAS | 130-121W | 44 | 30 | 8 | 90 |
| 04/07 | vs LAL | 127-117W | 46 | 29 | 14 | 97 |
| 04/05 | vs PHX | 87-97L | 44 | 23 | 18 | 85 |
| 04/03 | @ TOR | 133-85W | 50 | 37 | 9 | 96 |
| 04/02 | @ HOU | 113-106W | 39 | 29 | 17 | 77 |
| 03/31 | @ CHI | 101-109L | 37 | 28 | 13 | 81 |
| 03/29 | vs DEN | 111-98W | 39 | 28 | 7 | 75 |
| 03/27 | @ DET | 106-91W | 40 | 28 | 12 | 82 |
Suns Recent Games
| Date | vsOpp | Result | Reb | Ast | Tov | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12 | vs SAC | 108-107W | 41 | 25 | 18 | 76 |
| 04/10 | vs LAC | 124-108W | 48 | 29 | 13 | 95 |
| 04/09 | @ LAC | 92-105L | 38 | 17 | 8 | 89 |
| 04/07 | @ NOP | 105-113L | 38 | 30 | 15 | 87 |
| 04/05 | @ MIN | 97-87W | 49 | 29 | 18 | 76 |
| 04/03 | @ CLE | 122-101W | 43 | 32 | 15 | 87 |
| 04/01 | vs NOP | 124-111W | 49 | 29 | 12 | 87 |
| 03/29 | vs OKL | 103-128L | 39 | 26 | 14 | 87 |
| 03/27 | vs DEN | 104-97W | 51 | 29 | 16 | 83 |
| 03/25 | vs SAS | 102-104L | 47 | 28 | 14 | 83 |
Starting Lineups
| Minnesota Timberwolves | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mike Conley
PG
|
28.2 | 29.2 | 26.6 | 100% | 27.1 |
| 46.9 | 45.9 | 45.1 | 100% | 44.5 | |
| 42.4 | 46.5 | 39.2 | 100% | 39.6 | |
| 22.5 | 24.5 | 21.0 | 100% | 21.4 | |
| 35.4 | 30.9 | 38.7 | 100% | 37.9 |
| Phoenix Suns | Proj | L5 | L15 | S% | S/DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.8 | 17.9 | 26.0 | 100% | 25.9 | |
|
Bradley Beal
SG
|
38.3 | 36.9 | 34.7 | 100% | 35.1 |
|
Devin Booker
PG
|
48.4 | 34.6 | 41.3 | 100% | 41.8 |
|
Kevin Durant
PF
|
45.7 | 38.0 | 42.8 | 100% | 43.2 |
| 33.9 | 32.6 | 33.4 | 100% | 33.9 |
Timberwolves Notable Injuries
- T.J. Warren (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.8reb, 0.7ast, 10.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.0
- Luka Garza (C): Avg: 3.8pts, 1.1reb, 0.2ast, 4.8 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 1.1
- Wendell Moore Jr. (SG): Avg: 0.5pts, 0.4reb, 0.2ast, 2.8 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.2
Suns Notable Injuries
- David Roddy (SF/PF): Avg: 6.6pts, 3.2reb, 1.2ast, 18.0 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4
- Josh Okogie (SF): Avg: 4.4pts, 2.5reb, 1.1ast, 15.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.8
- Nassir Little (SF/PF): Avg: 3.2pts, 1.6reb, 0.4ast, 9.6 minutes. Last game: 04/23/24. Impact: 0.4
- Isaiah Thomas (PG): Avg: 0.8pts, 0.0reb, 0.3ast, 3.1 minutes. Last game: 04/20/24. Impact: 0.8
Top Player Props
This article, published more than 6 hours prior to game time, focuses exclusively on Over prop bets due to the propensity for NBA teams to make last-minute injury adjustments. For the most current prop bets, including any updates closer to tip-off, please refer to the link provided below the table.
| Stat | Over % | Opposing Defense/Game | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Team | Prop | Line | Proj | Diff | L5 | L10 | L15 | L30 | Opp | Stat | Rank |
| Devin Booker | PHX | Pts | 25.5 | 28.0 | +2.5 | 20% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIN | -1.4 | #9 |
| Anthony Edwards | MIN | Pts | 24.5 | 26.8 | +2.3 | 60% | 50% | 47% | 47% | PHX | -1.7 | #7 |
| Rudy Gobert | MIN | Reb | 12.5 | 14.6 | +2.1 | 80% | 70% | 60% | 60% | PHX | -2.0 | #3 |
| Mike Conley | MIN | Reb | 2.5 | 2.9 | +0.4 | 80% | 60% | 47% | 47% | PHX | +0.6 | #25 |
| Kevin Durant | PHX | Ast | 3.5 | 4.8 | +1.3 | 0% | 30% | 40% | 40% | MIN | -2.9 | #2 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | MIN | Ast | 2.5 | 2.7 | +0.2 | 60% | 60% | 53% | 53% | PHX | +1.0 | #20 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | MIN | 3Pt | 1.5 | 1.6 | +0.1 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% | PHX | -0.1 | #13 |
Timberwolves Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #17 | #12 | #13 | #12 | -2.0% |
| PF | #3 | #6 | #8 | #1 | -14.9% |
| PG | #13 | #29 | #5 | #15 | -5.1% |
| SF | #9 | #24 | #2 | #12 | -12.0% |
| SG | #9 | #7 | #16 | #4 | -9.0% |
Suns Defense vs
| Position | Pts | Reb | Ast | Overall | vs NBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | #13 | #3 | #28 | #7 | -10.6% |
| PF | #13 | #19 | #14 | #18 | -0.2% |
| PG | #23 | #16 | #2 | #14 | -6.0% |
| SF | #29 | #22 | #20 | #29 | 24.2% |
| SG | #7 | #25 | #17 | #18 | -1.1% |
Team Comparison
Recent Trends
- Kyle Anderson (SF/PF): 3 Game Minutes avg dropped 42.1% to 11.9, 20.5 min average previous 3 games. The Suns have a 2-game losing streak at home.
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